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How Democracy Facilitates South Korean Interest in Free Trade Agreements
A. 쿠퍼 드러리,Jonathan Krieckhaus,Chika Yamamoto 한국학술연구원 2014 Korea Observer Vol.45 No.1
In recent years South Korea has been unusually active in signingfree trade agreements (FTAs), which is usually seen as a sign of thecountry’s economic interest in expanding trade. We argue thatKorean foreign economic policy also follows a political interest,namely that Korea prefers to pursue FTAs with fellow democracies rather than with authoritarian regimes. This preference for democracieshas three complementary origins: 1) democratic dyads arepeaceful dyads, such that Korea need not worry about empoweringrival nations through FTAs, 2) democratic regimes are more accountable,such that FTAs are more likely to be enforced in a democraticregime, and 3) democratic countries are more likely to see a nationalinterest in FTAs, further increasing the chances of Korea pursuing aFTA. We test this argument with an original dataset on Korea’s FTAconsideration from 2000 to 2011, using Cox Proportional Hazardsmodels.
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Diversionary Dragons, or “Talking Tough in Taipei”: Cross-Strait Relations in the New Millennium
이탄 리,패트릭 제임스,A. 쿠퍼 드러리 동아시아연구원 2009 Journal of East Asian Studies Vol.9 No.3
Much has been written on the triangular, and increasingly high-profile, China-Taiwan-US relations. However, scholars have yet to apply Diversionary Theory to the China-Taiwan dyad. DT argues that leaders may resort to international conflict when domestic political and economic situations become troublesome, aiming at directing public attention away from problems at home. While creation of explicit military conflict in the Taiwan Strait by Taipei is deemed quite unlikely, more subtle processes of diversion might be expected instead. This article applies a variant on DT to assess whether leaders in Taipei have used rhetoric about Taiwan independence or unification as a distraction from domestic problems during the years leading up to Taiwan's 2004 presidential election. We find that, as the president's approval sinks, pro-independence rhetoric becomes more likely. Overall, the results of this study confirm extension of DT to the case of Taiwan and encourage further research applied to middle powers.
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An Exchange on, “Diversionary Dragons, or ‘Talking Tough in Taipei’”
Jonathan Sullivan,이탄 리,패트릭 제임스,A. 쿠퍼 드러리 동아시아연구원 2011 Journal of East Asian Studies Vol.11 No.1
In “Diversionary Dragons, or ‘Talking Tough in Taipei’” (Journal of East Asian Studies 9, 3: 369–398), Yitan Li, Patrick James, and A. Cooper Drury presented a newly created data set to show that Chen Shui used independence rhetoric and confrontation with the mainland as a diversionary tactic in the face of domestic political difficulties. In the present exchange, Jonathan Sullivan challenges the authors’ understanding of how the Democratic Progressive Party used the Taiwan independence issue—and the authors’ interpretation of independence—and raises questions about the coding of press coverage as a means of identifying true preferences. The authors respond, concluding that the future use of such diversionary tactics is by no means foreclosed.
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