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신재생에너지 확대와 에너지 저감이 GDP에 미치는 영향
이우평(WooPyeong Yi),강상목(Sangmok Kang),이명헌(Myeonghun Lee) 한국신재생에너지학회 2018 신재생에너지 Vol.14 No.3
This study examined whether the Korean GDP would be affected by long term governmental energy and renewable targets based on the time varying efficiency of the SFA production function approach with international panel statistics. The efficiencies of Korea were estimated to be 0.43~0.51. Korea has potential for efficiency improvement considering its distance from the frontier. According to the simulation, 16,692 million dollars of GDP loss can occur from fulfilling the energy and renewable target until 2035. On the other hand, if the efficiency increases as estimated, the loss will be surpassed; 264,692 million dollars of GDP will be added even considering the loss simultaneously. Therefore, the energy plan can cause some GDP loss, but the loss would be acceptable if efficiency improved; even Korea has potential for the substitution of more renewable energy.