The purpose of this paper is to present a model based on the probable evaluation that has a benefit forecasting ability and to study the impact of five uncertain variables on the benefit and risk of the Reconstruction Apartment Projects. The five vari...
The purpose of this paper is to present a model based on the probable evaluation that has a benefit forecasting ability and to study the impact of five uncertain variables on the benefit and risk of the Reconstruction Apartment Projects. The five variables are lot out price, construction cost, interests of move cost, apartment price post reconstruction, and financial cost.
The result of this paper is as the following ;
1. Classify the principal variables which influence the benefit of the Reconstruction Apartment Projects into decision making variables, uncertain variables and forecast value.
2 . To forecast profits through estimating uncertain variables to the benefit and analysis the risk through the Sensitivity Analysis and S-Curve.
3. Determinate either advance or stop of the Projects through finding out the relation of profit and risk.