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On marginal integration in nonparametric additive regression : 비모수적 가법회귀모형에서 부분적분 방법
비모수적 커널 회귀모형에서는 설명변수의 차원이 높아짐에 따라 추정량의 정확도가 떨어지는 문제가 발생한다. 이 문제를 해결하기 위해 Hastie & Tibshirani (1990) 는 가법 회귀 모형을 도입하였다. 하지만 이러한 방법으로 추정된 추정량에 대한 통계적 성질은 쉽게 알 수 없기에 이에 대한 대안으로 Linton & Nielsen (1995) 은 부분 적분 방법을 소개하였다. 이 논문에서는 주어진 가법 회귀 모형에서 얻어진 추정량에 기반을 두고, 부분 적분 방법을 적용해 얻어질 수 있는 새로운 두 가지 추정량에 대한 편의와 분산 등의 점근적 성질을 밝히고, 또한 모의실험을 통해 유한표본에서의 성질 역시 비교해 본다. In nonparametric kernel regression, the precision of estimators' gets worse as dimension of explanatory variables goes high curse of dimensionality. To solve this problem, Hastie and Tibshirani (1990) introduced Generalized Additive Model. But its statistical properties of this method are not well understood, so Linton and Nielsen proposed marginal integration method. In this thesis, we will analyze the asymptotic properties (bias, variance) of two estimators' which are based on a given estimator and applied marginal integration method. In addition, we also analyze a finite sample property through a simulation study.
이미희 동국대학교 문화예술대학원 2003 국내석사
Chae-Bong Jung is one of the most noticed person in juvenile literature by presentation works based on intense style and strong humanism. In this study, to identify his literature substance of pure spirit as a writer, the subjective character was examined the realized condition by relating with the writer's spirit, then by adding the formal feature showed on his literature I understood and evaluated the value of his fairy tales. Chae-Bong Jung expresses the theme through clear spirit of a writer and compact composition from fantastic and allegoristic story to realistic story for juvenile. He sublimates his past heartache into love and encouragement with optimistic thinking through self-realization. That is his literature. On the basis of his works, there are Buddhistic mercy and Christian humanism such as love, sacrifice, service etc. The love being the ground of his fairy tale is showed as nature love, human love and truth seeking love for various social problems, and inspires the essence into the literature. The spiritual world of subject realization understands the 'small existences' of being difficult and neglected as objectives having ultimate truth of life by <the concern and love of small existences>, <practice of love through self-sacrifice>, <nature love and humanism>, and <Understanding of the realities of life>, then endows values to their overcoming of realities. He makes much of human dignity, the value of existence by forming mental value rather than materials and leads to human salvation. Also the reconsidering thinking about civilization and recurrence to the nature are related naturally to recovery of human nature based on sacrifice and love by the writer's compassion towards nature and life. As for the formal feature, he tells a story by selecting things that can leave true impressions regardless of time and space through the aside of the white cloud, story teller in the series fairy tale River flowing into the pupil. It's natural composition and unfolds the story calmly with direct telling by causing gradual curiosity and inquisitiveness, as giving calm impression not stimulating dramatic disposition. As for the feature in style, he raises resilience and implication and makes the mood suggestive and beautiful by using various metaphors, and enlarges the mood and sympathy by using <various description>, <quotation of rhyme, nursery rhyme, poem etc.>, <suggestive and fantastic metaphors>, <variously expressed symbolic adverb>, <simple style>on the basis of clean writing style and dramatic composition compacted with moderated description and conversation. As for the emotional expression as well, it is visual, auditory, simple and beautiful, so it makes the mood of story more fantastic. These features of writing style raise the specific aesthetics of Chae-Bong Jung fairy tales being harmonized together and not showing effects separately. Therefore, he could be said that he attributed a lot to establish a frame of juvenile literature with writer's spirit to realize warm human nature to children by this beautiful technique of poetic fantasy. He expresses his subjective senses with density through clear spirit of writer and accurate composition. He expresses pure and innocent world of the heart of children by sublimating his own mind. He is said that he concentrated his efforts to find out pure mind existing in human's inner nature through fairy tales, recognized the heart of children as the pure root of the world, and dreamt of reconstruction to pure life and recovery of human heartstrings in modern society.
기능적 활동중심 수학교수프로그램이 지적장애학생의 화폐계산능력에 미치는 효과
본 연구는 기능적 활동중심 수학교수프로그램이 지적장애학생의 화폐계산능력의 향상과 유지에 어떠한 영향을 미치는지 알아보는 것이다. 이러한 연구목적에 따라 다음과 같은 연구문제를 설정하였다. 본 연구의 연구문제는 1) 기능적 활동중심 수학교수프로그램이 지적장애학생의 전반적인 화폐계산능력의 학습에 효과적인가?, 2) 기능적 활동중심 수학교수프로그램이 지적장애학생의 하위영역별 화폐계산능력(금액알기, 잔돈바꾸기, 물건값 계산하기, 거스름돈 계산하기)의 학습에 효과적인가? 이다. 위의 연구문제를 알아보기 위해 부산광역시에 거주하고 있는 중학교 지적장애학생 3명을 대상으로 단일대상 연구법의 행동간(하위영역별 화폐계산능력) 중다간헐기초선설계를 사용하였다. 연구결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 기초선과 중재 후 검사결과 비교에서 지적장애학생의 화폐계산능력이 증가한 것으로 나타났으며 유지에도 효과적인 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 기능적 활동중심 수학교수프로그램이 지적장애학생의 전반적인 화폐계산능력 학습에 긍정적인 효과를 미친다고 할 수 있다. 둘째, 지적장애학생의 하위영역별 중재 결과를 보면, 중재 기간이 차이가 있긴 하나 모든 하위영역에서 능력이 향상 된 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 기능적 활동중심 수학교수프로그램이 지적장애학생의 금액알기, 잔돈바꾸기, 물건값 계산하기, 거스름돈 계산하기의 모든 영역의 학습에 긍정적인 효과를 미친다고 할 수 있다. The purpose of this study is to examine how mathematics teaching program based on functional activity affects improvement and maintenance of intellectually-challenged students’ ability to calculate money. For this purpose, the following research problems have been set: 1) Is mathematics teaching program based on functional activity effective for improvement and maintenance of intellectually-challenged students’ ability to calculate money? 2) Is mathematics teaching program based on functional activity effective for intellectually-challenged students for learning the sub-domains (knowing the price, changing small changes, calculating price, calculating change)? To study these problems, a multiple probe design between behaviors (subdomains of money calculation) of single subject research was conducted with three intellectually-challenged middle school students living in Busan. First, the baseline data of the subjects in the four subdomains were collected, and then, the baseline data was collected only for knowing the price, for which mediation will be performed first, while the baseline data for the rest of the subdomains were collected periodically. The baseline data was evaluated by questionnaire. And, when the baseline of knowing the price stabilized, mediation was immediately started, and, simultaneously, the baseline data for changing small changes was collected for the second mediation. Here, mediation was discontinued if the achievement in knowing the price reached 80% for 3 times or more or if it was repeated 15 times. With the same method, mediation was performed in turn for the remaining subdomains, and, when all mediation was completed, a week of rest period was given before performing 3 times of maintenance tests were performed. The study led to the following results: First, in comparison of test results between baseline and posttest result, the ability of the intellectually-challenged students to calculate money improved and was effectively maintained. Therefore, mathematics teaching program based on functional activity had a positive effect on improvement and maintenance of intellectually-challenged students’ ability to calculate money. Second, in the result of mediation in subdomains of the intellectually-challenged students, although there was a difference in mediation period, the abilities improved in all subdomains. Therefore, mathematics teaching program based on functional activity was effective for the intellectually-challenged students for learning all sub-domains - knowing the price, changing small changes, calculating price, calculating change.
본 연구의 목적은 노인의 연명치료중단 사전의사결정 의도에 대한 설명모형을 개발하고 검증하는 것이다. 가설적 모형은 죽음준비도, 가족 및 동료지지의 2개 외생변수와 연명치료중단 태도, 사전의사결정 효능감, 사전의사결정 의도를 포함하는 3개의 내생변수로 구성하였다. 자료수집은 2011년 3월 14일부터 4월 2일 까지 455명의 만 65세 노인을 대상으로 하였으며, 설문지를 이용하였다. 자료 분석은 기술적 통계와 상관관계 분석을 위해 SPSS Win 18.0 program을 이용하였으며, 모형검증은 AMOS 18.0 Win program을 사용하였다. 연구결과는 다음과 같다. 1. 가설적 모형의 전반적 부합도가 낮아 모형을 수정하였고, 수정 모형의 부합도 지수는 다음과 같다.( = 72.25 = 20, p = 0.00, = 3.61, GFI = 0.97, RMR = 0.10, RMSEA = 0.08, AGFI = 0.92, NFI = 0.96, NNFI = 0.95, PNFI = 0.54, CFI = 0.97, AIC = 122.25) 2. 가설적 모형의 8개의 가설적 경로 가운데 7개의 경로가 지지되었으며, 가설검증 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 1) 사전의사결정 의도는 가족 및 동료지지, 연명치료중단 태도와 사전의사결정 효능감에 의해 직접적인 영향을 받으며, 가족 및 동료지지와 죽음준비도에 의해 간접적인 영향을 받았다. 이상의 변수들에 의한 사전의사결정 의도의 설명변이는 47%였다. 2) 연명치료중단 태도는 죽음준비도와 가족 및 동료지지에 의해 직접적인 영향을 받으며, 이 변수들에 의해 25% 설명되었다. 3) 사전의사결정 효능감은 죽음준비도와 가족 및 동료지지에 의해 직접적인 영향을 받으며, 이 변수들에 의해 25% 설명되었다. 이 연구결과를 통해, 노인의 연명치료중단 사전의사결정 의도에 가족 및 동료지지, 연명치료중단 태도, 사전의사결정 효능감, 죽음준비도가 영향을 미치는 요인임을 알 수 있었다. 그러므로 노인의 연명치료중단 사전의사결정 의도를 증진하기 위한 간호중재는 연명치료중단 태도와 사전의사결정 효능감에 초점을 맞추어야 한다. 특히 가족 및 동료지지는 노인의 사전의사결정 의도를 향상 시킬 수 있는 결정적인 간호중재 전략이다. The purpose of this study is to develop and verify an explanatory model of the elderly?s intent of advance directives regarding the discontinuation of meaningless life-sustaining treatment. The hypothetical model was constructed with two exogenous variables?family and peer support and end-of-life preparation?and three endogenous variables?attitude toward the discontinuation of meaningless life-sustaining treatment, the efficacy of advance directives, and intent of advance directives. Data were collected from March 14 to April 2, 2011 through face-to-face interviews by using a structured questionnaire from a convenience sample of older adults. The descriptive and correlation statistics were analyzed using SPSS/WIN 18.0, and the proposed model was tested and modified using structural equation modeling in AMOS 18.0. The hypothetical model did not provide an acceptable fit to the data, and the model was modified. Goodness-of-fit indexes indicated that the modified model fitted the data well.( = 72.25 = 20, p = 0.00, = 3.61, GFI = 0.97, RMR = 0.10, RMSEA = 0.08, AGFI = 0.92, NFI = 0.96, NNFI = 0.95, PNFI = 0.54, CFI = 0.97, AIC = 122.25) The results demonstrated that the intention of advance directives was directly influenced by family and peer support, attitude toward the discontinuation of meaningless life-sustaining treatment, and the efficacy of advance directives. In addition, the intention of advance directives was indirectly influenced by family and peer support and end-of-life preparation. Attitude toward the discontinuation of mea- ningless life-sustaining treatment was directly influenced by end-of- life preparation and family and peer support. The efficacy of advance directives was directly influenced by end-of-life preparation and family and peer support. All of the latent variables explained 47% of the variance in the intention of advance directives. The strongest predictor of the intention was family and peer support. The results of this study suggest that in order to improve the elderly?s intent of advance directives regarding the discontinuation of meaningless life-sustaining treatment, nursing interventions should focus on enhancing their attitude toward the discontinuation of meaningless life-sustaining treatment and the efficacy of advance directives. In particular, family and peer support is a crucial intervention strategy that can enhance the elderly?s intent of advance directives.
이미희 부산대학교 일반대학원 2004 국내석사
Technical indicators are normally used to monitor the stock prices and assist investors to set up trading rules to make the buy-sell-hold decision. The rules can predict to certain extent buy not always the price movement of stocks. The accuracy of the rules is dependent on the time and the best trading rule is determinant by the accuracy. Certain combination of trading rules will generate more reliable buy-sell-hold signals for a particular sock in a certain period of time. In this paper, we propose a knowledge based decision making system for stock trading strategies. The proposed system analyzes the stock historical price and transaction volume using technical indicators and trading rules and advises the investor on making decision on the next-day stock trading(buy-sell-hold). Technical indicators that we are using include MACD, CCI, ROC, Stochastic, VR, OBV, PSY, RSI. Parameter and structure of the technical indicators and trading rules are automatic optimization based on the profit. Experiments are conducted to evaluate the performance of the system. The data used for analysis are blue-chip items. The analysis period is from January 1, 2003 to December 31, 2003. Risk management is accomplished by Stop Loss. The results indicate that the system can get more returns than buy and hold strategies.
이 연구에서는 충청 지역 11개 관측 지점 자료와 지리환경변화 자료를 이용하여 충청지역의 국지적 기후특성과 도시화 댐건설과 같은 관측소 주변 환경의 변화가 국지기후 특성에 미치는 영향에 대해 조사하였다. 관측소 주변 환경의 변화가 각 관측소의 국지기후특성에 미치는 영향은 인위적 변화가 가장 적었던 추풍령 자료를 기준으로 하였다. 즉, 댐 건설이나 관측소 이전과 같이 관측소 주변 환경의 변화가 있을 경우 그 변화 시점 전후의 각 지점별 국지기후특성 차에서 동일 기간의 추풍령 지점의 국지기후특성 차를 빼는 방식을 이용하였다. 또한 각 관측소의 해발고도나 해안으로부터의 거리가 국지기후 특성에 미치는 영향에 대해서도 분석하였다. 한반도 중서부에 위치하는 충청지역의 기온(평균, 최저, 최고)은 대체적으로 내륙지방이면서 해발고도가 높은 제천에서 가장 낮게 나타났고 대도시 지역인 대전과 청주에서 가장 높게 나타났다. 해안과 접하고 있을 뿐만 아니라 상대적으로 지형이 낮은 충남지역에서 내륙이면서 해발고도가 높은 충북지역보다 약 0.2~1.5℃가량 높았다. 평균기온의 경우 여름에는 동서경도가 크고 겨울에는 남북경도가 크게 나타나고 있으며 경년변동은 겨울에 표준편차가 1.6~1.9℃로 가장 크게 나타났다. 강수량은 다른 지역과 같이 경년 및 계절변동은 클 뿐만 아니라 6, 7, 8월 및 10월에는 공간편차도 크게 나타나고 있다. 또한 우리나라 전체에서 강수량이 증가하는 것과 같이 충청지역에서도 강수량이 증가하는 것으로 나타나고 있다. 일변동은 해안가인 서산, 보령과 부여, 천안지역에서는 새벽에만 1차 최대가 강하게 나타나는 반면 추풍령, 청주, 대전, 금산 및 제천에서는 새벽과 오후에 최대치가 2회 발생하고 있다. 댐건설이 국지기후에 미치는 영향은 상대습도와 안개일수에서 확연하게 나타나고 있다. 충주댐의 건설로 충주지역에서는 전 계절에 걸쳐 안개일수가 약 4-5일씩 증가하여 연평균 안개일수가 약 70일정도로 댐건설전보다 약 23.6일이 증가되었다. 대청댐 인근 지역인 대전과 청주에서는 댐 건설 후 안개 일수가 오히려 줄어들고 있는 데 이는 이들 지역에서 도시열섬과 밤 운량 증가의 영향으로 최저기온이 크게 상승한 점과 두 관측소가 댐으로부터 거리가 먼 것이 복합적으로 작용한 것으로 추정된다. 충청지역에서는 11개 관측소 중 7개 지역에서 적어도 1회 이상 관측소 이전이 있었다. 이들 관측소를 옮긴 지역의 기온 변화 값을 추풍령 지역의 변화 값과 비교할 때 관측소 이전 후 평균기온은 -0.3~0.5℃, 최고 기온은 -0.5~0.7℃, 최저기온은 -0.4~1.3℃로 다양하게 변한 것으로 나타나고 있다. 이것은 관측소 이전에 따른 주변 환경변화와 함께 현재 진행되고 있는 도시화 및 지구온난화의 영향이 복합적으로 작용하였기 때문으로 보인다. 도시화, 관측소 이전, 댐 건설 등과 같은 관측소 주변 환경의 변화가 관측기후특성에 미치는 영향은 매우 크고 다양함이 본 연구에서 밝혀졌다. 따라서 앞으로는 관측자료를 이용하여 기후특성이나 변동경향을 연구할 때에는 이러한 점을 반드시 고려하여야 할 것이다. 이를 위해서는 도시화, 관측소 이전, 댐 건설 등과 같은 관측소 주변 환경의 변화가 관측기후특성에 미치는 영향을 분리 및 정량화하는 연구가 필요하다. In this study, local climate and impacts of environment changes on the local climate are examined using the ground observation data obtained from 11 stations located at the Choongchung province, history of observing stations, and other related geographic informations. In order to quantify the impacts of environmental changes of observing station on the local climate, Chupungnyeong data are used as a reference data because this station is free from urbanization, dam construction and station movement. In general, climatic mean temperatures(mean, maximum, minimum) are slightly colder at inland area (e.g., Jecheon) than the urban area(e.g., Daejeon, Cheongju) and the coastal area(e.g., Seosan, Boryeong). And the spatial distribution of temperature is clearly dependent on the season and temperature type(mean, maximum, minimum). As in other regions, precipitation shows a strong interannual and seasonal variation with a increasing trend. And a significant spatial contrast of precipitation is found in June, July, August and October. Only one early morning peak is occurred at Seosan, Boryeong, whereas early morning and late afternoon peaks are occurred at the inland area, Daejeon, Chungju. The impacts of dam construction on the local climate is significant at fog days and relative humidity. After dam construction at Chungju, foggy days are greatly increased from 47 to 70days, the increasing days are very consistent without regard to the season, about 4-5 days. However, the fog days at Daejeon and Cheongju are slightly decreased after the Daechung dam construction. It is related with the increase of minimum temperature by urban heat island effect and increased nighttime cloud amount. Also the long distance of two stations from the dam contributed to the weakening of the impacts of dam construction. More than one time movement has been occurred at 7 stations among the 11 stations. The impacts of station movement are significantly different according to the climatic elements(mean temperature: -0.3~0.5℃, maximum temperature: -0.5~0.7℃, minimum temperature: -0.4~1.3℃) and geographic locations when compared to the changes of the same period at Chupungnyeong. The reasons for this diverse impacts are the combined effects of urbanization, station movements, global warming and environment changes, such as dam construction. The results showed that urbanization, station movements, global warming and environment changes, such as dam construction, should be considered to investigate the detailed local climate and their related changes.
The government is increasing its investment in R&D by over 10% annually and part of the increase is for the innovation of non-metropolitan areas. The reason for the financial investment expansion of R&D for non-metropolitan areas is that such areas will play a major role in the nation's future economic growth. The investment expansion aims to help communities in the areas lay the foundations for their own independent economic growth. The growth of their strategic industries will be the groundwork for the nation's sustainable economic growth. However, there has rarely been investment that is appropriate for the areas' specialized industries or mid- and long-term industry development strategies. Despite the massive amount of the financial investment, diversified investment by top-down arbitrary budget sharing is decreasing the investment efficiency in the areas' IT sector and thus harms their balanced development. Meanwhile, the IT sector of Chungbuk province is an exception: a growing number of start-up companies are entering the province. The sector has indirectly contributed to the area's growth by increasing its income except in the case of recessions. However, it has not been successful in bringing employment stabilization, a direct effect of IT industries to the growth of their areas. Also, it is heavily dependent on the government's R&D investment for its competitiveness. With such investment being focused on the metropolitan area, it is not making a significant contribution to the growth of Chungbuk. This study looks into the core strategic industries and R&D projects of Chungbuk. In the process, it aims to maximize the result of the R&D projects and provide plans for the continuous growth of the province's industries.