국제무역협정이 수출에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The role of FTA on national export was the primary focus of this study. The key question addressed was whether country with relatively flexible policy to trade may have better export performance or do free trade agreements devastate the nation economy? This research explores the relationship among previous trade agreements, national exports, and typical trade related economic variables. There are several previous meaningful GATT trade agreement such as Kennedy Round, Tokyo Round, and Uruguay Round. It provides an empirical estimation of the relationship between national export and selected previous trade agreements as well as other independent variables including labor productivity, capital cumulation, and exchange rate. With Korean time series data ranging from 1971 through 2005, the estimation show that with trade agreement. may increase national export. These finding are comparatively robust for Tokyo Round but less so for Uruguay Round. Because of data availability, the Kennedy Round could not be tested for estimation. However, when tested with exchange rate squared and cubed for the first and second turning points, respectively, the results was meaningless because of autocorrelation problems. Findings were consistent with the research purpose and it will be helpful to policy maker in international trade agreement.

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