Proceedings of the twentieth annual Climate Diagnostics Workshop : held at the NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory in Seattle, Washington

목차 (Table of Contents)

• CONTENTS
• PREFACE = ⅲ
• ATTENDEES = xiv
• AUTHOR INDEX = xx
• SESSION 1: RECENT CLIMATE ANOMALIES / Chairperson: D.R. Rodenhuis
• THE EVOLUTION OF RECENT OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ANOMALIES IN THE GLOBAL TROPICS / V.E. Kousky ; C.F. Ropelewski = 1
• RECENT WARMTH IN 1994／95 AND THE ROLE OF THE CIRCULATION IN THE DIVERGENCE BETWEEN SURFACE AND MSU2R TEMPERATURES SINCE THE MID 1980s / P.D. Jones ; P.M. Kelly = 5
• OBSERVED GLOBAL TRENDS IN MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM TEMPERATURE WITH URBAN WARMING REMOVED / T.C. Peterson ; D.R. Eastening ; T.R. Karl
• DYNAMICAL CONTRIBUTION TO HEMISPHERIC TEMPERATURE TRENDS / J.M. Wallace ; Y. Zhang ; J.A. Renwick
• SESSION 2: TROPICAL-EXTRATROPICAL INTERACTIONS / Chairperson: M. Wallace
• DIAGNOSING THE MIDLATITUDE ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE TO ENSO / G.D. Bell ; V.E. Kousky = 9
• PHYSICAL MECHANISMS FOR THE 1995 CALIFORNIA FLOODS / M. Masutani ; K.C. Mo = 13
• SHORT-TERM CLIMATE EXTREMES IN PRECIPITATION OVER THE CONTINENTAL U.S. AND ENSO / R.M. Dole ; K.I. Paine ; K. Wolter
• ENSO CYCLE MODULATION OF TRANSIENT BEHAVIOR OVER THE PACIFIC-NORTH AMERICAN SECTOR / Z. Dai ; E.M. Rasmusson = 17
• RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN TROPICAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES AND NORTHERN HEMISPHERIC CIRCULATION PATTERNS / M.B. Richman
• PERSISTENT NORTH PACIFIC CIRCULATION ANOMALIES AND INTERHEMISPHERIC TELECONNECTIONS / R.W. Higgins ; S.D. Schubert ; K.C. Mo = 21
• EL NI$$\tilde N$$O, LA NI$$\tilde N$$A AND THE NONLINEARITY OF TELECONNECTIONS / M.P. Hoerling ; A. Kumar
• SESSION 2: TROPICAL-EXTRATROPICAL INTERACTIONS (Continued) / Chairperson: E. Sarachik
• TROPICAL-EKTRATROPICAL INTERACTION AS REVEALED BY ANALYSIS OF COMBINED OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE VARIABILITY DURING 1985-1994 / Y. Dai ; S. Nigam = 25
• HADLEY CIRCULATION AS A MODULATOR OF THE WINTER EXTRATROPICAL CLIMATE / A.Y. Hou = 29
• THE SIGNATURE OF ENSO IN THE MIDLATITUDE HIGH-FREQUENCY VARIABILITY / W. May ; L. Bengtsson = 32
• EXTRATROPICAL EDDY-MEAN FLOW INTERACTIONS INDUCED BY ZONALLY SYMMETRICAL HEAT AND MOMENTUM SOURCES IN THE TROPICS / E.K.M. Chang = 36
• RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONES DURING THE 1988 U.S. DROUGHT / P. Chen ; M. Newman = 40
• WINTERTIME ATMOSPHERIC VARIABILITY INDUCED BY ZONAL FLOW AND TROPICAL SST ANOMALIES / M. Ting ; M. Hoerling ; T. Xu ; A. Kumar
• POSTER SESSION: 1 / Coordinator: S. Chen
• ON THE ANNUAL CYCLE OF TROPOSPHERIC WINDS OBSERVED ABOVE CHRISTMAS ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL EQUATORIAL PACIFIC / K.S. Gage ; J.R. McAfee ; C.R. Williams = 42
• GAUGE-BASED ANALYSES OF PRECIPITATION DURING 1971-1994 / P. Xie ; P.A. Arkin = 46
• THE DIURNAL CYCLE OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE U.S. AS DETERMINED FROM A COMPREHENSIVE HOURLY RAINGAUGE DATASET / J. Janowiak ; W. Higgins = 50
• SEASONAL CHARACTERISTICS OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE UNITED STATES IN AMIP SIMULATIONS / J.S.Boyle = 53
• SST REGULATION IN THE INDIAN OCEAN: A COUNTERPOINT TO THE PACIFIC WARM POOL / J.P. Loschnigg ; P.J. Webster = 57
• MONSOON RAINFALL IN THE GEOS-1 ASSIMILATION: SENSITIVITY TO INPUT DATA / C-K. Park ; S.D. Schubert ; D.J. Lamich ; Y. Kondratyeva = 61
• SYSTEMATIC ERRORS IN PHASE SPEED OF TRANSIENTS AND THEIR INTERACTION WITH THE MEAN STATE / J. Qin ; H.M van den Dool = 65
• A NEW GLOBAL SEA-ICE AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE DATA SET / N.A. Rayner ; D. E. Parker = 69
• VERTICAL AND HORIZONTAL RESOLUTION COMPARISONS OF CPTEC／COLA GCM / I.F.A. Cavalcanti ; P. Nobre ; M.L. Abreu ; M. Quadro ; L.P. Pezzi = 73
• RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SST ANOMALY PATTERNS AND ATMOSPHERIC FLOW ATTERNS IN THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE / H. Feddersen ; E. Kaas = 77
• WINTERTIME CIRCULATION REGIMES IN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE EXTRATROPICS, DEFINED BY H500 DATA IN "KEY REGIONS". AND CLIMATOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS / M.Yu. Bardin = 81
• ASYMMETRIC IMPACT OF TROPICAL SST ANOMALIES ON THE ATMOSPHERIC INTERNAL VARIABILITY OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC / W. Y. Chen ; H.M. van den Dool = 85
• PREDICTION OF TROPICAL PACIFIC SST WITH THE NCEP CCA MODEL / A.G. Bamston ; Y. He = 89
• THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN TROPICAL WESTERN PACIFIC WESTERLY ANOMALIES AND EAST ASIAN PRESSURE SURGES / G.P. Compo ; B.E. Mapes ; G.N. Kiladis ; P.J. Webster = 93
• ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE, PRESSURE AND ZONAL WINDS IN THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC / M.J. McPhaden ; W. Wang ; C. Zhang = 97
• CLIMATOLOGICAL VARIATIONS OF ATLANTIC SEA LEVEL PRESSURES / J. Knaff = 101
• EFFECTS OF VARIOUS PROCESSING METHODS APPLIED TO SHIP-BASED SURFACE WINDS DURING TOGA COARE / L.M. Hartten = 105
• ON THE GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION OF FORECAST SKILL IN 500 HPA HEIGHT IN THE 6-10 DAY RANGE FOR NH WINTER / J. Pan ; H.M. van den Dool = 109
• TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY AS A DIAGNOSTIC CLIMATE INDICATOR / J.D. Sheaffer = 113
• TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL VARIABILITY OF THE CANADIAN POLAR TROUGH / J. Knox ; A. Shabbar ; W. Skinner ; K. Higuchi = 117
• REVISED ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL TROPICAL CYCLONE PREDICTION METHODS FOR 1 JUNE AND 1 AUGUST FORECAST DATES / C.W. Landsea ; W.M. Gray ; P.W. Mieike Jr. ; K.J. Berry = 121
• A WEST-PACIFIC UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLY WIND SURGE DURING TOGA-COARE / H. Iskenderian ; L.F. Bosart = 125
• APPLICATION OF EOF ANALYSIS TO TROPICAL WIND PROFILER DATA / C.R. Williams = 129
• IMPACT OF SLOWLY-VARYING BOUNDARY FORCINGS ON THE BROAD-SCALE ASIAN MONSOON / S. Yang ; K.-M. Lau = 132
• COHERENT 3-D-PROPAGATION-PATTERNS IN THE ENERGETIC EXCHANGE BETWEEN TROPO- AND STRATOSPHERE / G. Schmitz ; K.N. Grieger = 136
• LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURES / A. Basist ; T. Peterson = 140
• EARLY COMPARISONS OF THE GPCP COMBINED DATA SET SUITE WITH INDIVIDUAL ESTIMATES AND CLIMATOLOGY / G.J. Huffman ; R.F. Adler = 144
• SESSION 3: REANALYSES / Chairperson: C.F. Ropelewski
• NASA REANALYSIS: AN OVERVIEW OF RESULTS AND FUTURE PLANS / S. Schubert ; H.M Helfand ; C.-Y. Wu = 148
• EVALUATION OF THE ECMWF RE-ANALYSIS WITH EMPHASIS ON THE PRECIPITATION / K. Arpe ; M. Stendel = 152
• AN EVALUATION OF THE SURFACE FLUXES IN THE NMC／NCAR REANALYSIS / S. Saha ; G. White ; R. Reynolds = 156
• A COMPARISON OF MONTHLY PRECIPITATION AMONG THE NCEP／NCAR AND NASA／DAO REANALYSES AND A SATELLITE-RAINGAUGE MERGED ANALYSIS / J. Janowiak ; P. Xie ; P. Arkin = 160
• SESSION 3: REANALYSES (Continued) / Chairperson: T. Mitchell
• ON THE ANNUAL CYCLE OF THE MEAN MERIDIONAL AND EAST-WEST CIRCULATIONS FROM THE NMC／NCAR REANALYZED FIELDS DURING 1985-94 / M. Chelliah = 164
• THE ANNUAL CYCLE OF LOW-FREQUENCY STORM TRACK AS REVEALED IN NCEP／NCAR REANALYSIS / X.L. Wang = 168
• COMPONENTS OF THE EARTH RADIATION BUDGET IN NCEP／NCAR REANALYSIS / S-K. Yang ; A.J. Miller ; Y-T. Hou ; C.F. Ropelewski = 172
• LOW FREQUENCY INTRASEASONAL VARIABILITY OVER THE ATLANTIC: COMPARISON OF REANALYSES / D.M. Straus
• THE MAINTENANCE OF INTRASEASONAL TRANSIENT EDDY ACTIVITY IN THE GEOS-1 ASSIMILATED DATA SET / R.X. Black = 176
• SESSION 4. INTERNATIONAL PROGRAM STUDIES / Chairperson: E.M. Rasmusson
• THE MEAN ANNUAL CYCLE OF WATER VAPOR OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BASIN (1973-1992) / E.S. Yarosh ; C.F. Ropelewski = 180
• THE MOISTURE BUDGET IN A HIGH RESOLUTION SUMMER SIMULATION OVER UNITED STATES / H. Juang ; S. Saba ; M. Kanamitsu
• GCIP ENERGY AND MOISTURE BUDGETS / J. Roads ; S. Chen ; S. Yang ; M. Kanamitsu ; H. Juang = 184
• RECENT PROGRESS IN THE STUDY OF WATER VAPOR BUDGETS USING EDAS ANALYSES / E.H. Berbery ; E.M. Rasmusson = 188
• NEW RESULTS ON THE HYDROLOGY OF THE NORTH AFRICAN DESERT. BASED ON THE NMC REANALYSES / F. Vitart ; A.H. Oort ; K.C. Mo = 191
• SESSION 5: ENSO AND ENSO VARIABILITY / Chairperson: G.D. Bell
• ENSO-LIKE DECADE-TO-CENTURY SCALE VARIABILITY: 1900-93 / Y. Zhang ; J.M. Wallace ; D.S. Battisti = 195
• OBSERVATIONS OF ENSO VARIABILITY IN 1950-78 AND 1979-92 / T.P. Mitchell ; J.M. Wallace
• INTERDECADAL CHANGES OF THE EL NI$$\tilde N$$O／SOUTHERN OSCILLATION / B. Wang
• DECADAL AND INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY IN THE TROPICAL WESTERN PACIFIC / D.S. Gutzler
• ON THE PHASE-LOCKING BETWEEN EL NI$$\tilde N$$O AND THE ANNUAL CYCLE / C. Penland = 203
• A NEW LOOK AT THE ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE TO EL NI$$\tilde N$$O / A. Kumar ; M.P. Hoerling
• POSTER SESSION: 2 / Coordinator: C. Zhang
• AN ANALYSIS OF THE STARTING DATE FOR THE SUMMER MONSOON IN WESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA / A.V. Douglas ; P. J. Englehart = 207
• THE EXTRATROPICAL RESPONSE OF THE ATMOSPHERE TO TROPICAL INTRASEASONAL HEATING IN A SIMPLE GCM: IMPLICATIONS FOR DETECTION AND FORECASTING / I. Blad$$\acute e$$ ; D.L. Hartmann = 212
• ZONAL MEAN FLOW／EDDY RELATIONSHIP IN A PERPETUAL JANUARY GCM EXPERIMENT / P. Peng ; N-C. Lau = 216
• ON THE FORCING OF THE MARCH-TO-MAY CIRCULATION-CHANGE OVER THE EASTERN EQUATORIAL PACIFIC / S. Nigam = 220
• SURFACE FLUX VARIABILITY IN OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC IN A GCM / M.A. Alexander ; J.D. Scott = 222
• SPATIAL PATTERN OF TENDENCIES IN SURFACE AIR TEMPERATURE CHANGE OVER THE LAST DECADES / V.N. Razuvaev ; E.G. Apasova ; O.N. Bulygina ; N.N. Korshunova ; R.A. Martuganov = 226
• DECADAL VARIATIONS OF THE ANNUAL CYCLE / H.L. Rui ; X.L Wang = 229
• CONSISTENCY OF THE DIABATIC HEATING THE NMC／NCAR REANALYSIS / W. Ebisuzaki = 232
• THE INFLUENCE OF ENSO ON THE TEMPERATURE FIELD OVER CANADA / A. Shabbar ; M. Khandekar = 235
• THE PREDICTION OF SEASONAL WILDFIRE SEVERITY IN THE WESTERN USA / J.W. Benoit ; F.M. Fujioka ; M.H. McCutchan = 239
• THE 1992-95 RAINY SEASONS IN NORTHEAST BRAZIL: REAL-TIME FORECASTS AND VERIFICATION / L. Greischar ; S. Hastenrath = 243
• A REVIEW OF SSM／I DERIVED CLIMATE PRODUCTS / R. Ferrar ; F. Weng ; N. Grody ; A. Gruber ; A. Basist ; J. Janowiak ; C. Kondragunta = 246
• AN INFLUENCE OF 11-YEAR SUNSPOT CYCLE IN THE LOWER STRATOSPHERIC-UPPER TROPOSPHERE ON THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE / H. van Loon ; K. Labitzke = 250
• A SPECTRAL ANALYSIS OF THE GEOS-1 ASSIMILATION AND SIMULATION / W. Min ; S.D. Schubert ; C-K. Park = 254
• DAILY CYCLES OF SST AND SURFACE WINDS OVER THE TROPICAL PACIFIC FROM THE TAO MOORED BUOY ARRAY / C. Deser ; C. Smith = 256
• ASSIMILATION VARIABILITY IN THE GEOS-1 DATA ASSIMILATION SYSTEM / M. Sienkiewicz = 260
• POTENTIAL PREDICTABILITY OF TROPICAL STORMS IN AN ENSEMBLE OF FORECASTS / F. Vitart ; J.L. Anderson ; W.F. Stern = 263
• STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF CHILEAN PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES ASSOCIATED WITH ENSO / R.H. Nu$$\tilde n$$ez ; T.S. Richard ; J.J. O'Brien = 267
• FIRST YEAR OF OBSERVATIONS FROM THE GAL$$\acute A$$PAGOS UTILIZING A 915 MHz WIND PROFILER / K.S. Gage ; C.R. Williams = 271
• STATISTICAL PREDICTION OF GLOBAL CONTINENTAL TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TO 1 YEAR IN ADVANCE USING GLOBAL SST / A.G. Barnston ; T.M. Smith = 275
• MAJOR CLIMATE EVENTS AND ANOMALIES AROUND THE WORLD DURING 1995 / R. Tinker = 279
• DECADAL VARIABILITY OF SNOW IN THE WESTERN UNITED STATES / D.R. Cayan ; L. Riddle = 283
• THREE-DIMENSIONAL DIABATIC HEATING FIELDS FROM THE NMC／NCAR REANALYSIS / G. White ; S. Saha = 284
• DYNAMICAL IMPACT OF LOCALIZED GWD FORCING IN GCM / J. ZHOU ; Y.C. Sud ; K.-M. Lau = 288
• SESSION 6: OCEANIC AND COUPLED MODEL STUDIES / Chairperson: T.M. Smith
• DECADAL CHANGES IN THE CIRCULATION OF THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE: RELATION TO SURFACE TEMPERATURE / J.W. Hurrell ; H. van Loon = 292
• EL NI$$\tilde N$$O PREDICTIONS BY THE NCEP COUPLED OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE MODEL: A VIEW FROM THE OCEAN SUBSURFACE THERMAL VARIABILITY / Deng-Hua Wu ; M. Ji ; A. Leetmaa = 296
• EXTRATROPICAL AIR-SEA INTERACTION ON WEEKLY TIME SCALES / C. Deser ; M. Timlin = 300
• SESSION 6: OCEANIC AND COUPLED MODEL STUDIES (Continued) / Chairperson: H. van Loon
• COUPLED PREDICTIONS AT COLA / B.P. Kirtman = 304
• INTERDECADAL RELATIONS AMONG ANOMALOUS 400M OCEAN CURRENTS, TEMPERATURE AND ATMOSPHERIC FORCING IN THE NORTH PACIFIC / Arthur J. Miller ; D.R. Cayan ; W.B. White = 308
• MODELING THE INTRASEASONAL THERMOCLINE VARIATIONS IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC / B. Liebmann ; H. Hendon ; J. Glick = 312
• SESSION 7: REGIONAL STUDIES / Chairperson: A.V. Douglas
• A SIMPLE MODEL FOR THE CLIMATOLOGY AND ENSO OF EQUATORIAL PACIFIC OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE SYSTEM / M. Cai = 314
• TROPICAL CONVECTION LOW FREQUENCY VARIATIONS OVER THE AMERICAS AND ASSOCIATED BOUNDARY LAYER CURRENTS / J. Nogu$$\acute e$$s-Paegle ; K.C. Mo = 318
• A COMPARISON OF EQUATORIAL PACIFIC WINDS OBSERVED BY WIND PROFILERS AND MODELED BY NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION ANALYSES / O.K. Williams ; K.S. Gage = 322
• A VORTICITY BUDGET OF TROPICAL-EXTRATROPICAL INTERACTIONS / G.N. Kiladis = 325
• THE ROLE OF LARGE SCALE ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION IN THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN TOPICAL CONVECTION AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE / W.K.-M. Lau ; H-T. Wu = 329
• SESSION 8: LOW FREQUENCY VARIABILITY / Chairperson: C. Deser
• SCATTEROMETER WINDS COMPOSITED ACCORDING TO THE PHASE OF THE TROPICAL INTRASEASONAL OSCILLATIONS / R.A. Madden. ; T.J. Hoar ; R.F. Milliff = 333
• STATISTICAL CHARACTERIZATION OF BLOCKING SYSTEMS OVER THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE: 1946-1994 / I. Halevy ; K. Higuchi ; J.L. Knox
• ANGULAR MOMENTUM AND ENERGETICS IN REANALYSIS PRODUCTS / D.A. Salstein ; R.D. Rosen = 337
• A COMPOSITE INTRASEASONAL ATMOSPHERIC ANGULAR MOMENTUM BUDGET DURING NORTHERN WINTER / K. Weickmann ; G.N. Kiladis ; P.O. Sardeshmukh
• DETECTING GREENHOUSE CLIMATE CHANGE DURING THE 20TH CENTURY / D.M.H. Sexton ; D.J. Karoly ; C.K. Folland ; J.F.B. Mitchell ; D.P. Rowell = 341
• NOAA'S MSU TIME SERIES FOR DETECTING CLIMATE CHANGE / M.D. Goldberg ; D.S. Crosby ; W. Chung = 345
• SESSION 9: PRECIPITATION / Chairperson: PA. Arkin
• VARIATIONS IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH AMERICAN PRECIPITATION TELECONNECTIONS DURING WARM AND COLD TROPICAL PACIFIC SSTA EVENTS / D.L. Montroy ; M.B. Richman = 349
• GLOBAL PRECIPITATION CLIMATOLOGY PROJECT (GPCP) COMBINED DATA SETS / A. Gruber ; R.F. Adier ; G.J. Huffman ; P. Arkin ; P. Xie
• ANNUAL AND INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY IN LARGE-SCALE PRECIPITATION DURING 1987-1994 / P. Xie ; P.A. Arkin = 353
• THE ROLE OF INERTIAL INSTABILITY IN DETERMINING THE STRENGTH AND LOCATION OF NEAR-EQUATORIAL CONVECTION / R.A. Tomas ; P.J. Webster = 357
• SESSION 10: GENERAL CIRCULATION STUDIES / Chairperson: K.C. Mo
• TROPOSPHERIC EQUATORIAL ROSSBY WAVES: OBSERVATIONS AND MODELING / M. Wheeler ; G.N. Kiladis = 362
• DYNAMICALLY CONSISTENT 200 MB WIND DIVERGENCES 1980-93 / P.D. Sardeshmukh ; M. Newman ; B. Liebmann
• ON THE CLIMATOLOGICAL ANNUAL CYCLE IN GLOBAL MEAN ATMOSPHERIC SURFACE PRESSURE AND HYDROLOGY AS REVEALED BY NCEP／NCAR REANALYSIS / H.M. van den Dool ; J. Schemm ; S. Sana = 366
• POTENTIAL VORTICITY FLUX DIAGNOSTICS OF THE WINTER MEAN CIRCULATION USING TWO REANALYSIS DATA SETS / J.S. Whitaker ; A.F. Loughe = 370
• SESSION 11: MODELING STUDIES / Chairperson: M. Chelliah
• INTERACTION OF TROPICAL HEATING-INDUCED ATMOSPHERIC FLOW WITH M1DLATITUDE OROGRAPHY / E. DeWeaver ; S. Nigam = 374
• INTRASEASONAL TIME SCALES OF CONVECTION IN GCMs / K.R. Sperber ; J.M. Slingo = 378
• SYSTEMATIC TENDENCY ERROR IN BUDGET CALCULATIONS / M. Kanamitsu ; S. Saha = 382
• APPLICATION OF ESTIMATED SOIL MOISTURE TO MODEL CLIMATE SIMULATION / J. Huang ; H.M. van den Dool ; J.E. Schemm = 386
• SESSION 12: ASPECTS OF PREDICTABILITY / Chairperson: M. Kanamitsu
• INHERENT LIMITS TO INTERANNUAL PREDICTABILITY? / C. Toirence ; P.J. Webster = 390
• THE ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE TO TROPICAL CONVECTION AND IMPLICATIONS FOR LONG RANGE FORECASTING / K.C. Mo ; P. Peng = 394
• CLIMATE PREDICTION METHODOLOGY / W.M. Gray = 398
• A MULTI-YEAR DERF EXPERIMENT AT NCEP / J.E. Schemm ; H.M. van den Dool = 402
• INFERENCE OF THE POTENTIAL PREDICTABILITY OF SEASONAL LAND-SURFACE CLIMATE FROM AMIP ENSEMBLE INTEGRATIONS / T.J. Phillips ; B.D. Santer = 406
• SPECIFICATION OF CONTINENTAL TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION USING GLOBAL SST / T.M. Smith ; A.G. Barnston = 410
• SESSION 13-FORECASTING AND VERIFICATION / Chairperson: R.E. Livezey
• TELECONNECTIONS AND SEASONAL RAINFALL PREDICTION IN AFRICA / W. Thiao ; A.G. Barnston ; V. Kumar = 413
• CLIMATE ENSEMBLE FORECASTING AT CPTEC / P. Nobre ; M.L Abreu ; I.F.A. Cavalcanti ; M. Quadro ; L. Pezzi = 417
• SEASONAL PREDICTION OF CANADIAN SURFACE CLIMATE BY CANONICAL CORRELATION ANALYSIS / A. Shabbar = 421
• SHORT-TERM CLIMATE PREDICTIVE SKILL IN NORTHERN EUROPE / A. Johansson ; A. Barnston ; S. Saha ; H.M. van den Dool
• SESSION 13: FORECASTING AND VERIFICATION (Continued) / Chairperson: H.M. van den Dool
• LONG LEAD CLIMATE PREDICTION USING SCREENING MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSION / D.A. Unger = 425
• POTENTIAL FOR LONG-LEAD PREDICTION OF SEASONAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE PACIFIC ISLANDS USING THE NCEP CCA MODEL / Y. He ; A.G. Barnston = 429
• VERIFICATION OF SEASONAL 'FORECASTS' FROM ENSEMBLE GCM INTEGRATIONS / J.L. Anderson = 433
• PNA-REGION TELECONNECTIONS TO TROPICAL-PACIFIC SST ANOMALIES IN OBSERVATIONS AND THE NCEP CLIMATE MODEL / R.E. Livezey ; M. Masutani ; M. Ji ; A. Leetmaa = 437