월령단지 풍력발전 예보모형 개발에 관한 연구 = A Study on Development of a Forecasting Model of Wind Power Generation for Walryong Site

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

In this paper, a forecasting model of wind speed at Walryong Site, Jeju Island is presented, which has been developed and evaluated as a first step toward establishing Korea Forecasting Model of Wind Power Generation. The forecasting model is constructed based on neural network and is trained with wind speed data observed at Gosan Weather Station located near by Walryong Site. Due to short period of measurements at Walryong Site for training statistical model, Gosan Weather Station's long-term data are substituted and then transplanted to Walryong Site by using Measure-Correlate-Predict technique. One to three-hour advance forecasting of wind speed show good agreements with the monitoring data of Walryong site with the correlation factors 0.96 and 0.88, respectively.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Abstract
• 1. 서론
• 2. 풍력발전 예보모형 개요
• 3. 한국형 풍력발전 예보모형
• 4. 제주도 월령단지 적용사례
• 5. 결론
• 후기
• 참고문헌

참고문헌 (Reference)

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4 "기상 및 환경자료 분석을 위한 통계적 기법" 34 (34): 1998.

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6 "The ANEMOS Project: Next Generation Forecasting of Wind Power" 2004.

7 "Locally Recurrent Neural Networks for Long-Term Wind Speed and Power Prediction" 2005

8 "Impact of Wind Energy in a Future Power Grid, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven" 2005.

9 "Impact of Wind Energy in a Future Power Grid Katholieke Universiteit Leuven" 2005.

10 "Grid Impacts of Wind Power: A Summary of Recent Studies in the United States" 7 (7): 87-108, 2004.

11 "Forecasting Wind with Neural Networks" 16 : 2003.

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