남북관계의 경로의존과 구성 : 7·4 남북공동성명에서 남북기본합의서 채택까지 남북회담 분석

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The study analyzes and reconstructs the process of dialogues between South and North Korea from the adoption of the South-North Joint CommuniquIJ on July 4, 1972 to that of the Basic Agreement on December 13, 1992. Through these works, it tries to understand the contents and significance of the changes in the inter-Korean relations.
The study is a case study of qualitative research and uses the method of process tracing. It stands on a viewpoint that can be summarized in four phrases Ħ la a book, History Matters edited by Timothy W. Gunnane, William A. Sundstrom, and Warren Wheatley: history matters, context matters, the facts matter, and meaning matters.
The authorities of the two Koreas have raised issues to compete for the legitimacy of governance in the Korean peninsular, and also to manage or to advance the inter-Korean relations. Thus the study explores the interests of the top leaders of the two sides concerning these issues at the junctures of inter-Korean relations; the changes in her side of the identity of her counterpart; those in discourses; the process and the final outcome of discussing and resolving the issues raised by each side; and the meaning of that outcome in the progress of inter-Korean relations. For those explorations, the study uses path dependence and constructivism as its main analytical tools and game theory and Boolean methods of qualitative comparative analysis as its auxiliary tools.
The main findings of the study are as follows:
Firstly, the beginning and the process of the dialogues between the two Koreas showed path dependent character. The secret dialogue in 1971 that produced the July 4 South-North Joint CommuniquIJ the next year began as one of three alternatives South Korea could have chosen in the early 1970s under the Nixon Doctrine. The dialogues from the year to the adoption of the Basic Agreement had been sustained, although they sometimes stopped temporarily and restarted, and showed "increasing returns" in their formalities and contents.
Secondly, inter-Korean relations and the issues of national unification are actively constructed. For the authorities of the two Koreas, their dialogues are parts of the competition for legitimacy to govern the Korean peninsular. Thus the identity of their counterpart that they define and the discourses to justify a solution to the issues they raised are important factors in the process of the dialogues.
Lastly, the major factors for sustaining the dialogues are South Korean President's position on a dialogue between the South and the North and the awareness of North Korean leaders of the crisis of their socialist system, especially that of economic crisis. And the configuration of legitimacy competition has moved from the upper-left quadrant (the plane made of the X-axis of the communist revolution in the South and the Y-axis of the South's anti-communism) to the lower-left quadrant (the plane made of the X-axis of the communist revolution in the South and the Y-axis of the reform and opening of North Korean system) to the lower-right quadrant (the plane made of the X-axis of the protection of North Korean system and the Y-axis of the reform and opening of North Korean system) in the two-dimensional coordinate axes of the communist revolution in the South？Dthe protection of North Korean system (X-axis) and the South's anti-communism？Dthe reform and opening of North Korean system (Y-axis).

목차 (Table of Contents)

• 제1장 서 론 1
• 제1절 문제의 제기 1
• 제2절 연구 영역 및 과제 7
• 제3절 연구 방법 및 자료 9
• 제4절 기존 연구 검토와 본 연구의 의의 11
• 제5절 이론적 접근 틀 16
• 제6절 서술의 방식과 각 장별 주요 내용 47
• 제1부 경로의존적 역사발전의 선행조건 49
• 제2장 1960년대 말까지 남북한 대결구조 51
• 제1절 남북간 대결관계 51
• 제2절 남한 내부정세 84
• 제3절 북한 내부정세 90
• 제4절 요약 및 결론 94
• 제3장 1960년대 말 미국의 데땅뜨 정책과 1970년대 초 한반도 상황 97
• 제1절 미국의 데땅뜨 정책 97
• 제2절 닉슨독트린과 주한미군 철수 102
• 제3절 남북회담 추진에서 미국과 중공의 역할 112
• 제4절 민족문제에 대한 남북한의 입장 표명 118
• 제5절 남한 내부의 움직임 131
• 제6절 요약 및 결론 138
• 제2부 구조의 형성과 발전 145
• 제4장 7·4 남북공동성명 체제 147
• 제1절 결정적 국면으로서의 7·4 남북공동성명 147
• 제2절 남북조절위원회 회의 157
• 제3절 남북적십자 본회담(제1차~제7차) 163
• 제4절 남북회담의 중단과 재개 166
• 제5절 7·4 남북공동성명 체제 지속의 마지막 노력 178
• 제6절 요약 및 결론 183
• 제5장 남북기본합의서 체제 191
• 제1절 전두환 정부의 공세적 대북접촉 노력과 남북회담 191
• 제2절 노태우 정부의 대북 정체성 상승 이동과 남북관계·통일 담론의 발전 217
• 제3절 남북기본합의서 체제의 성립 232
• 제4절 남북기본합의서 체제 성립 과정에서의 일반 남북회담 및 교류 247
• 제5절 북한 핵문제의 등장 266
• 제6절 요약 및 결론 290
• 제6장 결 론 295
• 부 록 303
• 1. 8·15 평화통일 구상 선언 305
• 2. 7·4 남북공동성명 311
• 3. 1970년대 이후 남북회담에서 쌍방 제기사항의 남북기본합의서로의 귀결 내용 313
• 4. 남북기본합의서의 분야별 부속합의 사항의 실천정도 322
• 5. 정상의 이익과 남북관계 : 전략-정체성-담론-내부정치-남북관계 상황 등의 변화 334
• 6. 남북회담 지속 변수값 설명자료 338
• 참고문헌 342
• ABSTRACT 379