특허정보분석과 시나리오 플래닝을 이용한 미래기술전략의 수립: 연료전지의 사례를 중심으로 = Planning Future Technology Strategies Using Patent Information Analysis and Scenario Planning: The Case of Fuel Cells

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

Patents are an up-to-date and reliable source of technological knowledge, and thus patent analysis has been considered to be a necessary step for identifying evolving technological trends and planning technology strategies. Although there exist many research papers and technical reports concerning patent analysis, few empirical studies on planning technology strategies for uncertain futures from a national or company perspective have been rarely conducted. Therefore, this paper aims presenting a procedure and its practical case of planning future technology strategies by incorporating patent analysis and scenario planning. Using patents related to polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cells, this paper developed technology strategies corresponding to future scenarios. We expect that the proposed method and case study can assist knowledge services of experts in the long-term technology strategy planning process.