The behavior of continuous welded rail tracks is directly affected by the following various parameters: rail size; track curvature; neutral temperature; misalignment; and ballast resistance. Most of these parameters are having the nature of random var...
The behavior of continuous welded rail tracks is directly affected by the following various parameters: rail size; track curvature; neutral temperature; misalignment; and ballast resistance. Most of these parameters are having the nature of random variables. Therefore, uncertainties exist in the buckling safety assessments. The evaluation of the buckling safety and the maintenance strategy based on the deterministic analysis are very inefficient since the value of deterministic parameters are selected in worst track condition. In this study, the probabilistic approach method were investigated considering the probabilistic distribution of major parameters such as the neutral temperature of rail and the ballast resistance.