비매개변수적 Monte Carlo Simulation과 댐위험도 분석 프로그램 개발 = Nonparametric Monte Carlo Simulation and Development of Dam Risk Analysis Program

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The dam overtopping probability using parametric Monte Carlo Simulation(MCS), which revealed a weakness as being the hardest problem in analysis techniques, cannot define correct probability distribution about hydraulic/hydrological uncertainty variables. Nonparametric MCS reflect probability characteristics of data relatively well comparing parametric method. Another problem of existing MCS generates a large number of realizations of uncertainty variable according to their corresponding probability distribution. Therefore, overall objective of the present study is to formulate a practical methodology to evaluate, systematically and quantitatively, the risk of failure in an existing dam.