빈집 발생 영향요인과 지역적 입지특성

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

Due to long-term economic recession and change in population structure due to low birth rate and aging, the city is in new demand along with low growth era. There have been various social changes along with low growth. Especially, the city faces various problems such as decline of old downtown, collapse of root industry, severed community. Various types of urban problems are expected to last. In Korea, the number of vacant house is increasing centering around declining and older areas. As of 2015, there are 1.06 million vacant houses in Korea. Vacant house and its management plan became a significant issue in urban planning. Vacant house causes various external effect which lead to various social problems. For this reason, it justifies the intervention of public on vacant house problem. There have been various studies about the issue, but they lack in quality and quantity. Most of the studies only focus on utilization measure, and conduct fragmentary researches. To resist the generation of vacant house and efficiently manage them, studying original property of vacant house is of utmost importance. In this context, one must focus on cause and location property of vacant house. By apprehending the cause of vacant house and its location property, vacant house can be resisted and prevent spreding course. Thus, this study aims to resist the vacant house through understanding influential factors of vacant house and its location property, and suggest political suggestion to improve utility of vacant house management.
To examine the cause of vacant house, it used spatial econometrics model. To confirm the spatial cluster, the study verified spatial auto -correlation using Moran's I index. Also, to examine the location property of vacant house in each region, the study applied Poisson regression.
According to analysis result, the study confirmed that Korea lack in clear definition about vacant house or relevant fundamental statistics. This is a huge obstacle in conducting various researches to solve the problem. Vacant house has significant spatial aggregation and forms cluster. Also, such spatial cluster of vacant house tend to adhere while spreading to neighborhood at the same time. Nextly, according to spatial econometrics model to examine the influential factor, changes in population structure due to low birth, aging and changes in local economy structure was the major cause of vacant houses. Also, location of various convenience facilities and its accessibility had significant causal relationship with vacant houses. Finally, the location property of vacant house differed by local property and urban scale. In this context, it justifies a reason to examine the local and location property differently for future vacant house management policy.
Based on the study results, the study's political suggestions are as follows. First, the public managing authorities of vacant house problem such as government or local government must focus on adhesion and spreading process of vacant house to resist generation of vacant house or efficient management of the problem. Also, the universal objectivity regarding definition of vacant house, terms and statistics must be secured. Next, as the study confirmed the locational property of vacant house is different, the managing body of vacant house project must be local government who can reflect local property of the vacant house rather than the central government. Finally, government and local government must conduct selective preferential policy targeting regions where the causes of vacant house are concentrated and spatial cluster of vacant house is strongly formed based on this study's result.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Ⅰ. 서 론 1
• 1. 연구의 배경 및 목적 1
• 2. 연구 범위 및 내용 7
• Ⅱ. 이론적 고찰 및 선행연구 검토 12
• 1. 빈집의 개념 및 현황 12
• 1) 빈집 정의 및 기초 현황 12
• 2) 빈집의 유형별 발생원인 19
• 3) 빈집 발생경로의 검토 25
• 2. 빈집 발생 관련 이론적 검토 29
• 1) 주택시장 및 가격이론 29
• 2) 도시축소에 따른 빈집 발생론 35
• 3) 깨진 유리창 이론 43
• 3. 선행연구 검토 및 연구동향 45
• 1) 국내외 선행연구 검토 45
• 2) 기존 연구의 한계점 63
• 3) 연구의 차별성 및 착안점 65
• Ⅲ. 분석의 틀 68
• 1. 분석개요 68
• 2. 분석방법 및 자료 69
• 1) 분석방법과 절차 69
• 2) 분석지표 및 자료 73
• 3. 분석방법론의 이론적 검토 86
• 1) 빈집의 공간적 군집성: 공간자기상관성(Morans I) 86
• 2) 빈집 발생 영향요인 : 공간회귀모형 92
• 3) 빈집 입지 및 분포특성: GIS 공간분석, 가산자료 회귀분석 95
• Ⅳ. 공간자기상관성을 고려한 빈집 발생 영향요인 분석 101
• 1. 빈집 발생의 공간적 집적화 101
• 1) 공간자기상관성 검증: Global Morans I 101
• 2) 공간적 군집패턴 분석: Local Morans I(LISA) 103
• 2. 빈집 발생 영향요인 분석 107
• 1) 기초통계량 및 상관관계 분석 107
• 2) 공간회귀모형의 적합성 검토 108
• 3) 공간회귀모형 적용 112
• 4) 소결 117
• Ⅴ. 빈집 입지를 통한 사례지역 특성분석 120
• 1. 대상지역 선정기준 및 선정과정 120
• 2. 대상지역 별 빈집 일반적 특성 121
• 1) 대상지역 별 빈집 기초현황 121
• 2) 지표의 기초통계 및 입지특성 124
• 3. 대상지역 별 빈집 입지특성 분석 131
• 1) 대도시: 광주광역시 사례 131
• 2) 중도시: 전라북도 전주시 사례 134
• 3) 소도시: 충청북도 옥천군 사례 138
• 4) 분석의 종합 141
• Ⅵ. 결론 143
• 1. 연구종합 및 결론 143
• 2. 정책적 시사점 및 연구한계 146
• 참고문헌 150
• 부록 168