공동주택에서의 리스크 분석을 통한 공사예비비 산정 프로세스에 관한 연구 = A Study on the Estimation Process of the Contingency by the Regression Analysis on the Apartment Housing Projects

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The most matter for construction manager to carefully consider is to contract based on the contingency which can be estimated by reasonable methods at the early time of construction performance To do It, It is Important to accurately estimate costs and contingency associated with risk factors which are included In the project To establish the real process, first of all, risk factors In construction project is classified and qualified according to a standard and then the process model to calculate contingency is suggested The results of the study are followed, (1) Factors to plus or minus costs and main activities in the apartment are determined (2) According to input data, the regression model to estimate contingency is structured through variability percentage of construction costs and total costs, regression analysis and sensitiveness analysis (3) Input data by simulation and process model were suggested (4) Finally, efficiency of model was tested by appling a real case

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Abstract
• 1. 서론
• 2. 공사예비비 산정방법 고찰
• 3. 공사예비비 산정 프로세스
• 4. 입력변수의 결정
• 5. 회귀분석에 의한 공사예비비 산정
• 6. 결론
• 참고문헌

참고문헌 (Reference)

1 전재열, "실적자료 분석에 의한 건축공사비 산정 방법 적용에 관한 연구" 18 (18): 2002

2 강인석, "대형건설공사의 리스크분석에 관한 사례적용연구" 2 (2): 2001

3 김창학, "건설사업 입찰단계의 리스크 분석 모델 개발" 1998

4 서석원, "건설공사의 최적 리스크 대응방안 선정을 위한 의사결정 모델" 대한건축학회 18 (18): 115-122, 2002

5 Ali Touran, "Probabilistic Model for Cost Contingency" 129 : -3, 2003

6 Daniel Baloi, "Modelling global risk factors affecting construction cost performance International Journal of Project Management" 2002

7 David N. Ford, "Achieving Multiple Project Objectives through Contingency Management" 128 : 2002