우리나라 도시 및 지역 인구의 적정 규모 추정

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The purpose of this paper is to analyze optimal levels of population of urban and regional areas in Korea using a urban hierarchy model of population. This paper finds that the population sizes of Seoul Metropolitan Area, Chungcheong, Dongnam and Daekyung are larger than the optimal levels, while those of Gangwon and Honam Areas increasing their population sizes to achieve an efficiency of resource allocation. An excessive population size of Seoul could cause a loss of welfare benefits as much as 4.2~8.6% of economic incomes. The optimal level of regional population tends to rely on model constraints, model structure and data types, so it should be assessed in terms of other components such as productivities and agglomeration, population stock and migration, cost structure and productions and expenditures, too. Finally, the regional conflicts need to be shifted from Seoul vs non-Seoul to over-concentration regions vs the less development regions in the near future.

참고문헌 (Reference)

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