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북한 개혁개방의 방향 : 국제정치, 주민, 엘리트를 중심으로
최현진,정채현,권지혜,임태영 한국정치사회연구소 2025 한국과 국제사회 Vol.9 No.1
이 연구는 북한에서 개혁개방이 일어날 가능성과, 개혁개방이 발생하면 어떤 형태를 띨 것인지에 대하여 분석한다. 김정은 집권 이후를 연구범위로 설정하고, 북한을 둘러싼 국제정치, 북한 주민의 아래로부터의 개혁, 그리고 고위 엘리트층의 변혁이라는 세 가지 측면에서 가능성을 예측한다. 주요 결론은 국제정치와 북한 주민의 관점에서 점진적 개혁개방의 가능성이 현저히 낮으며, 엘리트 내부 균열에 의한 우발적 체제 변화 가능성이 가장 높다는 것이다. 이 연구를 통해 대한민국과 국제사회의 대북정책 방향 설정에 함의를 제공하고, 구체적으로 한국의 정책적 대응 전략을 제시하며, 통일과 안보 의제에 실질적인 분석을 제공한다. This study analyzes the likelihood of reform and opening in North Korea and what form it will take if it does occur. The study focuses on the post-Kim Jong-un era and estimates the likelihood of reforms from three perspectives: international politics surrounding North Korea, reforms from the bottom up, and changes at the top. The main conclusion is that the likelihood of gradual reform and opening is significantly lower from the perspective of international politics and the North Korean people, and that the most likely outcome is an accidental regime change caused by an internal elite rift. This study provides implications for the direction of North Korea policy in South Korea and the international community, suggests specific policy responses for South Korea, and provides practical analysis for the unification and security agenda.
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최현진,송윤경,여장옥,허세형,진성민,Choi, Hyun-Jin,Song, Yun-Kyung,Yeo, Jang-Ok,Huh, Se-Hyung,Jin, Sung-Min 대한후두음성언어의학회 2008 대한후두음성언어의학회지 Vol.19 No.2
Background and Objectives: The voice changes can occur in peritonsillar abscess and the labeling of this changes as a "muffled voice". The aim of this study was to investigate the changes in acoustic feature of voice before and after treatment in patients with peritonsillar abscess. Materials and Method: 12 patients with peritonsillar abscess were enrolled in the study. Acoustic analysis on sustained Korean vowels /a/, /i/ and /u/ were performed before and after treatment. Results: In patients with peritonsillar abscess, the first formant frequency (F1) and second formant frequency (F2) of /a/ were decreased. There was tendency of articulation of back-low vowel /a/ as back-high vowel /u/. F1 of /i/ and /u/ were increased, while F2 were decreased. There was tendency of articulation of front-high vowel /i/ as back-low vowel /a/. The third, forth, fifth formant frequency (F3, F4, F5) of /a/, /i/ and /u/ were decreased although statistically not significant. Conclusion: The anatomical and functional changes of oropharynx by peritonsillar abscess can cause changes in resonance and speech quality. We suggest that these changes could be the cause of 'muffled voice' in patients of peritonsillar abscess.
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기후변화를 고려한 도로 건설사업의 국내·외 환경영향평가 현황 및 사례 고찰
최현진,강유진 한국환경영향평가학회 2026 환경영향평가 Vol.35 No.1
Since 2023, road construction projects have been included in climate change impact assessment (CCIA) in South Korea. However, evaluation methodologies that adequately reflect the characteristics of linear infrastructure remain insufficient. This study analyzes the current status of greenhouse gas (GHG) assessment in domestic environmental impact assessment (EIA) reports for road construction projects and identifies directions for improving CCIA through comparison with international cases. A total of 74 EIA reports (2011–2023) were reviewed, focusing on GHG emission estimation and mitigation measures. Case studies from the United States, Canada, and India were also examined. The results show that vehicle operation accounts for 90.33% of operational GHG emissions, while the average reduction rate is approximately 2.19%. About 86% of quantified reductions result from tree planting, while other mitigation measures are mostly qualitative; thus, the reduction rate reflects currently quantifiable measures ratherthan overall mitigation performance. International cases demonstrate the use of government-provided models for emission estimation and incorporation of key climate adaptation factors. These findings indicate the need for standardized quantitative assessment methods in CCIA for road projects in South Korea.
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환경평가 지원을 위한 지역 환경현황 분석 시스템 구축 및 운영 : 도시개발사업의 현황과 환경영향 분석
최현진,박지현,이재홍 한국환경연구원 2021 사업보고서 Vol.2021 No.-
Ⅰ. Background and Aims of Research □ The urban (housing) development is essential for providing a living environment and area for the people, and for enabling them to lead a convenient life. However, it has tended to damage environment, destroying green lands and trees of the target area, and generating cut slopes by transforming topography. □ The purpose of this study is to examine the current status of domestic urban (housing) development projects, and suggest a sustainable development plan. We investigated various environmental impacts of urban (residential area) development projects based on the environmental impact assessment reports. Ⅱ. Method and Scope □ This study investigated based on the 126 housing development projects from 2011 to 2020. We studied the development status by each self-governing province, damage rate of areas of first and second-grade ecological status and that of steep slopes after the development, the area released from the Green Belt, and also land use changes. ○ Furthermore, we analyzed the distribution of air pollutant and malodor -emitting facilities around the project site (impact area 1, 3, 5㎢) that may affect the settlement conditions of the residents. Ⅲ. Results and Discussion □ It was found out that the housing development was steadily increasing, and major development areas are Gyeonggi-do, Gyeongsangbuk-do, Gyeongsangnam-do. □ The area of deforestation tends to decrease, and the damaged area was large in Gyeonggi-do and Gyeongsangbuk-do. The proportion of steep slopes of more than 20 degrees or 25 degrees has been increasing since 2017, and the figure was higher in Busan and Chungcheongbuk-do than others. □ The area released from Greenbelt for housing development projects from 2011 to 2020 amounts to a total 17.5㎢, and the largest area released was in Seoul. The proportion of parks and green area within the project site was about 20~25%. □ The largest number of air pollutant-emitting facilities were located within the impact area of the project whose EIA agreement was reached in 2011, and overall, the number of pollutant-emitting facilities by year showed a downward trend. □ The number of malodor-emitting facilities was found to be the largest in the impact area of the project whose EIA agreement was reached in 2017. According to the analysis of the number of facilities by local government, the largest number of malodor-emitting facilities was located in Gyeonggi-do. Ⅳ. Conclusion □ In this study, the status of domestic urban (housing) development projects carried out over the past ten years, their environmental impacts, and location characteristics were investigated. □ It is expected that the result of this study will be useful for identifying the development trend and environmental impact of development projects, and constructing spatial information on development projects.
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Long-term outcomes of magnetic resonance imaging-invisible endometrial cancer
최현진,이선영,박병관,김태중,김찬교,박정재,최철훈,이유영,이정원,배덕수,김병기 대한부인종양학회 2016 Journal of Gynecologic Oncology Vol.27 No.4
Objective: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is useful for staging endometrial cancer. The treatment and prognosis of MRI-invisible endometrial cancer remain unclear. The purpose of this study was to retrospectively evaluate the long-term outcomes of patients with MRIinvisible endometrial cancer. Methods: Between February 1995 and December 2011, we reviewed the medical records of 433 patients with endometrial cancer, which was staged IA on MRI. Of these patients, 89 had MRI-invisible cancer and 344 had MRI-visible cancer. Both cancers were treated with simple hysterectomy with or without lymph node dissection according to the surgeon’s decision. Both cancers were compared regarding pathologic findings, recurrence rates, and survival rates. Results: The median sizes of MRI-invisible and MRI-visible cancers were 4 mm (0 to 40 mm) and 20 mm (0 to 89 mm), respectively (p<0.001). Myometrial invasion of these groups were detected in 20.2% (18/89) and 56.7% (195/344), respectively (p<0.001). Lymphadenectomy and follow-up imaging revealed no lymph node metastasis in patients with MRI-invisible cancers, while those revealed in 4.7% (16/344) of patients with MRI-visible cancers (p=0.052). The recurrence rates of MRI-invisible and MRI-visible cancers were 1.1% (1/89) and 7.8% (27/344), respectively (p=0.026). The recurrence-free survival rates of these groups were 98.9% (88/89) and 91.6% (315/344), respectively (p=0.022). Conclusion: MRI-invisible endometrial cancer can be treated with less invasive surgery because of its lower tumor burden and better prognosis. This cancer may not require lymphadenectomy because of no metastasis or recurrence in lymph nodes.
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