정책수용성의 변화와 예측: 고준위방사성폐기물처분장 입지사례 = Policy Acceptance`s Change and Forecasting: Simulation Modelling for High Level Radioactive Repository Site

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This paper is the result of simulation modeling concerning high-level radioactive waste repository(HLRWR) and people`s mind for the facility. We describe a procedure of simulation modeling for resident`s policy acceptance and perceived risk of HLRWR facility by using System Dynamics approach. To Complete some complicated works, we made the 20 pieces of stock-flow diagrams based on the causal loop diagram that is a blue print of whole variables and relations. The simulation outputs clearly show that cental government efforts to siting the HLRWR will be failed if nothing to give for the region`s residents. On the contrary, a monetary incentive and a regional development program help to turn this gloomy situation into a desirable and acceptable condition dramatically. Government has to prepare the schemes considering the HLRWR acceptance and total supporting program including the cash and local development programs.

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