동북아시아의 세력균형과 군사력 수준 변화 연구: 세력균형이론에 기초한 2030년경의 동북아시아 안보환경 전망

김명수,Kim, Myung-soo 한국해양전략연구소 2021 해양안보 Vol.3 No.1

This study examines the distribution of power in Northeast Asia based on the balance of power theory, a representative theory of realism, assuming military capabilities as the core power of states. The results of previous studies on the balance of power and military forces are reviewed and used to analyze changes in the strength of the US, China, Russia, Japan, South Korea, and North Korea through 2020 to predict the security environment in 2030. In the balance of power theory, if the balance of power between a nation or a group of powers collapses, the possibility of war is high, and to survive in the international community with high uncertainty and distrust, the theory predicts that states must increase their powers in a self-help world and strengthen cooperation and alliance. Countries in Northeast Asia are also continuing to strengthen their military capabilities, and countries neighboring China are paying keen attention and remaining vigilant due to the rapid changes in the international security environment after the rapid rise of China. To mark the future 100th anniversary of the Chinese armed forces in the 2030s, China aims to realize 'defense and military modernization' and build a 'world-class military force' by the nation's 100th anniversary in the 2050s. The US is busy checking China's rise by strengthening international cooperation and alliances. The security environment and power dynamics in Northeast Asia are slowly changing as the US and China continue to compete for global hegemony. The changes and implications of the distribution of power in Northeast Asia after 2030 are examined based on the balance of power theory. 본 연구는 현실주의의 대표적 이론인 세력균형이론을 기초로 군사력을 국가의 핵심 힘으로 전제하여 동북아시아의 힘의 분포를 살펴본다. 이전 세력균형과 군사력 수준에 관한 연구결과를 고찰하고, 그 연구한 결과를 활용하여 2020년까지 미국, 중국, 러시아, 일본, 한국과 북한의 힘의 변화를 분석하여 2030년경 안보환경을 전망하여 본다. 세력균형이론에서 국가(nation)나 국가군(a group of power) 간에 힘의 균형이 무너지면 전쟁 가능성이 높고, 그 불확실성과 불신이 높은 국제사회에서 생존과 안전을 확보하기 위하여 국가는 힘의 증강(자조, self-help)과 더불어 협력(cooperation)과 동맹(alliance)을 더욱 강화하는 행동을 한다고 본다. 동북아시아의 국가들도 자국의 군사력을 지속 증강하고 있으며, 특히 중국의 급속한 부상으로 국제 안보환경의 급격한 변화에 주변 국가들은 촉각을 세우고 경계심을 늦추지 않고 있다. 중국은 2030년대 중국 창군 100주년과 더불어 '국방 및 군현대화'를 실현하고, 2050년대 건국 100주년에 '세계일류군대건설'을 목표로 하고 있다. 그리고 미국은 국제사회의 협력과 동맹 강화 등 중국 견제에 분주하다. 미국과 중국이 패권경쟁이 진행되고 있는 상황에서 동북아시아의 안보환경과 힘의 역학관계도 서서히 변하고 있다. 세력균형이론에 기초하여 2030년 이후 동북아시아의 힘의 분포 변화와 함의를 살펴보고자 한다.

"K"국민학교(國民學校) 아동(兒童)의 치아우식증(齒牙齲蝕症) 이환추이(罹患推移)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究)

김명수,Kim, Myung-Soo 대한소아치과학회 1974 大韓小兒齒科學會誌 Vol.1 No.1

The dental caries survey of "K" primary school children was performed twice for one year interval and evaluated the transitional trend of dental caries prevalences. The number of children surveyed at the first year, 1973, was 819 boys and 653 girls; and the second year, 1974, was 815 boys and 661 girls aged 6 to 12. Under this survey, the following results were detected: 1. The average df person rate in deciduous teeth was increased by 7.52% in boy, 5.59% in girl and 6.65% of both. 2. The average df Index in deciduous teeth was increased by 0.13 in boy, 0.04 in girl and 0.1 of both. The average dt Index was decreased by 0.59 in boy, 0.64 in girl and 0.61 of both. The average ft Index was increased by 0.73 in boy, 0.68 in girl and 0.71 of both. 3. There showed no significant differences in DMF person rate between 1973 and 1974. 4. The DMFT Index of the permanent teeth was decreased by 0.19 in boy, and increased by 0.22 in girl. There showed no significant differences in both sexes between 1973 and 1974. The average DT Index was decreased by 0.43 in boy, 0.03 in girl and 0.31 of both. The average FT Index was increased by 0.23 in boy; 0.35 in girl and 0.29 of both. The average MT Index showed no significant differences in both sexes between 1973 and 1974.

마이크로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 고속도로 화물차 전용차로 도입에 관한 연구

김명수,Kim, Myung-Soo 대한토목학회 2013 대한토목학회논문집 Vol.33 No.4

화물차 운송의 시간과 비용이 증가하여 물류비가 증가하게 되고 높은 물류비는 결과적으로 산업경쟁력의 저하로 이어지게 되므로 이 연구에서는 물류비 절감을 위해 고속도로에 화물차 전용차로 도입에 관한 연구를 실시하고자 한다. 연구의 대상지는 화물차의 통행이 많은 경부고속도로로 금호 JCT~남구미 IC 구간이고 이 구간에 기본차로, 버스전용차로 설치, 화물차 전용차로 설치, 두 전용차로를 설치시 그에 따른 운행속도, 밀도에 대해 도출하였다. 분석결과 화물차 전용차로 설치시 평균운행속도가 83.4km/h로 가장 높고 밀도는 22.47km/대로 가장 낮은 것으로 나타나 화물차 전용차로 도입시 긍정적인 영향을 미친다고 할 수 있다. The high distribution costs causes the increasing of truck delivery time and cost, which results in reducing industrial competitiveness incre. Therefore, This study conducted research into the introduction of truck only lane for reducting distribution costs. The site of study is Keumho JCT ~ Namgumi IC of Kyeongbu Expressway which has much truck traffic because of industrial complex. Thus, this study deduced travel speed and density in each scenaria(base, bus only lane, truck only lane, two only lane). According to analysis result, if a truck only lane install, the average driving speed is 83.4km/h as a highest and density 22.47veh/km as lowest. it means that if the truck only lane is install, it will be positive influence on the expressway

Micelle 형성에 관한 현상학적 고찰

김명수,Myung Soo Kim 대한화학회 1989 대한화학회지 Vol.33 No.5

계면활성제가 수용액 중에 용해되면 용액내에서 micelle이라는 응집체를 형성하며, micelle은 그 내부에 oil를 용해시켜 swollen micelle을 형성하게 된다. 실제로 물-oil-계면활성계의 상평형도상에서 micelle과 swollen micelle은 동일영역에 존재하게 되나 일반적으로 micelle과 swollen micelle의 형성에 관해서는 서로 다른 관점으로 취급되어 왔다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 계면활성제 응집체의 형성에 관한 일관된 열역학적 모델을 제시하고자 한다. 모든 경우에 저농도 영역에서 이상용액 이론을 적용하였으며, micelle 형성에너지는 소수성 작용에너지와 계면에서의 표면에너지의 합으로 표시하였다. 이론식으로부터 임계마이셀농도, 평균응집분자수, 용해비 등을 예측하였으며 실험관측치와 비교하였다. When the sufactants are dissolved in water, they associate to form micelles and solubilize oil inside the micelle to form swollen micelles. Although spherical aggregates like micelles and swollen micelles occupy the same regions in the phase diagram of water-oil-surfactant systems, they are treated in different viewpoint for the formation of such aggregates. Hence a unified thermodynamic formalism for the formation of such structure is presented in this study. In all cases, the to ideal solution theory is applied for dilute system and the energy of formation is expressed as the sum of hydrophobic interaction energy and surface energy due to surfactant film. From the model, critical micelle concentration (CMC), average aggregation number, and solubilization ratio are predicted and compared with the known experimental observation.

미국 대학교의 성공모델 - 듀크대학교

김명수,Kim, Myung-Soo 한국정보통신학회 2007 한국정보통신학회지 Vol.8 No.1

Study of Molecular Reorientation in Liquid with Raman Spectroscopy(III). Temperature Dependence of Molecular Rotation of $C_6F_6$ in Neat Liquid

김명수,Myung Soo Kim Korean Chemical Society 1984 대한화학회지 Vol.28 No.1

라만 분광법을 사용하여 순수한 액체 상태의 $C_6F_6$의 재배치 운동을 연구하였다. 라만 스펙트럼 중 ${\nu}_2$와 ${\nu}_16$ 밴드를 선정하여 그 모습을 293~333K온도 범위에서 측정하였다. 분자의 주대칭축($C_{6-}$축)의 회전 및 스핀운동에 관한 회전 확산 상수 ($D_{\bo}$, $D_{\parallel}$)가 온도의 함수로써 결정되었으며 이로부터 $C-6F_6$의 재배치운동은 명백히 비등방적임을 알게 되었다. 실험 결과를 유체역학적 모델로 분석하여 본 결과 주대칭축의 회전운동은 확산적이며 스핀운동은 관성적이라는 것이 밝혀졌다. The reorientational motion of $C_6F_6$ in neat liquid is investigated in the temperature range 293∼333K by analyzing ${\nu}_2$ and ${\nu}_16$ bands of its Raman spectrum. Diffusion constants for the tumbling ($D_{\bo}$) and spinning ($D_{\parallel}$) motions are determined. The reorientation of the molecule seems to be distinctly anisotropic. Based on the hydrodynamic model, the tumbling motion of the figure axis of $C_6F_6$ is largely diffusional. On the other hand, the spinning motion of the same axis looks mostly inertial.

Study of Molecular Reorientation in Liquid with Raman Spectroscopy (I). Anisotropic Rotation of CDC$l_3$ in Neat Liquid

김명수,신국조,Myung Soo Kim,Kook Joe Shin Korean Chemical Society 1982 대한화학회지 Vol.26 No.4

순수 액체상태의 $CDCl_3$의 비등방성 회전운동을 라만 스펙트럼의 ${\nu}_1$- band를 분석하여 조사하였다. 이로부터 분자의 $C_3$-대칭축에 수직한 축 주위로의 회전운동에 관계되는 확산상수($D_{II}$)는 위에서 얻은 $D_{\perp}$와$^35C$l의 NQR이완시간으로 부터 구하였다. 이렇게 구한 확산상수들은 $^2H$와 $^35C$l의 NQR 이완시간으로 부터 구한 값들과 실험오차 범위내에서 잘 일치하였다. 또한 두 확산상수들의 값들로부터 순수한 CDC$l_3$의 재배치 운동이 상당히 비등방적인 것을 알게 되었다. Anisotropic rotation of $CDCl_3$ in neat liquid is investigated by the analysis of ${\nu}_1$ band of Raman spectrum and the diffusion constant($D_{\perp}$) for the tumbling motion is obtained. The diffusion constant ($D_{II}$) for the spinning motion is obtained from the above $D_{\perp}$ value and the chlorine-35 nuclear quadrupole relaxation time. The diffusion constants thus obtained seem to agree very well with the ones obtained from $^2H$ and $^35C$l in NQR results within experimental errors. The data suggest fairly anisotropic character of reorientational motions in neat $CDCl_3$.

VIEW

김명수 ( Kim Myung Soo ) 한국기초조형학회 2018 한국기초조형학회 작품집 Vol.2018 No.2

지방자치단체의 택시공급방안에 관한 연구

김명수(Kim Myung Soo),이상호(Lee Sang Ho) 한국지역개발학회 1997 韓國地域開發學會誌 Vol.9 No.3

The purpose of this study is to design the supply strategy of taxi in Yeongi-Kun. The flows of this study are as followings; First, the socio-economic and transportation environment of Yeongi-Kun was analysed and the situation of making use of taxi was surveyed in August, 1996. Second, the demand of taxi was estimated from the year of 1996 to the year of 2001. Third, on the basis of taxi estimates, the supply strategy of taxi in Yeongi-Kun was designed. Yeongi-Kun need to supply 7.7∼11 taxi per year for Yeongi-Kun people from the year of 1996 to the year of 2001. It is the short bean strategy that prevent illegal taxi from moving round the Yeongi-Kun. Without this prescription, there will be no factor of taxi increase. In the long term strategy, it is good plan to decrease the number of taxi instead of increasing public transportation for the inhabitant of Yeongi-Kun. This strategy must be planned on the basis of the comprehensive urban plan in Yeongi-Kun.

고집적 개발지구의 주차발생도 및 주변지역 특성분석에 관한 연구

김명수(Kim Myung Soo),금기정(Kum Ki Jung) 한국지역개발학회 1998 韓國地域開發學會誌 Vol.10 No.1

In this study, we analyzed the characteristics of around zone about street-network of secondary street, analyzing influence and consciousness by parking generation, analyzing parking generation density classified by an study area, analyzing the characteristics by degree of parking inflow, analyzing the areas by parking occupancy, analyzing the characteristics and density by parking generation of high accumulation developed area centering around three street network. (1) In three areas of the number of parking stall of on-street parking occupancy by road dimension as very low distributions as Daeheung 17.2%, Yongmoon 4.9%, Yoosung 3.5%, but Daeheung area is found out the highest one among them. There are some reason that Daeheung area is appointed as a parking improvement area because it is one of CBD area. (2) The result of investigation by the inflow degree of parking generation as a characteristic analysis the distribution of the number of parking generation shows that it is the lowest hour at A.M. 7-9h and the peak hour of parking demand is at PM 4-6h in this three areas. (3) The number of parking generation is reduced, increasing by distance of 50m in density analysis, the afternoon influence much parking generation. The time variable is bigger the afternoon than the morning by effect of parking generation. Also development density of variable analyzed that Daeheug area was higher density area than Yongmoon and Yoosung areas, while we gave Yoosung a standard price for development density as a result, Daeheung has increased 30.43 car, Yongmoon has decreased -15.4 car. (4) We analyzed the effect degree of traffic passing which measured six situation variables of factor obstacles. We measured using vehicle a through time and a running speed by running distance of a congestion time and non-congestion time and than we express it to a price of speed rate. The speed rate price is the highest in Daeheung (30∼40%), Yoosung(25∼30%), the lowest in Yongmoon(20%). The illegal parking is appointed the largest influence about dangerous confusion factor.