CGE모델의 시뮬레이션기법을 이용한 관광산업의 경제적 효과분석:월드컵 사례를 중심으로 = Estimating the Economic Impact of the Tourism Industry by using a CGE Modeling Approach:The Case of the 2002 World Cup

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The purpose of this study was to utilize a dynamic Computable General
Equilibrium (CGE) model to estimate the economic impact of the 2002 FIFA
World Cup on the tourism industry. Toward this end, this study employed
ORANI-F as a basic framework that was calibrated to input-output (I-O)
tables, and then the base year 2000 I-O data were updated through
historical simulation for impact analysis. Then, tourism multipliers were
derived from the updated I-O tables by using CGE simulation. The results
of the CGE analysis indicated that World Cup tourists’ expenditure of
US$522 million generated US$1.57 billion in output (sales), $290 million in
income, $683 million in value added, $88 million in indirect tax, and an
equivalent of 24,543 full-time jobs as a result of direct, indirect, and
induced impacts.

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