The Economic Feasibility Analysis of Crop Cultivation Practice Project in Pirganj and Kurigram Districts, Bangladesh

국문 초록 (Abstract)

미국 농무성은 방글라데시의 Pirganj군과 Kurigram군에 작물재배기술을 보급하여 농민들의 소득을 향상시키고 작물의 수량을 제고하여 농민들의 식량을 자급 할 수 있도록 하기 위하여 2008년부터 2012년까지 4개년간 기술지원기금US$ 571,270을 제공할 계획이다. 이 사업의 주목적은 948ha, 임야개간 52ha 및 유휴지 345ha를 개발하고 농업생산기술을 지도 보급함으로써 농산물의 생산성을 제고시키고 가난한 1,059농가와 5,305명의 농촌농민들의 사회 경제적 생활조건을 개선시키는 것이다. 이 사업을 위하여 방글라데시의 미작연구소, 방글라데시 농업연구위원회, Rangpur Dinajpur 농촌 서비스 센터 및 농민단체들이 참여 하고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 (1) 미곡, 밀, 옥수수, 엽연초 및 사탕수수의 생산성을 구명하고, (2) 작물 별 생산비와 소득을 추정하며, (3) 투입 산출물간의 상호관계를 구명하여 (3) 본 사업의 총 수익과 총 사업비를 비교함으로써 본 사업의 재무적 타당성 지표인 FIRR,NPV,B/C Ratio를 구명해 보고자 한다. 본 사업의 연간 순기대총편익은 US$ 33,028이다. 농산물 생산액의 총 증가액은 US$ 219,959이며 총 생산비증가액은 US$186,931로 추정되었다. 본 사업의 재무수익률은 경제분석기간을 15년으로 가정했을 경우 재무수익률(FIRR)이 26.15%로 추정되었으며, 이는 방글라데시의 할인율 10%보다 2.6배가 높게 나타났다. 방글라데시의 할인율을 10%로 볼 경우 B/C Ratio는 1.077이며 NPV는 US$ 101,663로 추정되었다. 따라서 본 사업은 방글라데시의 농촌경제를 활성화 시키고 가난한 농민들의 복지를 증대시키는데 있어 매우 중요한 농업정책으로써, 방글라데시의 타 지역에도 확대 보급함은 물론 재정적 지원을 지속해 나가야 할 것으로 판단된다.

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) funded collaborative project on The Economic Feasibility Analysis of Crop Cultivation Practice Project in Pirganj and Kurigram Districts in Bangladesh will started during 2008-2012, for 4 years with total project cost of US$ 571,270. The project will be implemented in 6 villages; has 1,097 hectares areas which is divided into 948 hectares of agricultural land, 52 hectares of forest land and 345 hectares of other land, covered 1,059 households equal to 5,305 persons in Pirganj and Kurigram districts The project has proposed to be implemented in joint collaboration by Bangladesh Agricultural Research Council (BARC), Bangladesh Agricultural Research Institute (BARI) and Rangpur Dinajpur Rural Service (RDRS) Bangladesh with full participation of the farmers' groups of respective project site. The specific objectives of the project are: (1) to estimate the productivity of paddy, wheat, maize, tobacco and sugarcane (2) to determine the cost of production and returns to the above mentioned crops (3) to study the interrelationship between inputs and output of the above mentioned crops and (4) to examine the resource utilization patterns at farm level. In this project analysis, the net incremental profit is US$33,028. The expected incremental project benefit and incremented production cost are estimated as US$ 219,959 and US$ 186,931 respectively. The financial decision making criteria would be followed in this crop cultivation practice project. After the project implementation, the expected project benefits are assumed to be continued for 15 years. The benefit cost ratio (B/C) of the project is estimated at 1.077 (table 11) when using discount rate of 10% as an opportunity cost of capital in Bangladesh. FIRR of project is estimated at 26.15% which is bigger than the opportunity cost by more than double. So this project is financially feasible and acceptable. Therefore, this project should be extended to other areas to increase the farm income and economic growth of marginal poor farmers in Bangladesh.

참고문헌 (Reference)

1 "http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geography_of_Bangladesh"

2 "http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Bangladesh"

3 Hussain, M.M, "Three years experiences with drum seeder for direct wet-seeding of rice in Bangladesh" BRRI, Joydebpur 19-21, 2006

4 BBS, "Statistical Bulletin, Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics. Division Ministry of Planning, Government Peoples Republic of Bangladesh"

5 Nick Hanley, "Spash, Cost Benefit Analysis and the Environment"

6 LittleI. M. D, "Project Appraisal and Planning for Developing Countries" Heinemann Educational Books 1977

7 Gauchon, M. J, "Methodology for Economic Evaluation of Comprehensive Watershed Management" FAO/UN 1973

8 Hanratty, M, "Guidelines to the economic evaluation of agricultural development project, selected issues"

9 Hellmuth, B, "Guide to the Economic Evaluation of Irrigation Projects, Paris"

10 UNID, "Guide to Practical Project Appraisal, Social Benefit-cost Analysis in Developing Countries"

11 Lim, J.H, "Feasibility Study of the Northern Terengganu Rural Development Project, Phase II, Malaysia Ag. Science" 19 (19): 201-237, 1992

12 Economic Review of Bangladesh, "Economic advisory subdivision. Economic Division. Ministry of Planning" Govt. of Peoples Republic of Bangladesh, Dhaka 130-, 2006

13 Lyn Squire, "Economic Analysis of Projects(Shadow Price)" John Hopkins University Press 1975

14 Gittinger, J. P., "Economic Analysis of Agricultural Projects, IBRD, 1982. Compounding and Discounting Tables for Project Analysis with a Guide to Their Application" IBRD 1984

15 Richard, L, "Cost-Benefit Analysis, Selected Readungs" Penguin Books 1972

16 Peter, G. S., "Cost-Benefit Analysis, A Hand Book" Academic Press, INC 1978

17 Wallis, J.A.N, "Aspects of Project Appraisal, IBRD EDI Training Materials"

18 BARI, "Annual Hand Book. Bangladesh Agricultural Research Institute" Joydebpur, Gazipur 2006

19 Lim, J.H, "A study on Economic Analysis of Dug_well irrigation development in Newasa block, Maharashtra state, India Ag" 12 (12): 139-152, 1985