순자산가치를 고려한 농가의 빈곤탈출 요인 분석

강민정 ( Minjeong Kang ),안동환 ( Donghwan An ) 한국농업경제학회 2017 KOREAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS(KJAT) Vol.58 No.3

This study examined the factors affecting exit from poverty of farm household based on an income net worth approach by using a stratified Cox proportional hazard model called PWP-CP model. We found that exit from poverty is more difficult for the households who are young, female headed, and small scale. Our results also show that farm households with less land and transfer income including subsidies are more likely to suffer from long-term poverty. These results imply that with an expansion to subscribe Reverse Mortgage Products such as farmland pensions, income diversification policies such as the 6th-industrialization policies, and the expansion of a fundamental welfare policy should be also considered important in order to solve long-term poverty problems of the farm household.

국가수준 식품소비 다양성 변화패턴 및 결정요인 분석

이희성 ( Heeseong Lee ),안동환 ( Donghwan An ) 한국농업경제학회 2021 農業經濟硏究 Vol.62 No.4

While the significance of food consumption diversity has been widely recognized with increased demands, numerous studies on food consumption diversity have been conducted. However, there is still a lack of research to identify the changes and detailed factors of food consumption diversity. The purpose of this study is to analyze the international level of food consumption diversity index as an attempt to examine in-depth changes and identify the patterns and determinants. This study utilized the Entropy index decomposition analysis and panel regression model using the food balance sheet from Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and the World Bank's international statistics. The results show that the diversity among the food groups (inter-food diversity index) and the diversity within the food groups (intra-food diversity index) both gradually increased worldwide, and their changes were correlated with income level, regional differences, and staple food. In addition, this study confirmed previously identified determinants of the food consumption diversity: income level, education level, women’s participation in economic activities, and urbanization rate. In particular, this study also confirmed the effect of the type of staple food and the degree of trade activation as the main determinants. This study provides more objective and in-depth results through analysis of the international level of food consumption diversity by detailed factors and the country group. This study is meaningful in that it provided the necessary implications not only for domestic food policy but also for agricultural development cooperation projects with developing countries that need to improve general nutrition and qualitative food security.

어가의 어촌 6차산업화 사업유형 결정요인 분석

이세진 ( Lee Sejin ),안동환 ( An Donghwan ) 한국농촌계획학회 2021 농촌계획 Vol.27 No.1

The purpose of this study is to investigate the factors affecting the types of the 6th industrialization of fishery households. In this study we tried to explain the significance of the demographic and managerial characteristics of fishery households when they choose the types of the 6th industrialization business. Multinomial logistic model was used for this analysis. This study shows that the household and fishery management characteristics, main method of fishing, and regional factors matters for fishery households to choose their business types. Our results implies that it is necessary to reflect the detailed support measures differentiated by business types when implementing the 6th industrialization policy for fishery sector. In addition, the sixth industrialization of fishery should not be limited to marine products, but agricultural products produced in fishing villages should be included.

농촌 과소화마을의 변화 분석

박진우,이태호,안동환,Park, Jen-Woo,Lee, Taeho,An, Donghwan 한국농촌계획학회 2018 농촌계획 Vol.24 No.2

The main purpose of this study is to explore the factors that affect the transformation of over-depopulated rural villages. Specifically, we investigated the reasons of the rapid decrease in the number of over-populated rural villages shown by recent census data in spite of the continuing decrease of population in rural area. We used a binary-logit model and the Census of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries data(2010, 2015). The main results are summarized as followed: First, the over-depopulated rural villages with strong agronomic base are more likely to exit from over-depopulation. Second, returners from urban to rural have a positive impacts on the revival of over-depopulated rural areas. Thirds, improving the basic services accessibility of rural residents is also critical for keeping rural community more sustainable. These findings can be used to make effective strategies to revive the depopulated rural villages.

농가의 정보접근성이 농가판매액에 미치는 영향 분석

김민경 ( Minkyung Kim ),안동환 ( Donghwan An ) 한국농업경제학회 2017 農業經濟硏究 Vol.58 No.1

The purpose of this study is to examine the determinants of farmers` participation in informatization activities and the effects of information accessibility on the farm sales earning. This paper considers three variables to capture farmers` accessibility to information; if a farmer uses computer or not; if the farmer belongs to the village carrying out an Information Network Village Program; and if the farmer participates in any farmers` organization including producers` organization. A two-stage model is applied to avoid any endogeneity problem related with information accessibility and farm sales. We found that education level, participating in non-farming activities such as tourism or marketing related activities, the level of regional information infrastructure, and participating in farmers organizations have some positive impacts on the information accessibility of farmers. Furthermore, the enhanced accessibility to information is likely to increase the farm sales earnings, while the effectiveness of information on farm sales earnings seems to decline as the size of farm sales earnings increases.

신선육과 가공육으로 분리된 육류의 수요체계 분석

박시현(Sihyun Park),안동환(Donghwan An) 한국농식품정책학회 2020 농업경영정책연구 Vol.47 No.2

This study aims to analyze the demand system of Korean meat products with which we can take into account fresh meat and processed meat separately by using a non-linear Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) model. The results show that individual characteristics, seasonality, and livestock disease outbreak have different effects on the demand for fresh meat and processed meat. Elderly people seem to consume more fresh meat rather than processed meat and there is also seasonal variation in processed meat consumption. The outbreak of HPAI has negative impacts on the consumption of fresh chicken, while the expenditure share of processed chicken increased after the outbreak. Finally, the cross-price elasticity estimates show a complementary relationship between processed beef and processed chicken. The domestic fresh beef demand is estimated to be elastic with respect to the price of fresh pork, while the demand for processed pork is elastic with respect to the price of domestic fresh beef price.

수입 밀 가격의 밀가루 및 라면에 대한 비대칭적 가격전이 효과 분석

우성휘(Woo, Sunghwi),안동환(An, Donghwan),김관수(Kim, Kwansoo) 한국농업경제학회 2017 農業經濟硏究 Vol.58 No.4

This study examines the effects of imported wheat on price of flour and ramen with a focus on asymmetric price transmission. The rise in price of imported wheat affects the change in domestic wholesale price of flour after a considerable period of time. And the effects of flour’s wholesale prices on retail prices differ slightly depending on distribution channels. In particular, asymmetric price transmission is relatively clear in distribution channels which have large sales, compared to small distribution channels. The above results show that the cause of asymmetric price transmission may be the difference of the distribution process of products. On the other hand, fluctuations in prices of raw materials, including flour, did not affect the wholesale price of ramen. This seems to be because the share of raw materials in the production cost of ramen is lower than that of flour, and ramen is the subject of government s price control.

논밭 범용화사업의 사회적 후생효과 추정 : 식량작물을 중심으로

강민정(Minjeong Kang),민선형(Sunhyung Min),안동환(Donghwan An),김지은(Jieun Kim),김관수(Kwansoo Kim),이향미(Hyangmi Yi) 한국농식품정책학회 2019 농업경영정책연구 Vol.46 No.4

This study examined social welfare effects of the ‘Multiple-Purpose Utilization Project for Paddy Fields’. Under the assumption that the project would be implemented for 41,447ha in Korea for 21 years, we found that the effects of the project depend on durable years of the infrastructure, farmers’ choices on which crops to plant, and double-cropped area. We also found that the net benefits from the project were 3,699.7~3,717.1 billion won for 51 years under 30 years durability and 4,937.1~4,956.2 billion won for 71 years under 50 years of durability. However, the project would have negative economic effects when farmers who participate keep cultivating rice. Therefore, it is essential to give farmers a form of incentives such as income assistance to encourage them to cultivate field crops.

북한 대중예술 및 미디어 보도의 표현분석을 통한 협동 농장 정책 연구: 분조의 주인과 로동신문을 중심으로

임채환 ( Lim Chehwan ),안동환 ( An Donghwan ) 북한연구학회 2020 北韓硏究學會報 Vol.24 No.2

2000년대 이후 북한은 경제난을 타개하기 위하여 여러 경제 개혁 조치를 시행하고 있으며, 농업 분야에서도 각종 농업정책이 도입되고 있다. 그러나 북한은 여전히 세계 최빈국 수준이며, 식량 증산에 실패하여 만성적 결핍 상태가 지속되고 있다. 본 연구는 북한의 대중예술(영화 분조의 주인)과 미디어 보도(로동신문)를 활용하여 북한 당국이 선전하는 농업 정책과 실질적인 성과를 미시적 단위(협동농장)에서 살펴본다. 통계와 수치자료에 기반하지 않은 정성적 분석 방법은 연구의 한계이지만, 동시에 북한의 정량적 자료가 제약된 상황 하에서 북한의 농정(협동농장) 실태를 조망하고, 변화를 추적하기 위하여 시도된 노력이라고 평가할 수 있다. 분석 결과, 영화에 반영된 과거(2012년)와 로동신문에 나타난 최근(2015~2020년) 동안 협동농장 운영에 관한 표현은 유사성이 매우 높았다. 북한 당국은 여전히 식량 증산의 절박성과 시급성을 다양한 수사로 강조하고 있었으며, 농업정책 또한 농장 구성원을 사상적으로 교양시켜 신실한 근로자로 만들며 주요 농업 투입재로 후민산 비료의 도입과 적절한 사용을 강조하고 있었다. 협동농장 운영 정책이 유의미하게 변화하지 않았다는 것은 북한 농업 개혁의 실패의 주요 원인 가운데 하나로 작용되었을 것으로 판단된다. Since the 2000s, North Korea has implemented various economic reform measures to overcome its economic difficulties, and various agricultural policies have been introduced in the agricultural sector. However, North Korea is still the poorest country in the world, and its failure to increase food production has led to chronic shortages. This study uses North Korea’s popular arts (the owner of the movie division) and media coverage (Rodong Sinmun) to examine the agricultural policies and practical achievements promoted by the North Korean authorities in micro-unit (cooperative farm) and suggest the cause of the failure of the agricultural administration. While qualitative analysis methods, which are not based on statistics and numerical data, are the limitations of research, at the same time, it can be evaluated as a new effort that has been attempted to view changes and actual conditions in North Korea’s agricultural administration under circumstances where quantitative data in the North is restricted. According to the analysis, the terms used in the Rodong Sinmun to describe how cooperative farms operate in 2012 and in the period between 2015 and 2020 were very similar. The North Korean authorities were still emphasizing the urgency of increasing food production through various investigations, and the agricultural policy was also emphasizing the introduction and proper use of the Fumic fertilizer as a major agricultural input, by enhancing the knowledge of farm workers and making them more devoted to their work . The fact that the policy of operating cooperative farms has not changed significantly is believed to have served as one of the main reasons for the failure of North Korea’s agricultural reform.

농가의 리스크 밸런싱 행위 분석

추성민(Sungmin Cheu),안동환(Donghwan An) 한국농업경제학회 2018 農業經濟硏究 Vol.59 No.3

This study examines farm households’ risk balancing behavior in Korea. We use a SUR (seemingly unrelated regression) model to reflect the interdependence in farm households’ risk balancing behavior where they adjust their financial structure, off-farm work decisions, and consumption level, etc. We find that Korean farm households make strategic farm financial risk decisions, off-farm business decisions, and consumption adjustment in response to exogenous changes in expected farm risk or business risk. This study also shows that large farms make more use of off-farm risk balancing, while small farms appear to make more use of financial risk balancing and adjusting consumption level.