地價變動推移와 地價變動要因 分析 = (An) Analysis on the Development and Factors of Changes in Land Prices

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

Real estate is a very important part of general economy of a nation and closely connected with other parts of economy. It is also major property to both individuals and countries.
Due to the peculiar character of real estate, various factors interact effecting changes in prices of real estate. The factors involve prices of commodities, interest rate, money supply, income level, business conditions, changes in rules and regulations, and social and environmental factors.
When interaction of these factors results in stabilization of land prices, national economy is stabilized as well. On the contrary, as history has proven, a sharp rise in land prices imposes a heavy burden on national economy. In this regard, this study attempted to identify the factors that affect land prices in an effort to contribute to the stabilization of land prices. Among the numerous factors this paper focused on macroeconomic indicators.
The study was conducted on two levels; on national level and local level. It analyzed correlation between changes in land prices and macroeconomic indicators of both Korea as a whole and Taegu. Ultimately this study is to help make policies for land price stability.
Total money supply increasing rate, consumer's price of rising rate, GNP increasing rate, economic growth rate were selected for national indicators while gross local product increasing rate, real local economic growth rate, consumer's price rising rate, building licensing rate were chosen for local indicators. It also surveyed the development of changes in land prices of Taegu and the nation.
The results of the nationwide research are as follows.
First, changes in land prices had periodicity of ten years.
Second, macroeconomic indicators including economic growth rate, total money supply increasing rate, GNP increasing rate, consummer's price rising rate showed positive correlation with land price increasing rate.
Third, money supply had the closest correlation with the change in land prices followed by GNP, economic growth rate.
Whereas the results of the local level research are as follows.
First, as for the fluctuation of land price index, industrial land prices fluctuate more than residential land prices. Fluctuation of residential land prices is almost consistent with that of general land prices of Taegu. Therefore the development of changes in land prices of Taegu can be understood by reviewing changes in residential land prices.
Second, macroeconomic indicators including economic growth rate, nominal gross local product increasing rate, building licensing rate showed positive correlation with land price increasing rate.
Third, nominal gross local product increasing rate had the closest correlation with changes in land prices.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Ⅰ. 序論 = 1
• 1. 硏究의 目的 = 1
• 2. 硏究의 範圍 및 方法 = 2
• Ⅱ. 景氣變動과 地價關係에 대한 理論的 考察 = 4
• 1. 地價의 槪念과 特徵 = 4
• 1) 地價의 槪念 = 4
• 2) 地價의 特性 = 5
• 2. 地價에 影響을 미치는 要因 = 7
• 1) 價値發生要因 = 7
• 2) 地價形成의 要因 = 9
• 3. 地價의 理論 = 15
• 1) 地價理論의 意味 = 15
• 2) 지대에 근거한 지가이론 = 16
• 3) 需要·供給에 의한 地價理論 = 18
• 4) 地價와 景氣變動理論 = 22
• 4. 一般景氣變動과 不動産 景氣變動 = 25
• 1) 一般的 景氣變動構造 = 25
• 2) 부동산 경기 = 29
• 3) 지가변동요인에 관한 기존의 실증연구 = 33
• Ⅲ. 地價變動推移와 變動要因의 實證的 相關分析 = 38
• 1. 地價變動推移 = 38
• 1) 地價變動의 흐름 = 38
• 2) 지가변동요인분석 = 44
• 2. 地價와 個別的인 地價變動要因 關係 = 58
• 1) 地價와 總通貨上昇率 = 58
• 2) 地價와 經濟成長率과의 關係 = 62
• 3) 지가변동률과 소비자물가변동률의 관계 = 64
• 4) 지가변동률과 명목GNP과의 관계 = 65
• 3. 지가변동요인에 관한 상관관계에 관한 실증분석 = 68
• 1) 相關의 槪念 = 68
• 2) 實證分析 方法 = 69
• 3) 상관관계(Correlations)분석 = 69
• Ⅳ. 大邱市 地價變動의 推移 및 實證的 相關分析 = 77
• 1. 大邱市 地價變動推移 = 77
• 1) 시계열별 분석 = 77
• 2) 대구시 각 구별·용도별 분석 = 79
• 2. 전국과 대구시의 지가변동 관계 = 87
• 3. 大邱市 地價와 個別的인 地價變動要因 關係 = 90
• 1) 地價와 物價上昇率 = 91
• 2) 地價와 名目地域總生産上昇率 = 92
• 3) 地價와 實質 經濟成長率 = 93
• 4) 地價와 建築許可 實積率 關係 = 94
• 4. 大邱市 地價變動要因에 관한 相關關係에 관한 實證分析 = 96
• 1) 實證分析 方法 = 96
• 2) 相關關係(Correlations)分析 = 96
• Ⅴ. 結論 = 101
• 參考文獻 = 103
• Abstract = 106