대러 에너지 제재의 효과성에 대한 연구 - 석유가스 부문을 중심으로

권원순(Won-Soon Kwon),고주영(Ju-young Ko) 한국무역학회 2023 貿易學會誌 Vol.48 No.1

러시아 금융위기의 전개과정과 은행권 구조조정에 관한 연구

권원순 ( Won Soon Kwon ) 한국외국어대학교 국제지역연구센터 1999 국제지역연구 Vol.3 No.3

중소기업의 전자무역 수출성과 요인분석

권원순(Won-Soon Kwon),오정석(Jeong-Suk Oh) 한국통상정보학회 2007 통상정보연구 Vol.9 No.3

E-tade has the potential to accelerate existing trends and introduce new ways of conducting traditional trade. The primary purpose of this research is to investigate performance factor and analyzes influence between performance of e-Trade and implementation of company. This research will be used as a basis for examining the actual results of e-Trade usage and export productivity. In order to facilitate the process, analysis began after a research prototype was created and research thesis established.

러시아 정보통신산업의 경제적 효과 분석

권원순(Kwon Won Soon),이성규(Lee Sung Kyu) 한국슬라브유라시아학회 2002 슬라브학보 Vol.17 No.2

The IT industry represents only 2% of GDP in Russia, but averages 5% in other developed countries. At each level of following criteria - telecommunication, informatization, and computerization - Russia is ranking very low among other countries of the world. The 31 million fixed telephone lines in Russia serve only 20% of the population and some 54,000 settlements still lack telephone access. Russia also has a relatively low number of mobile subscribers. But, mobile phone user growth has been dramatic. In 2000 mobile phone usage spread out of the major urban into the Russian regions. Until 1993, the Russian telecommunications network was fully controlled by the Russian Ministry of Communications and Informatization. In 1993, local network operators were privatized in such a way that each region received one telecommunications provider. Rostelecom became the single national network operator, and 85 regional telecommunications companies were formed. In 1995, Svyazinvest, a holding company which consolidated the government stakes in all of the 85 regional telecommunication companies, was created. Svyazinvest is currently among the most profitable Russian companies. Russian government is promoting the IT industry as the leading engine to stimulate the Russian economy. At the end of 2000, the Russian government approved a Ministry of Communications and Informatization plan to develop the IT industry. This study tries to investigate the relationships between economic growth and development of IT industry in Russia utilizing Input-Output Model. Input-Output table is provided by Russia's Bureau of Economic Analysis. An input-output (IO) table contains the valuable information about the market allocation of resources in an economic system. The scale of total output, the value-added. and the employment in the IT industry in Russia showed a slight increased. Various parameters indicate the impacts of the IT industries on the Russian economy are higher that the average of all industry. The backward linkage effect is significantly increasing, the sensitivity index also showed an increase in the case of IT industry. It implies that the role of the these industries as intermediate input is growing sharply. If there is 10% increase in final demand for IT industry in 1995, there will be 0.2% increase in the gross domestic output, and respectively, 0.2% - CDP, 0.1% - input, 0.1% - employment.

중ㆍ동구 국가들의 EU 가입 추진현황과 전망

권원순(Kwon, Won-soon),이철원(Lee, Chul-won) 아시아·중동부유럽학회 2003 동유럽발칸학 Vol.5 No.1

최근의 EU 확대 추진으로 2004년 유럽에서 거대경제권이 형성되면, 미주와 아시아간 결속 강화는 물론 미주자유무역협정(FTAA) 체결과 아시아경제협력체의 추진 등 지역주의가 더욱 심화되는 계기가 될 것이다. 따라서 본 연구는 이처럼 전세계적으로 가장 큰 이슈가 되고 있는 EU확대에 대한 최근의 추진동향을 조사하고, 향후 EU확대의 전개방향을 전망함 으로써 한국 경제에 대한 시사점을 도출하고자 한다. 이를 위해 EU확대의 편익과 비용을 EU의 신규회원국은 물론 기존회원국 입장에서도 살펴보고, 최근 한창 진행중인 중․동구국가들의 EU가입협상 추진현황에 대해서도 살펴보았다. 2004년 중․동구 국가들의 EU가입에 대한 철저한 대비가 요구된다. 중ㆍ동구의 EU 가입은 일례로 유럽지역의 지역주의심화라는 부정적인 의미와 수출시장의 확대라는 긍정적인 의미를 동시에 지닌다. 따라서 한국으로서는 EU확대가 미치는 긍정적인 효과를 극대화하고 부정적인 효과를 극소화하는 방향으로 대응방안을 마련해야 할 것이다. In recent, the single biggest reason why enlargement should proceed is that the current status quo in unworkable. Many geographical, commercial and strategic decisions by businesses have been made on the presumption that enlargement of the European Union is on the near horizon. Businesses operating in Central and Eastern European countries have taken on substantial risks and operated in difficult conditions on the premise that the acquis will be adopted and that EU membership will follow, the assumption being that a business environment that is conductive to enterprise and business growth is being created, with guaranteed stability within EU structures the end result. From an immediate point of view therefore, the consequences of not joining are significant. Halting the enlargement process now would undoubtedly incur significant costs for businesses and slow down the momentum of reform. The support for the participation of Central and Eastern European countries for the EU can be witnessed by the enlargement progress and important measures already taken by the EU, such as "Association Agreements", "the Copenhagen criteria", "Agenda 2000", and etc. In March 1988 and in February 2000 the EU had begun the bilateral negotiation for application with the first-wave countries (Hungary, Czech, Poland, Slovenia, Estonia and Cyprus) and the second-wave countries (Slovakia., Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, Bulgaria and Malta). In October 2002 the European Commission confirmed that ten of the candidate countries will be ready to join in 2004. And the EU has endorsed 2007 as a target date for Bulgaria and Romania to be ready to accede. With these efforts for the enlargement of the EU, two implications are to be pointed our: (1) to the positive effects of EU enlargement stemming from its improvement in international status, stable security of European peace, and etc, (2) for Korea, increased importance of the Central and Eastern Europe not only as a advanced production base for penetration of the West European market but also as the potential market with growing economy and income level.

러시아 에너지정책의 변화와 시베리아 자원개발

권원순(Won Soon Kwon),민충기(Chung-Ki Min) 한국슬라브유라시아학회 2006 슬라브학보 Vol.21 No.1

Russian economy has been on the rise throughout the Putin's regime. Due to the increase of international oil price, economic indices have been remarkably improved ion Russia. It is assumed that Russia formed strategies to pursue economic development, tapping into natural energy resources as a engine of economic growth. Particularly, the russian federal government established policies toward its energy industry such as reinforcement of existing regulations, imposing restrictions and increasing tax in exports regarding energy resources. In fact, such policies even made poor progress on executing policies for competitive market in energy sector including the privatization of electricity and gas industry. However, reinforcing regulations and restrictions upon the energy resources are also considered as critical means of foreign policy in Russia. Moreover, in recent years, Russian energy issues have been considered as a energy diplomacy and energy security issues. First, this paper will examine changes in energy policy of Russia and the conditions of resource development in Siberian region and clarify related problems. It will explain how russian firms in energy sector developed during economic reform and privatization process of energy industry after collapse of former Soviet Union. And then how oil and gas firms influenced national energy development. In addition, focusing on "Russian Energy Strategy 2020," it will analyze changes in polices of energy resources development and restriction polices over the energy sector, especially oil and gas industry, by the federal government in Russia. Second, in terms of development in Siberian energy resources, this paper will analyze development projects of oil and gas in aspect of political economy. Lastly, it will try to draw implications of resource development in Siberian region and energy policies of Russia by defining restrictions and difficulties.

유라시아 석유가스 개발과 에너지 안보

권원순(Won Soon Kwon) 한국유럽학회 2006 유럽연구 Vol.24 No.-

러시아, 중앙아시아, 카스피해를 포함하는 유라시아지역의 석유 및 천연가스자원의 개발 배경과 현황을 살펴보았다. 또한 이들 지역의 석유 및 가스 자원개발의 필수 조건인 안정적 석유 및 가스수송을 위한 파이프라인망의 현황과 문제점도 살펴보았다. 또한 새롭게 개발되는 카스피해 및 중앙아시아의 자원개발과 관련하여 전개되고 있는 파이프라인망의 신설 및 확충의 문제들을 조망해 보았다. 앞서 살펴본바와 같이 유라시아지역의 자원개발과 파이프라인노선의 건설이 단지 에너지 수급의 구조에서 이해되기 보다는 유라시아지역 전반에 걸쳐 형성되고 있는 자원의 공급자와 수요자의 입장에서 이해관계의 충돌과 조정의 차원에서 이루어지고 있음을 파악해 볼 수 있다. 특히 파이프라인 노선을 둘러싼 경쟁과 협력의 관계가 경제적 이익의 차원을 고려한 공급자와 수요자로 참여하는 국가들의 전략적 이해에 따라 유라시아 지역에서 전개되고 있음을 조망해 보았다. There is a likelihood of large reserve of crude oil and natural gas in the Euraisa countries including the Caspian Sea Region, and a consequent large increase in oil and natural gas production from that area. To date, due to the increase of international oil price, the Europe, U.S. and Russia have pursued regional interest in that area including the Caspian Sea Region. First, this paper will examine changes in energy policy of Europe and Russia and clarify related problems. It will explain how major players such as Europe, U.S., and Russia, ect. adjust and increase their own interest related energy strategy issues in that area. And then in terms of Pipeline network each countries strategy conflicted and cooperated in that area. And also how oil and gas pipeline influenced energy policy of major players. Focusing on transportation of crude oil and natural gas how Russia enforced stability of pipeline transportation to Europe, it analyze changes in polices and strategy of energy in Eurasia. This paper analyze development projects of oil and natural gas in aspect of geopolitical economy. Lastly, it will try to draw implications of oil and gas resource development in Eurasia region and energy policies of Russia by defining restrictions and difficulties.

도시지식산업의 실현방향에 관한 연구

이동철(Lee, Dong-Chul),권원순(Kwon, Won-Soon),김도년(Kim, Do-Nyun) 한국도시설계학회 2015 도시설계 : 한국도시설계학회지 Vol.16 No.1

현재 우리나라의 도시개발산업은 단순히 건설산업을 도시규모로 확대한 산업으로 인식되고 있음으로 인해 본연의 도시개발산업이 가지는 가능성이 축소되고 있다. 또한 물리적 환경 구축에 초점을 둔 도시조성사업은 도시조성 과정 전반에 대한 종합적 사고의 부재로 인해 사업성 측면뿐만 아니라 좋은 장소와 도시를 조성하는 것에도 한계를 드러내고 있다. 이에 본 연구는 건설산업 중심의 도시개발산업이 가지는 한계를 극복하기 위한 방향으로써 지식산업으로서 도시개발산업 즉, 도시지식산업의 실현 방향을 설정하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 이를 위해 도시개발산과 관련된 선진국가의 공공 및 민간기관을 대상으로 도시 조성 프로그램 및 프로젝트의 특성을 도시개발사업의 방향 및 범위, 도시조성과정, 도시구성요소, 적용기술 및 산업의 측면에서 분석하였다. 지식산업으로서 도시개발산업 즉, 도시지식산업은 단순 물리적 환경의 건설 행위에 국한되지 않은 도시 조성에 대한 포괄적 지식을 기반으로 하여, 도시의 장소, 산업, 문화의 형성뿐만 아니라, 경제적 요인과 행정을 포괄하는 지식산업이다. 이러한 도시지식산업의 실현을 위해서는 기존 시공 중심의 건설산업적 관점을 탈피하는 포괄적 시각과 함께 도시조성과정에서의 기획 및 계획, 설계를 도시개발산업의 핵심적인 산업으로 인식하고 경쟁력을 강화하는 것이 중요하다. Urban industry of Korea is currently recognized as construction industry which is simply expanded into the city scale. Because of that, the potential of urban industry is being reduced. Also urban development projects focusing on physical environments have a limit of its business value and good place making due to a lack of comprehensive consideration about whole development process. This study aims to set the direction for realization of urban knowledge industry. For this, it analyzed the program of public/private institutions which are experienced in urban development focusing a scope of business, process of development, component of city, and applied technology and industry. The concept of urban knowledge industry is defined as a comprehensive knowledge industry which embraces not only a place of city, industry and formation of culture, but also administrative and economic factors. Important factors for the realization of urban knowledge industry are the competitiveness reinforcement of the urban planning and design on the basis of comprehensive recognition of urban industry. The urban planning and design are key industries of urban development.

스마트시티 마스터플랜 계획기법에 관한 연구

김도년(Kim, Do-Nyun),권원순(Kwon, Won-Soon),양성민(Yang, Sung-Min),허효성(Huh, Hyo-Sung) 한국도시설계학회 2015 도시설계 : 한국도시설계학회지 Vol.7 No.3

전 세계적으로 가속화되는 도시화는 인구의 집중화와 한정된 자원의 과도한 소비를 초래하였으며, 이러한 문제 해결 방안으로서 지속가능한 도시시스템 구축의 필요성을 강조하는 추세이다. 스마트시티는 이러한 흐름의 중심에 있으며, 이를 실현하기 위해 다양한 분야에서 연구가 진행되고 있다. 도시설계 측면에서도 스마트시티 구현을 위해 추진하고 연구가 증가하고 있는 추세이며, 실질적인 프로젝트로 진행되고 있는 사례도 증가하고 있다. 하지만 스마트시티에 관한 이론적 연구는 활발하게 진행되고 있으나, 이를 실현하기 위해 프로젝트에 적용할 수 있는 스마트시티만의 계획기법 연구는 미흡한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구는 스마트시티 마스터플랜 계획기법 분석을 목적으로 하고 있다. 이를 위해 러시아 이르쿠츠크 주정부가 추진하는 바이칼스마트시티 마스터플랜 계획내용 분석을 진행하였으며, 다음과 같은 결론을 도출하게 되었다. 첫째, 스마트시티 마스터플랜 수립 과정은 기존 마스터플랜의 수립과정보다 세분화 되어야 할 필요성이 있다. 둘째, 스마트시티 마스터플랜 계획 시 각 계획 항목에 대해 유연한 접근방법이 필요하다. 셋째, 스마트시티 구현 목표를 실현하기 위한 기후, 인프라 및 공간계획에 대한 다양한 접근방법이 진행되어야 한다. 이를 통해 혹한기 기후대인 시베리아지역의 특성을 고려한 바이칼스마트시티의 목표를 구현할 수 있는 특화된 마스터플랜 계획기법을 재정립하고 향후 진행되는 스마트시티 마스터플랜 계획에 기여하고자 하였다. Globally accelerated urbanization has led to excessive consumption of limited resources and high population concentration. This highlights the necessity of establishing a sustainable urban system as a solution. Smart Cities, suggested as one of the promising solutions, has been under study in various fields. Moreover, there is an increasing number of both studies and projects in the planning practice of urban design. While theoretical studies on Smart Cities have been actively investigated, however, research on planning methodology is insufficient. The purpose of this study is to analyze the planning methodology for Smart City Master Plan. The case study of the Baikal Smart City Master Plan for Irkutsk Oblast in Russia was investigated. The results are as follows. First, the process to prepare the Smart City Master Plan should be subdivided. Second, a flexible approach to each planning item is required in the planning process. Third, holistic approaches to climate, infrastructure, and spatial plans should be considered in order to achieve the goals of Smart Cities. This study has its significance in redefining the master plan and planning methodology for “Baikal Smart City”, which takes into account the Siberian climate, thereby contributing to future plans for Smart Cities.

지역주의의 새로운 추세

김중렬 ( Joong Ryul Kim ),권원순 ( Won Soon Kwon ) 한국외국어대학교 국제지역연구센터 1998 국제지역연구 Vol.2 No.2