교통범죄 처벌 엄격성의 교통법규준수효과 연구 = 범칙금 인상을 중심으로

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The purpose of this study was to provide basic materials for traffic safety policy by analysing the effectiveness of raising punishment severity to traffic law abidance. Data of 2205 drivers' behavior for 8 years, who have traffic law violation records were collected in Yong-In City, Gyongi province since 2003.
For the analysis, a data mining method(CART) and Analysis of Covariance method were conducted.
The results of this study were as follows.
First, the result of CART analysis, the severity of punishment was a very important factor to the driver's traffic law violation. It is the first factor to the driver's violating traffic law than other factors.
Second, the result of Analysis of Covariance shows that severer punishment sentenced drivers violated less than those of slighter sentenced. And it's effectiveness lasted for 8 years.
The results of both CART analysis and Analysis of Covariance showed that a severer punishment to the traffic law violating drivers can reduce the violation traffic law. This study had two major limitations. First, socioeconomic variables such as education level, marriage status, and economic condition were not controlled. Second, the study area was constrained to only one city, which put restraint on generalization of the study results. Nevertheless, this study made valuable contributions in that the long-term and objective effect of raising punishment severity was proved using CART analysis and Analysis of Covariance.

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