Delphi/AHP를 활용한 검도 경기력 결정요인 분석과 평가 모형 개발

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This study is aimed to retrieve determinant factors in performances, to analyze the priority and to develop evaluation model using Delphi survey and AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) for investigating the influential determinant factors in kumdo performances.
To accomplish the research goal, first, the influential determinant factors in kumdo were retrieved using Delphi survey; second, a conceptualization of the retrieved the determinant factors was made through structure validation; third, priority of determinant factors in kumdo performances was analyzed using AHP; fourth, an evaluation model of determinant factors in performances was verified.
The research objective was chosen as 357 peoples to analyze structure validation and the priority of determinant factors in kumdo performances, and to verify an evaluation model. Five professors currently affiliated to departments of sport, martial arts and security were chosen to retrieve the determinant factors for kumdo performances. Thirty two sports related department professors, doctors in sports studies, master degree and seven 7 dan in kumdo were selected to analyze the detailed determinant factors. One hundred twenty semi-pro kumdo athletes were chosen for an exploratory factor analysis. Two hundred college athletes were selected for a confirmatory factor analysis. And the thirty two personnels who participated in Delphi analysis were selected again for analysis of the determinant factors' priority in performances. The confirmatory data of conceptual structure was used for validity verification of evaluation model development.
To retrieve the influential determinant factors in performances using Delphi, selective response questions, structured response questions, open-ended response questions were mixed and provided. Frequency analysis, mean, standard deviation, contents validity, convergence, mutual validity were obtained using Excel and SPSS 19.0.
A conceptual verification of the developed measurement tool based on Delphi was used SPSS 19.0 for exploratory factor analysis and AMOS 19.0 for confirmatory factor analysis. A response question for stratification analysis to analyze the priority according to the significances of finally retrieved determinant factors was made as a comparative type for each factor of 9 points ratio scale and carried out by EC(Expert Choice) 2000 program.
The research outcomes after the research method and processes are as follows.
First, there were eight factors - fitness, instructor, skill, psychology, training method, self management, environment, and strategies - and 38 detail factors were finally retrieved as the determinant factors in kumdo performances using Delphi survey.
Second, there were seven factors finally conceptualized - skill, instructor, strategy /self - management, environment, fitness, psychology, and training - 31 detail factors.
Third, the goodness of fit verification was appeared as satisfying level and moreover the loadage was appeared as over the standard to confirm as a structure model.
Fourth, the priority of the determinant factors in performances using AHP were appeared as the following order; instructor, strategy/self-management, psychology, training, skill, fitness, and environment significantly. After a detailed analysis on the determinant factors, it is appeared that instructor's scientific instruction factor in instructor's factor, concentration in psychological factor, free practice in training factor, suneuisun(Debana Waza) in skill factor, power in fitness factor, team support in environment factor are important. Furthermore, after conclude the detail factors, instructor's scientific instruction, credibility to instructor, instructor's professional knowledge, and instructor's motivation factor were appeared in a higher important order, and cardio-respiratory endurance, muscle endurance, waist attack, and muscle strength were appeared in a lower important order.
Fifth, the total Cronbach's α was appeared as .901 which was high level to be verified the validity and this described that the validity of developed evaluation model was obtained.
To retrieve the determinant factors in kumdo performances through Delphi survey was possible and the determinant factors were conceptualized through structure verification. Furthermore, an analysis of the priority according to the significances of influential determinant factors for promotion of kumdo performances using AHP was accomplished and an evaluation model was confirmed through validity verification.
Therefore, it is thought that this research outcome can be utilized as a foundational material for players' performance promotion providing educational tool and strategic programs for instructors and players through the evaluation model of this study.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Ⅰ. 서 론 1
• 1. 연구의 필요성 1
• 2. 연구목적 6
• 3. 연구문제 7
• 4. 용어의 정의 7
• II. 이론적 배경 9
• 1. 델파이(Delphi) 기법 9
• 2. 계층분석(Analytic Hierarchy Process: AHP) 19
• 3. 검도(劍道)의 개요 25
• 4. 경기력 36
• III. 연구방법 42
• 1. 연구대상 42
• 2. 조사도구 43
• 3. 연구절차 45
• 4. 자료처리 49
• Ⅳ. 연구결과 50
• 1. 델파이조사 검도 경기력 결정요인 50
• 1) 검도 경기력 결정요인 조사 결과 50
• (1) 델파이 제1차 조사 결과 51
• (2) 델파이 제2차 조사 결과 51
• 2) 검도 경기력 결정요인의 세부요인 조사 결과 52
• (1) 델파이 제1차 세부요인 조사 결과 54
• (2) 델파이 제2차 세부요인 조사 결과 60
• (3) 델파이 제3차 세부요인 조사 결과 67
• 3) 델파이조사 의견 일치도 71
• 4) 델파이조사 내용타당도 변화 73
• 2. 검도 경기력 결정요인의 측정도구 개발 75
• 1) 예비조사 결과 76
• 2) 경기력 결정요인의 내적구조 검증 77
• (1) 탐색적 요인분석 결과 79
• (2) 확인적 요인분석 결과 82
• 3. 검도 경기력 결정요인의 우선순위 87
• 1) 계층의 모형 87
• 2) 일관성 지수 88
• 3) 검도 경기력 결정요인의 중요도 90
• 4) 검도 경기력 결정요인의 세부요인 중요도 90
• (1) 지도자요인의 중요도 90
• (2) 전술/자기관리요인의 중요도 91
• (3) 심리요인의 중요도 92
• (4) 훈련요인의 중요도 92
• (5) 기술요인의 중요도 93
• (6) 체력요인의 중요도 94
• (7) 환경요인의 중요도 94
• 5) 검도 경기력 결정요인 세부요인의 종합적인 중요도 95
• 4. 평가 모형 검증 및 개발 98
• 1) 평가 모형의 평균과 표준편차 98
• 2) 평가 모형의 신뢰도 검증 100
• Ⅴ. 논의 102
• 1. 검도 경기력 결정요인 102
• 2. 검도 경기력 결정요인 구조검증 105
• 3. 검도 경기력 결정요인의 우선순위 110
• 4. 평가 모형 검증 및 개발 116
• Ⅵ. 결론 및 제언 118
• 1. 결론 118
• 1) 검도 경기력 결정요인 118
• 2) 검도 경기력 결정요인의 우선순위 119
• 3) 평가 모형 검증 및 개발 119
• 2. 제언 120
• 참고문헌 122
• <부록 1> 경기력 결정요인 선택형 설문지 135
• <부록 2> 세부요인 제1차 설문지 138
• <부록 3> 세부요인 제2차 설문지 146
• <부록 4> 예비조사 설문지 156
• <부록 5> 구조검증 설문지 159
• <부록 6> 최종 설문지 162
• <부록 7> 계층분석 설문지 165
• <부록 8> 검도 경기력 결정요인의 평가 모형 172