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이호상 ( Ho Sang Lee ),김철상 ( Chul Sang Kim ),김동현 ( Dong Hyeon Kim ),전현선 ( Hyon Sun Jeon ),윤나영 ( Na Young Yoon ) 한국임학회 2014 산림과학 공동학술대회 논문집 Vol.2014 No.-
2013년 목재 및 나무제품 제조업의 생산량은 증가하였지만, 국내 건설경기의 불황이 지속되면서 재고량이 증가하고 있다. 펄프, 종이 및 종이제품 제조업은 2013년 2월 이후 10개월 연속 출하량 이 증가가 이어져오고 있다. 2013년 목재수급량은 2012년 27,819천㎥보다 332천㎥ 증가한 28,151천㎥으로 나타났다. 국산재 생산량(벌채수집 기준)은 5,038천㎥로 전년대비 6.2% 감소하였고, log 수입량은 3,757천㎥로 전년도 대비 1.9% 증가하였다. 뉴질랜드산 라디에타 소나무는 원목 총 수입량의 72%를 점유하였다. 뉴질랜드산 Radiata Pine(A-grade, C&F)의 2013년 연평균 수입 가격은 145$/㎥로 중국의 원목 수입량이 크게 증가하여 전년대비 14$/㎥ 상승하였다. 남양재 원목은 산지의 부존자원과 기후의 영향으로 생산량이 감소하고 중국 등 수입국의 수요 증가로 가격은 상승세가 지속될 것으로 보인다. 목재제품 중 제재목 수입량은 1,756천㎥로 전년대비(1,623천㎥) 8.2% 증가하였다. 이는 최근 우리나라 목재류 수입의 특징으로 원목수입량은 감소하는 반면, 1차 가공품의 수입량이 증가하고 있기 때문이다. 또한 plywood, MDF, PB 생산량은 0.6~2.8% 감소하였고 수입량은 2.4~15.3% 증가하였다. 목질 보드류의 수입량이 증가하는 것은 국내업체의 생산 능력과 원자재 수급 및 제품의 가격 경쟁의 한계로 분석되었다. While the production volume of 2013 increased in lumber and wood product manufacturing, the total stock has also been growing as the economic recession and stagnation in construction continue. Also, the shipment of pulp, paper and paper product manufacturing has continuously risen for 10 months since Feb 2013. The amount of wood supply and demand of 2013 was 28,151,000㎥, 332,000㎥ up from 27,819,000㎥ of 2012. The domestic lumber production (as of felling and collection volume) was 5,038,000㎥, falling by 6.2% from the previous year and the amount of log imports increased by 1.9% year on year to 3,757,000㎥. Radiata pine accounted for 72% of the total import volume. Its annual average import price of 2013 increased by 14$/㎥ from the previous year to 145$/㎥, as the import from China largely increased. The amount of Oceania timber production, however, has decreased due to the affect of the natural resources and climate while its price is expected to show rising trend. Meanwhile, the import amount of sawing lumber among wood products increased by 8.2% to 1,756,000㎥ from 1,623,000㎥ of the previous year. This reflects the national import trend of the wood products in which while the import amount of lumber continued to decrease, that of primary processed goods increased. Also, the amount of plywood, MDF, and PB production decreased 0.6~2.8% and their import amount increased by 2.4~15.3%. The limitation of the ability of domestic business to produce, the supply and demand of raw materials and the competitive prices were pointed as some reasons of the trend that the amount of imported woodboard products has continuously increased.
수질개선을 위한 한강 수계 상류지역 산림관리 지불의사금액 추정
김동현 ( Dong Hyun Kim ),김철상 ( Chul-sang Kim ),이호상 ( Ho Sang Lee ),박경석 ( Kyung Seok Park ),문지민 ( Ji-min Mun ),전현선 ( Hyon Sun Jeon ) 한국환경연구원 2015 환경정책연구 Vol.14 No.2
Forests in the upstream contributed to improve the quality of water resources for the residents downstream. However, upon structural examination of how the Han River Watershed Management Fund was spent, it became apparent that the fund was not spent toward forest management in the upstream. An additional budget must be allocated if the Watershed Management Committee is to contribute to the management of the upstream forests with such awareness. Therefore, the aim of the study was to assess the willingness to pay and to calculate of budget for forest management in the upstream for water quality improvement. Three hundred surveys on watershed beneficiaries were conducted using biased sampling method. The result was analyzed with conditional logit model and mixed logit model. Forest management, a target variable, was found to have statistical significance. Based on this result, the size of the expected budget was estimated to be minimum 20,526 million won to maximum 20,928 million won.