CVM을 이용한 청계천 복원의 경제적 가치평가 = (A) study on the economic value of Cheonggyecheon restoration : an application of Contingent Valuation Method

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This study attempts to estimate economic value of cheonggyecheon restoration. A dichotomous choice Contingent Valuation Method is employed since the good in question is a nonmarket good the value of which is not determined in a market.
In order to increase statistical efficiency, a double bound questionnaire was used for the 123 samples. The statistical data so obtained were analyzed using maximum likelihood estimation(MLE) of linear logit model. The resulting estimated value of willingness-to-pay(WTP) for cheonggyecheon restoration is 8,890 Korean Won.
Accordingly multiplying the WTP per family by the total number of family in 2003 produced the total amount of WTP for cheonggyechon restoration as approximately 32.7 billion won, or 392.8 billion won a year. This estimated benefit for the restoration is much more than the cost reflected by Seoul city's budget for the restoration.
Assuming 3 years and half for the length of construction works, the total amount of money to be spent will be 1.3748 trillion won. In accordance with this study showing benefit exceeding cost, the restoration project is economically justified. This conclusion also seems to be shared by a majority of Seoul citizen as shown by the recent favorable public opinion on the project.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• 목차 = i
• I. 서론 = 1
• 1. 청계천 = 2
• 2. 청계천 복원의 필요성 = 3
• 가) 도시계획적인 측면 = 3
• 나) 경제적인 측면 = 4
• 다) 문화적인 측면 = 4
• 라) 생태적인 측면 = 5
• 3. 청계천복원에 관한 이슈 = 5
• 가) 사업비와 공사기간에 대한 이슈 = 6
• 나) 수원(水源) 확보 및 교통 대책 = 7
• II. 연구방법 = 9
• 1. 조건부 가치 측정법 = 9
• 2. 조건부 가치 측정법의 추정모형 = 11
• 가) 양분선택형 조건부 가치 측정법의 추정방법 = 11
• 나) 조건부 가치측정법의 모형설계 = 15
• III. 설문 설계와 조사방법 = 21
• 1. 설문의 구성 = 21
• 가) 청계천에 대한 이해와 여러 속성의 중요성 평가 = 21
• 나) 지불의사액에 관한 질문 = 22
• 다) 개인정보에 관한 질문 = 24
• 2. 조사방법과 제시액 범위 = 24
• IV. 실증분석 및 추정결과 = 26
• 1. 응답자의 사회경제적 특성 = 26
• 2. 추정변수의 기초 통계량 = 27
• 3. 추정결과 = 29
• V. 결론 및 시사점 = 34
• 참고문헌 = 37
• 부록 = 41
• ABSTRACT = 53