현대 하이브리드 전쟁에 관한 연구 : 양안 정보전 사례와 대만의 대응을 中心으로

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

A hybrid war is a complex form of war that uses political, economic, diplomatic and military means and includes both state and non-state actors. The scope of this research is limited to information war, which is one of various war types composing hybrid wars, especially by focusing on the ‘psychological and cognitive attack’ of information war in detail.
Before the 2018 local election in Taiwan, ‘China’s Information War against Taiwan,’ which showed the characteristics of a planned information war with a certain scale, emerged as a major political agenda during the election campaign. However, there have been no active researches on ‘China’s Information War against Taiwan’ due to the difficulty in securing evidence for the dissemination of false information.
Based on the examples of Russia and China which use hybrid wars, this study analyzed the patterns of information war that China has been carrying out against Taiwan and examine show Taiwan can effectively defend itself against the hybrid wars. By doing so, this study aims to propose a strategy to respond to modern wars that are newly emerging and changing.
The study findings on China’s hybrid war against Taiwan showed that the Chinese government has been controlling the Internet public opinion and ideas through fake news, media contents, and social media. To improve the efficiency of such control, China has also been maintaining and expanding its ‘influence’ by projecting its‘values’ and ‘interest’ to the Taiwanese society as a strategic narrative. In addition, China has been minimizing its negative image among Taiwanese citizens through fake news and politically recruiting Taiwan’s major figures in universities, businesses, and religious sectors. Such implementation and control system of China's hybrid war is very complex and has thus limitations to clarify it, but it is presumed to be based on the Party-Leading Political system in which the Communist Party leads the government.
The study identified that China has been conducting a hybrid war against Taiwan to realize ‘One China,’ and that Taiwan is also preparing various countermeasures at the government or at the private-sector level. Since it is difficult to determine the development and the extent of the impact of hybrid war due to its nature, this study examined Taiwan’s various countermeasures to minimize damage from the hybrid war. Overall, Taiwan’s countermeasures will remind of the concept of a new hybrid war that non-regular wars, terrorism, or crime, which have not been recognized as key threats in a war, can play very decisive roles in determining victory in a war. Thus, Taiwan’s responses against China’s information war will provide huge implications to South Korea.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• 제Ⅰ장 서론 1
• 제1절 연구 배경 및 목적 1
• 제2절 연구 방법 및 범위 4
• 제3절 선행 연구 및 연구 한계 10
• 제Ⅱ장 하이브리드 전쟁의 개념과 특징 15
• 제1절 등장 배경 15
• 1. 시대적 배경 15
• 2. 공간적 배경: 양안관계의 변화 21
• 제2절 하이브리드의 개념과 유형 32
• 1. 사이버전 35
• 2. 정보전 37
• 제3절 하이브리드전의 특징과 위협 42
• 1. 하이브리드전 특징 42
• 2. 하이브리드전 위협 44
• 제Ⅲ장 중국의 하이브리드 전쟁의 운용 전략 49
• 제1절 신개념 정보전으로서의 하이브리드전 49
• 1. 국제적 인식 49
• 2. 중국의 인식: 일대일로의 연계 53
• 제2절 중국의 하이브리드전의 전략 구축 57
• 1. 중국 대외선(大外宣) 전략 57
• 2. 중국의 3전(三戰) 변화 67
• 제3절 중국 하이브리드전의 전술적 구성 69
• 1. 정보전 69
• 2. 사이버전 73
• 제Ⅳ장 중국의 대(對)대만 하이브리드전 실행과 대만의 대응 79
• 제1절 중국의 대(對)대만 하이브리드전 전략 구상 79
• 1. 전략적 내러티브 79
• 2. 가짜 뉴스와 정치적 포섭 86
• 제2절 중국의 대(對)대만 하이브리드전 시행 경로 및 사례 93
• 1. 정보전의 형태 93
• 2. 사례 분석 97
• 제3절 대만의 대응 112
• 1. 정부의 대응 112
• 2. 민간의 대응 121
• 제V장 결론과 전망 130
• 1. 연구 결과 및 함의 130
• 2. 현대 하이브리드전의 향후 추세 전망 133
• 참고문헌 141
• 부록 155
• Abstract 173