경제 발전과 가격 機構

차철호 中央大學校經營大學 1967 經營論集 Vol.24 No.-

후진국에 있어서의 경제성장과 재정정책

차철호 中央大學校經營大學 1959 經營論集 Vol.10 No.-

킹스턴체제하의 國際通貨制度 : 爭點과 代案

차철호 중앙대학교 경제연구소 2001 經濟論文集 Vol.- No.16

IMT-2000에서의 정산 원칙

차철호 한국정보통신기술협회 1998 TTA저널 Vol.60 No.-

R.Dornbusch의 換率期待理論下의 換率變動行態와 金融政策의 效果

車鐵豪 중앙대학교 산업경영연구소 1997 산업경영연구 Vol.6 No.1

The purpose of this paper is to build a basic analysis of exchange-rate determination and to relate it to the question of monetary policy. It has been known that exchange rates are determined by interest rates and expectation about the future, which are, in turn, affected by conditions in national money markets. It concentrates on the reassessment of the effects of monetary policy under flexible exchange rates and the comparative analysis of the short and long-run adjustment processes. The large swings in currencies during the past 20 years have stimulated new interest among economists in theories to explain the forces that drive exchange rates. These new theories have focused on the role of internationally traded capital and investor's expectations. It would be easy to blame exchange-rate volatility on ineffciencies in the foreign-exchange market or on the irrational behaviour of speculators. It follows that exchange rates will change when interest-rate differentials change or when expectations about future exchange rates change. According to prof. R. Dornbusch, in the long term, equilibrium exchange rates are determined by PPP; in the short term, exchange rates are determined entirely in asset markets, by interest rates and expectations. Prof. Dornbusch assumed that expectations are "rational". In other words, he assumde that in the long run people expect the exchange rate to return to PPP. He also assumed that investors expect currencies to move at a rate that is proportional to the discrepancy between the current exchange rate and PPP; the bigger the gap, the faster the expected rate change. However, the asset-market theory is far from complete as prof. Dornbusch himself is the first to point out. If the theory were true, then currencies would actually jump around much more than they do. In practice, exchange rates do not always move when monetary conditions unexpectdely change. U.S. occasionally moved in response. Also, the tendency of exchange rates to move towards PPP even in the very long run seems much weaker than the theory seems to require. Prof. Dombusch's analysis was extremely influential. It highlighted the role that expectations play in determining currency exchange rates, and it showed that unstable currencies are not necessarily evidence of inefficiency in financial markets.

製造業 生産職 人力難의 要因分析과 人力政策의 課題

차철호 중앙대학교 산업경영연구소 1998 산업경영연구 Vol.7 No.1

본 연구의 범위는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 제조업부문 生産職人力의 부족문제는 산업구조의 고도화에 따른 勞動力需給구조상의 不均衡을 최소화 해야한다는 문제의식에서 출발한다. 따라서 990년대 초반에 나타난 인력난 문제에 대한 해답은 ㄴ[제조업부문의 생산직 就業減少와 서비스업종사자의 과다현상]이라는 산업간 (제조업--서비스업), 직종간 (생산직--서비스직) 노동移動構造의 특성에서 찾아야 한다는 관점에서 노동력수급구조와 노동력 不足의 實態를 살펴보고 그 不足要因을 규명하기 위해 산업간, 직종간 노동이동구조의 변화추이를 검토하고자 한다. 둘째, 90년대에 들어서 우리 산업구조가 단순 노동집약산업에서 자본, 기술집약 산업으로 이행하는 과정에서 산업구조의 고도화는 ??吸收力(고용탄성치)의 감소를 수반하게 될 것인바 이러한 산업구조의 고도화과정에서 발생하는 人力需給構造의 不均衡이 우리 경제의 成長潛在力을 약화시키는 장애요인으로 작용하지 않게 하기 위한 인력정책의 기본과제는 무엇인가 하는 문제를 검토하고자 한다. 셋째, 이러한 노동시장의 구조적 변화에 대응하여 필요한 기술인력을 안정적으로 확보함으로써 중고령층의 단순노동력을 활용하는 低부가가치업종에서 탈피하여 高부가가치업종의 생산기반을 구축하고 우리제품의 국제경쟁력을 강화시킬수 있는 제조업 人力政策方向의 과제를 제시하고자 한다. The purpose of this paper is to analyze factors affecting the shortage in the production workers in manufacturing sector. With the foregoing awareness this study has attempted to indentify desirable approaches to the manpower policy measures. Form the results of the empirical evidence presented in this study, we have recognized the following three problems enumerated below: First, the problem concerning the basic viewpoint of the manpower bottleneck of Korea economy. This problem being with especially the understanding of the shortage of the production workers in the manufacturing sector and awareness of the necessity to minimize the unbalance in the manpower supply structure brought forth by the sophistication of the industrial structure. The answer to the manpower stortage problem o the Korean economy is “the phenomenon of the decrease in the manufacturing employment sector.”: In the viewpoint of finding the answer from the characteristics underlying the manpower mobility structure between the industries (manufacturing and service) and between occupations (manufacturing and service), this study intends to review the manpower supply structure and shortage actuality of manpower and survey the changing trend in the manpower mobility structure between industries and between occupation. Second, the problem of what is the basic task of manpower policy. In the process of transformation of the Korea industrial structure from the unskilled-labor intensive industry to the capital-technology intensive industry when the sophistication of the industrial structure is bound to espouse the decrease in the employment absorbability (employment creation value): preventing the unbalance in the manpower supply structure arising from such sophistication process of the industrial structure acts not as a negative factor to weaken the growth potentiality of Korean economy. This condenses into the problem of creating new employment opportunities to accommodate manpower who are entering the labor market every year under the condition of the increase in the highly educated unemployment and the shortage of technological manpower. Third. The problem of supplying adequately the skilled-labor an technological manpower who could concentrate in the sophistication and quality improvement of product made by the small and medium industries under the global technology hegemonism trend to underwite and ore research and development manpower who can spearhead the development of high technology and multi-kind and small quantity production system. In the midst of the liberalization and globalization of the world economy, the technological protective barriers imposed by the advanced industrial nations are heightening. And with the acceleration of the technological competition among the nations, the post-cold war era international order is being formulated centering around the technological strength there should be established the technological manpower supply scheme to systematically train and deliver the high level technological manpower that could spearhead the technological renovantion.

世界經濟構圖의 再編成과 東아시아경제의 課題 : 아시아 經濟共同體論 序說

차철호 中央大學校 東北亞硏究所 2001 東北亞硏究 Vol.5 No.-

WTO체제하의 新交易秩序와 미국의 對外通商政策

차철호 중앙대학교 경제연구소 2000 經濟論文集 Vol.- No.15

This study has been focused on the waves created by changing U.S trade policy which go through international trade arena and its implications for the establishment of a new world economic order in connection with the WTO system. Reciprocity as one of the U.S. trade stategies is the notions that policy abroad must provide U.S. firms with the same market opportunities as U.S. policies provide to their firms. The substance of reciprocity is that the U.S. will take retaliatory measures against foreign trading counterparts ir they do not have their market opened to the same degree as the U.S. Its problem is that a retaliatory action taken against a particular country on the basis of the reciprocity principle would amount to the outright violation of the principle of unconditional Most Favored Nation treatment. Therefore, the solutions to problem arising from retaliatory environment of international trade should not be sought through the aggressive and threatening application of the reciprocity principle but by strengthening the existing the WTO system and exploring alternatives to satisfy all the parties concerned to the greatest possible extent.

유로화의 出帆과 共同通貨制度 : Significance & Implications for Global Economy

차철호 중앙대학교 경제연구소 2002 經濟論文集 Vol.- No.17

European Union(EU) adopt a common currency, the euro. The birth of the euro zone resulted in fixed exchange rates among EMU member countries. In order to share a single currency, they agree to give up national currencies entirely and to hand over control of their monetary policies to a European System of Central Banks(ESCB). The purpose of this paper is to present the theory of optimum currency areas contributed by R.A. Mundell and R. McKinnon, and to discuss its influences on global monetary system. Finally, this paper concludes with an empirical evaluation of Europe's experience of monetary unification, in terms of the extent of intra-European trade, labor mobility, similarity of economic structure.

世界經濟構圖의 三極化와 韓國經濟의 對應戰略

車鐵豪 중앙대학교 경제연구소 1993 經濟論文集 Vol.- No.7