우리나라 중부지방의 한파 분포 및 변화에 관한 연구 = Distributions of Cold Surges and Their Changes in the Joongbu Region, the Republic of Korea

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This paper examined distributions and changes of cold surges in the Joongbu region using the cold surge related extreme climate indicators over the Republic of Korea. Also, the relationships between indicators and global annual mean temperature and selected atmospheric indices were defined. The number of the extreme cold days, the cold wave duration index(CWDI) and the cold surge days in the western inland of the Taebaek mountain range were greater than those in the west coast region. The ice days(ID), CWDI, and extreme cold days showed decreasing trends at most of stations with the abrupt decrease during 1980s to 1990s. Global annual mean temperature and arctic oscillation index(AOI) showed negative correlation with all the cold surge related indicators. Using both global annual mean temperature and AOI, R-squared value was getting higher for the Id, extreme cold days and CWDI than when only either global annual mean temperature or AOI was considered.

국문 초록 (Abstract)

본 연구는 한파 관련 극한기후지수를 이용하여 우리나라 중부지방 한파의 분포 및 발생 빈도와 강도의 변화 특성을 밝히고자 하였다. 중부지방의 혹한일수, 한파지속기간, 한파발생일은 서해안보다 태백산맥 서쪽 내륙에 많이 분포하였다. 결빙일수, 한파지속기간, 혹한일수는 대부분의 지점에서 감소하였으며, 1980년대에서 1990년대에 걸쳐 변화가 컸다. 전구평균기온과 북극진동지수는 모든 한파 관련 극한기후지수와 유의한 음의 상관관계를 보였다. 다중회귀분석에서 전구평균기온과 북극진동지수를 함께 고려했을 때 결빙일수, 혹한일수, 한파지속기간에서 회귀식의 설명력이 높아졌다.

참고문헌 (Reference)

1 정영근, "한반도에서 한파내습에 관한 연구: 장주기 중간주기 단주기별 대기요란의 특성" 10 (10): 203-214, 1989

2 김지연, "한국의 열파 분포와 그 원인에 관한 연구" 대한지리학회 42 (42): 332-343, 2007

3 기상청, "이상기후 감시 Update, 236호" 2010

4 기상청, "이상기후 감시 Update, 235호" 2010

5 최광용, "우리나라 열대야 현상 발생의 시·공간적 특징과 최근의 변화" 대한지리학회 40 (40): 730-747, 2005

6 류상범, "우리나라 겨울철 한파 내습 과정에 관하여" 13 (13): 310-313, 2003

7 임규호, "동아시아 겨울철 한파 내습 기간중 대류권 상·하층 바람장의 시·공간적 전개" 31 (31): 373-392, 1995

8 최광용, "높은 체감온도가 서울의 여름철 질병 사망자 증가에 미치는 영향, 1991-2000" 대한예방의학회 38 (38): 283-290, 2005

9 류상범, "남한의 한랭 겨울과 혹한일의 기후학적 특성" 12 (12): 288-291, 2002

10 신성철, "극 진동에 연관된 한반도 한파와 열원의 역할" 한국지구과학회 27 (27): 302-312, 2006

11 임규호, "겨울철 동 아시아 제트류의 변동성과 한파 내습" 30 (30): 507-519, 1994

12 "http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov"

13 "http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov"

14 최영은, "Trends on Temperature and Precipitation Extreme Events in Korea" 대한지리학회 39 (39): 711-721, 2004

15 DeGaetano, A. T., "Trends in twentieth-century temperature extremes across the United States" 15 : 3188-3205, 2002

16 Moberg, A., "Trends in indices for extremes in daily temperature and precipitation in Central and Western Europe, 1901-1999" 25 : 1149-1171, 1999

17 Hong, C. C., "The extreme cold anomaly over Southeast Asia in february 2008: roles of ISO and ENSO" 22 : 3786-3801, 2009

18 Brunet, M., "The development of a new dataset of Spanish daily adjusted temperature series (SDATS) (1850-2003)" 26 : 1777-1802, 2006

19 Beniston, M., "The Heat Wave as an Example of Summers in a Greenhouse Climate?" 44 : 73-81, 2004

20 Boo, K., "The Characteristics of Transient Waves related to the Cold Surges in Winter over the Korean Peninsula" 1 (1): 104-112, 1998

21 Beniston,M., "The 2003 Heat Wave in Europe. A Shape of Things to Come?" 31 : l02022-, 2004

22 최광용, "Recent Spatial and Temporal Changes in Means and Extreme Events of Temperature and Precipitation across the Republic of Korea" 대한지리학회 43 (43): 681-700, 2008

23 Vincent, L. A., "Observed trends in indices of daily temperature extremes in South America 1960-2000" 18 : 5011-5023, 2000

24 Takaya, K., "Mechanisms of Intraseasonal Amplification of the Cold Siberian High" 62 : 4423-4440, 2005

25 Caesar, J., "Large-Scale changes in Observed Dailly Maximum and Minimum Temperatures: Creation and Analysis of a New Gridded Data Set" 111 : d05101-, 2006

26 Chen, T., "Interannual Variation of the East Asian Cold Surge Activity" 17 : 401-413, 2004

27 Jeong, J. H., "Influence of the Madden-Julian oscillation on wintertime surface air temperature and cold surges in East Asia" 110 : d11104-, 2005

28 Moberg, A., "Indices for daily temperature and precipitation extremes in Europe analyzed for the period 1901-2000" 111 : d22106-, 2000

29 Alexander, L. V., "Global Observed Changes in Daily Climate Extremes of Temperature and Precipitation" 111 : d05109-, 2006

30 New, M., "Evidence of trends in daily climate extremes over southern and West Africa" 111 : d14102-, 2006

31 IPCC, "Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis" Cambridge University Press 2007

32 Ryoo, S., "Characteristics of Wintertime Daily and Extreme Minimum Temperature over South Korea" 24 : 145-160, 2004

33 Michna, P., "Changes in temperature extreme indices in Switzerland 1958-2000" 1-9, 2000

34 Jeong, J. H., "Changes in occurrence of cold surges over East Asia in association with Arctic Oscillation" 32 (32): l14804-, 2005

35 Vincent, L. A., "Changes in Daily and Extreme Temperature and Precipitation Indices for Canada over the Twentieth Century" 44 (44): 177-193, 2006

36 Easterling, D. R., "CCI/CLIVAR workshop to develop priority climate indices" 84 : 1403-1407, 2003