수출에 있어서 대·중소기업의 직·간접 기여도와 수출결정요인 분석 = Analysis on Direct and Indirect Contributions to and Determinants of Exports by Firm Size

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

Considering the industrial production structure, the role of small and medium enterprises (hereinafter, SMEs), which usually supply intermediate goods to the supply chain, can be overshadowed by that of large firms in the exports statistics based on customs clearance. Therefore, this statistics method can undermine the level of contribution to exports of not only SMEs but also large firms providing intermediates. Based on the recognition, this paper sheds new light on contribution rates of SMEs to exports by analyzing direct and indirect contribution rates of them to exports by the size of corporations. Furthermore, this paper analyzes determinants of terms of exports through export function estimates and provides tailored and distinct implications.
The result showed that the difference in export rates between large firms and SMEs were more than twice, but, when considering the direct and indirect contribution, the disparity scaled down to around 10%p. In particular, SMEs showed higher indirect contribution rates. In the export function analysis, although the impact of foreign exchange rate has declined in general, SMEs are more vulnerable to the effect of the variation compared to the large firms. As such, in the process of designing relevant policies, the size of a corporation should be considered. The index of industrial product and global oil prices have increased on the indirect contribution of SMEs to exports. Having said that, maintaining the positive impact requires efforts to support fair relations between large firms and SMEs. In addition, it was found out that the global economic situation brings similar effect on both large firms and SMEs, so efforts to level up direct contribution to exports by SMEs are needed.

참고문헌 (Reference)

1 홍성욱, "한국의 산업별 교역조건 결정요인 분석 및 시사점" 산업연구원 2016

2 홍성욱, "한국의 거시경제 및 산업구조 변화와 환율의 영향력" 산업연구원 2015

3 김완중, "한국의 對동남아 수출과 수출결정요인의 장기적 균형관계 분석" 한국동남아학회 24 (24): 1-31, 2014

4 "한국무역협회 무역통상정보 무역용어"

5 ․김안호, "한국 수출입함수 추정에 관한 연구" 14 (14): 117-130, 2001

6 이진면, "한국 대·중소기업 산업연관표의 작성과 분석연구" 산업연구원 2014

7 김경훈, "최근 원화 절상의 우리 수출에 대한 영향" 한국무역협회 2017

8 오동윤, "중소기업의 수출역량 연구" 중소기업연구원 2007

9 이준호, "중소기업의 수출기여도 실증분석" 중소기업연구원 2010

10 중소기업청, "중소기업실태조사결과" 2015

11 오동윤, "중소기업 간접수출 추계 방법론 연구" 중소기업연구원 2012

12 김승원, "순상품 교역조건 변동요인 분석" 한국은행 23-44, 2005

13 주원, "수출입집중도의 현황과 문제점-품목 및 지역 수출집중도 급증" 현대경제연구원 2018-2025, 2018

14 정행득, "문화산업과 우리나라 수출함수에 관한 연구" 한국문화산업학회 16 (16): 35-42, 2016

15 이용호, "대·중소기업 간 생산파급효과 분석: 낙수효과와 분수효과의 실증분석을 중심으로" 한국산업경제학회 30 (30): 1885-1904, 2017

16 최봉호, "공적분분석을 이용한 지역 수출함수의 추정 : 부산지역을 중심으로" 한국국제통상학회 9 (9): 107-120, 2004

17 USITC, "Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises: Characteristics and Performance" 2010

18 Krugman, P., "Scale Economics, Product Differentiation, and The Pattern of Trade" 70 (70): 950-959, 1980

19 Lee, Jim-Myon, "Roles of SMEs in Korea: an Application of Prototype SME IO" 2014

20 Markusen, J.R., "Multinationals, Muti-plant Economies, and the Gain from Trade" 16 (16): 205-226, 1984

21 Kang, J. W., "International Trade and Exchange Rate" ADB 2016

22 Anderson, J. E., "Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution th the Border Puzzle" 93 (93): 170-192, 2003

23 Ahmed, S., "Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports" IMF 2015

24 OECD, "Firm Heterogeneity and Trade in Value Added" 2015

25 Tang, H., "Extending the Input-Output Table Based on Firm-level Data" CESifo 2016

26 OECD, "Accounting for firm heterogeneity in global value chains : The role of Small and Medium sized Enterprises" 2018

27 이진면, "2014년도 대·중소기업 산업연관표 작성과 분석" 산업연구원 2017

28 이진면, "2013년도 대·중소기업 산업연관표 작성과 분석" 산업연구원 2016

29 이진면, "2012년도 대·중소기업 산업연관표 작성과 분석 연구" 산업연구원 2015