세력전이론의 전개, 진화, 그리고 적용에 대한 고찰

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The development and changes in US-China relations affected international relations after the end of the Cold War. The power transition theory was developed to explain the occurrence of conflicts and cooperation among the states in the international system and has predicted the power transition between the United States and China from the 1950s. The power transition theory challenges the view that a balance of power fosters peace and proposes instead that conflicts are more likely when the national power between the unsatisfied nations reach parity. With its focus on the major states in the international system, the power transition theory is especially known for its claim that the danger of systemic war is greatest when a rising unsatisfied challenger catches up with or even overtakes a declining dominant power. On the other hand, it also claims that the asymmetry of power among states ensures peace in the international system. The power transition theory has made significant contributions to the study of international relations through its theoretical as well as methodological developments. This paper introduces how power transition theory has evolved over the last six decades and also explores the possibility of further developments.

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