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Export Quality and Economic Vulnerability: Insights from 88 Developing Countries
Canh Phuc Nguyen,Thanh Dinh Su 중앙대학교 경제연구소 2023 Journal of Economic Development Vol.48 No.4
Previous literature shows that trade liberalization causes economic vulnerability due to external shocks. This study endeavours to highlight potential cures based on export quality. The two-step system generalized methods of moment estimate is applied to deal with endogeneity. The area and year fixed effects are also controlled for a sample of 88 developing economies comprising two subsamples due to the availability of export quality index. The empirical results are consistent and unbiased, thus verifying the decreasing effect of export quality on economic vulnerability. This implies that improvements in export quality can help developing countries absorb the risk from trade liberalization. The results are found to be consistent in investigating 48 low- and lower-middle-income economies, but there is no statistical significance evidence for 40 upper-middle and high-income economies). This suggests that trade liberalization without upgrading export product quality reflects a vulnerable aspect of economic integration for low- and lower-income economies.
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Fiscal Decentralisation and Spatial Externalities in Vietnam Provincial Economic Growth
Bui Duy Tung,Canh Phuc Nguyen,DINH THANH SU 중앙대학교 경제연구소 2021 Journal of Economic Development Vol.46 No.4
This paper aims to investigate the impacts of fiscal decentralisation on the provincial economic development in 62 Vietnamese provinces from 2011-2018. We estimate a Spatial Durbin Model (SDM) based on a growth model with spatial externalities. The focus of the paper is on the spatial spillover effects of fiscal decentralisation on the provincial income levels. The results confirm the existence of spatial interdependency among Vietnamese provinces. The findings indicate that fiscal decentralisation and physical capital not only affects the income level within one province, but also contribute positively to the outputs of nearby provinces. The study does not find significant effects of human capital on provincial income. We also show that these effects vary across five main economic regions of Vietnam. There is also evidence that the total effects are stronger in high institutional quality levels, which points out to the “sand the wheels” effect. Policy implications are also discussed.
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