가속화된 해수면 상승에 의한 한반도 해안의 취약성 평가 = Evaluation of vulnerability due to accelerated sea level rise for Korean coast

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

With regard to the Climate changes due to Global warming effect, the vulnerability assessment due to sea level rise has been presented in this study for parts of Korean coast.
In this study the vulnerability evaluation has been performed only for two administrative districts, Kyeonggi-do and Chungcheongnam-do, in the western side of Korean peninsula including more than half parts of west coast of Korea. For the scenarios of Sea Level Rise for vulnerability assessment, the result of sea surface height from numerical study of CSM 1.2 (Choi, 2000) and extreme sea level from wave-tide-surge coupled model application (Eum, 2000) were considered. It is assumed that the density of population in the study area is uniform, for the difficulty of data acquisition for distribution of population. And the population growth rate was taken from the data provided by Korea National Statistical Office for the estimation of possible damaged population in the future. The possible inundated area from the study will be 0.92 percent and 1.7 percent of the gross area of Kyeonggi-do and Chuncheongnam-do respectively and the possible damaged population in the inundated area will be 1.2 percent and 1.43 percent of the gross population of each district respectively due to the accelerated sea level rise by global warming. It is not absolute fact about the effect of sea level rise due to global warming because of uncertainties of various factors and lack of relevant data but useful information for the possible disaster and adaptation method to cope with the disasters.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• 목차 = i
• 그림목차 = iii
• 표목차 = vi
• 제1장 서론 = 1
• 1.1 개요 = 1
• 1.2 연구 배경 및 목적 = 5
• 제2장 해수면 상승 영향평가 = 8
• 2.1 각 해안국가의 연안지역 취약성 평가 현황 = 8
• 2.1.1 CPACC(Caribbean : Planning for Adaptation to Global Climate Change) = 8
• 2.1.2 SURVAS (Synthesis and Upscaling of Sea-Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment Studies) 프로젝트 = 11
• 2.2 한반도 주변해역의 해수면 상승과 한반도의 취약성 평가 현황 = 11
• 2.2.1 해수면 상승에 대한 기존 연구 현황 = 12
• 2.2.2 취약성 평가의 연구 현황 = 14
• 2.3 취약성 평가(VA)를 위한 방법론 = 15
• 2.4 해수면 상승 시나리오 = 18
• 2.4.1 해수면 상승 평가 = 18
• 2.4.2 외적 작용력(External forces) = 21
• 2.4.2.1 조석 = 22
• 2.4.2.2 해일 = 24
• 제3장 범람역의 산정 및 매핑 = 26
• 3.1 활용데이터 = 26
• 3.1.1 한반도 DEM = 26
• 3.1.2 해수면 상승자료 = 30
• 3.1.3 조석, 해일 자료 = 33
• 3.1.4 행정구역도 = 41
• 3.1.5 인구자료 = 44
• 3.2 범람역의 2차원적 평면 범람 매핑 = 46
• 3.3 피재 가능 인구의 산정 = 63
• 3.4 범람역의 3차원적 가시화 = 65
• 제4장 요약 및 결론 = 71
• 참고문헌 = 73
• Abstract = 87