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이필도 ( Phi Do Lee ),박복순 ( Bok Soon Park ),김혁우 ( Hyu Gwoo Kim ) 한국보건정보통계학회 (구 한국보건통계학회) 2011 한국보건정보통계학회지 Vol.36 No.2
Objectives: The purpose of this study is to explore how to use the estimation of supply and demand on burial and cremation for planning the long-term strategies of funeral facilities. Methods: This study consists of three directions. First, the population and the number of deaths were estimated, and how to estimate future population and the future number of deaths for potential users was explained. Second, the burial rate and cremation rate were estimated respectively, and how to use the Gompertz curve, to estimate potential users was explained. Third, using the results obtained, in the past, the supply and demand on funeral facilities were estimated. This includes the annual estimation of supply and demand on burial facilities and private enshrinement facilities. Results: The funeral facilities in Gyeonggi-do were analyzed and the types of installation were presented. In this in- depth research, most of all, the space for cemetery is relatively limited in Gyeonggi-do. There are sufficient urn facilities compared with the cemetery facilities in 2008. Conclusions: The solution to reduce inconvenience due to the lack of cemetery facilities needs to be found, and the natural ways to minimize damage and how to install green burial should be considered. The utilization of the Gompertz Curve has proved effective on the estimation of funeral facilities.