몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 활용한 건설공사 월간투입비용 예측방법 = 공동주택 실적자료를 중심으로

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The importance of fundraising and forecasting the expenditure is emphasized for not only the decisive factor determining the success or failure of the project but also as an essential element of management stabilization.
The monthly expenditure flow is used for financial analysis of the cash flow in construction site, financial costs, and intermediate payment, and the process control. But construction industry has a difficulty to forecast the monthly expenditure by reason of high liquidity of expenditure according to market situation, lack of professional experts, and short advance preparation at the first stage of the project. As there is no objective methodology, it is still dependent on the ability of the person in charge of the project.
Due to the nature of construction industry which market fluctuates severely, forecasting cash flow and making provisions for change would be the necessary condition to enhance competitiveness and survive in harsh competition.
In this sense, at the first stage of the project which there is less usable information, it is essential to forecast monthly expenditure using objective methodology.
In this research, I would provide more objective and exact monthly expenditure forecast method, based on the information of completed record, using a fusible data regarding rough final costs at the first stage of the project and the entire construction period

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Abstract
• 1. 서론
• 2. 예비적 고찰
• 3. 월간투입비용 예측 프로세스
• 4. 월간투입비용 예측방법의 검증
• 5. 결론
• 참고문헌