중숙련(middle-skill) 일자리의 감소가 고용 없는 경기회복에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 = The Hollowing-Out of Middle-Skill Jobs and Its Impact on Jobless Recoveries in Korea

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This paper first constructs an occupation code-skill match for the Korean labor market by following Autor-Dorn classification on the tasks framework. Over the last 34 years, middle-skill jobs have vanished enormously, while high-skill and low-skill jobs have both increased. Also, jobs have polarized more rapidly in recessions and changed uniquely by pushing old workers into middle and low-skilled jobs and the inter-sector reallocation of workers. Furthermore, jobless recoveries in the recent business cycle could have been alleviated considerably if job polarization had been mitigated.

참고문헌 (Reference)

1 전병유, "한국 노동시장의 양극화에 관한 연구 : 중간일자리 및 중간임금계층을 중심으로" 한국경제의 분석패널 13 (13): 171-244, 2007

2 전병유, "노동시장의 양극화와 정책과제 : 고용 양극화를 중심으로" 36-51, 2005

3 Autor, David, H., "Trends in U.S. Wage Inequality: Re-Assessing the Revisionists" 90 (90): 300-323, 2008

4 Autor, David, H., "This Job is Getting Old: Measuring Changes in Job Opportunities using Occupational Age Structure" 99 (99): 45-51, 2009

5 Bernanke, B. S., "The jobless recovery"

6 Tüzemen, Didem, "The Vanishing Middle: Job Polarization and Workers' Response to the Decline in Middle-Skill Jobs" (1) : 1-28, 2013

7 Jaimovich, Nir, "The Trend Is the Cycle : Job Polarization and Jobless Recoveries" NBER 2012

8 Autor, David, H., "The Skill Content of Recent Technological Change: An Empirical Exploration" 116 (116): 1279-1333, 2003

9 Michaels, Guy, "The Shrinking Middle" Centre for Economic Performance in LSE 2010

10 Autor, David, H., "The Polarization of the US Labor Market" 96 (96): 189-194, 2006

11 Autor, David, H., "The Polarization of Job Opportunities in the U.S. Labor Market: Implications for Employment and Earnings" 2010

12 Goos, Maarten, "The Polarization in Europe" 99 (99): 58-63, 2009

13 Gordon, R. J., "The Jobless Recovery: Does it signal a new era of productivity-led growth?" 24 (24): 271-316, 1993

14 Autor, David, H., "The Growth of Low-Skill Service Jobs and the Polarization of the US Labor Market" 103 (103): 1553-1597, 2013

15 Juhn, Chinhui, "The Effects of Rising Female Labor Supply on Male Wages" 17 (17): 23-48, 1999

16 Christiano, Lawrence J., "The Band Pass Filter" 44 (44): 435-465, 2003

17 Spitz-Oener, Alexandra, "Technical Change, Job Tasks, and Rising Educational Demands: Looking outside the Wage Structure" 24 (24): 235-270, 2006

18 Dustmann, Christian, "Revisiting the German Wage Structure" 124 (124): 843-881, 2009

19 Goos, Maarten, "Recent Changes in the European Employment Structure: The Roles of Technological Change, Globalization and Institutions" Katholieke Universiteit Leuven 2009

20 Meyer, P. B., "Proposed Category System for 1960-2000 Census Occupations" Bureau of Labor Statistics 2005

21 Bernanke, B. S., "On the outlook for the economy and policy"

22 Firpo, Sergio, "Occupational Tasks and Changes in the Wage Structure" Institute for the Study of Labor 2011

23 Goos, Maarten, "Lousy and Lovely Jobs: The Rising Polarization of Work in Britain" 89 (89): 118-133, 2007

24 Ikenaga, T., "Long-term Trends in the Polarization of the Japanese Labor Market: The Increase of non-routine Task Input and Its Valuation in the Labor Market" Hitotsubashi University Institute 2010

25 Foote, Christopher L., "Labor-Market Polarization Over the Business Cycle" Federal Reserve Bank of Boston 2012

26 Furukawa, Yosuke, "Job Polarization and Jobless Recoveries in Japan: Evidence from 1984 to 2010" Kyoto Institute of Economic Research 2013

27 Autor, David, H., "Inequality and Specialization : The Growth of Low-skill Service Employment in the United States" NBER 2009

28 Krueger, Alan B., "How Computers Have Changed the Wage Structure: Evidence from Microdata, 1984-1989" 108 (108): 33-60, 1993

29 Groshen, E. L., "Has Structural Change Contributed to a Jobless Recovery?" 9 (9): 1-7, 2003

30 Acemoglu, Daron, "Handbook of Labor Economics Volume 4" Elsevier 2011

31 Dorn, David, "Essays on Inequality, Spatial Interaction, and the Demand for Skills" University of St. Gallen 2009

32 Juhn, Chinhui, "Decline of Male Labor Market Participation: The Role of Declining Market Opportunities" 107 (107): 79-121, 1992

33 Autor, David H., "Computing Inequality: Have Computers Changed the Labor Market?" 113 (113): 1169-1214, 1998

34 김성민, "Computerization, Occupational Choice and Job Polarization in the Korea Labor Market" 한국노동경제학회 35 (35): 21-54, 2012

35 Berman, Eli, "Changes in the Demand for Skilled Labor within U.S. Manufacturing: Evidence from the Annual Survey of Manufactures" 109 (109): 367-397, 1994

36 Acemoglu, Daron, "Changes in Unemployment and Wage Inequality: An Alternative Theory and Some Evidence" 89 (89): 1259-1278, 1999

37 Desjonqueres, Thibaut, "Another Nail in the Coffin? Or Can the Trade Based Explanation of Changing Skill Structures Be Resurrected?" 101 (101): 533-554, 1999