4.7 재보궐 선거의 중간평가적 성격: 왜 유권자는 정권심판을 선택하게 되었는가?

차재권 ( Cha¸ Jaekwon ) 한국의회발전연구회 2021 의정연구 Vol.27 No.2

2021년 4.7 재보궐 선거에서 여당인 더불어민주당은 최근의 선거에서 확인된 탈 중간평가적 성격의 흐름을 깨고 기록적인 참패를 당했다. 왜 더불어민주당은 최근 선거의 흐름과 달리 큰 점수 차의 패배를 당한 것일까? 본 연구는 이러한 물음에 대한 답을 찾기 위해 4.7 재보궐 선거 이후 실시한 유권자 의식 조사 자료를 바탕으로 개별 유권자의 투표행태를 분석하는 한편으로 그와 같은 유권자 선택을 초래한 배경과 원인이 무엇인지를 살펴본다. 연구 결과, 4.7 재보궐 선거에서는 선행연구에서 확인된 바와 마찬가지로 정부여당에 대한 심판 여론이 강하게 나타났으며, 네거티브 선거가 전개되었다. 그러나 이번 재보궐 선거의 과정과 결과를 보다 구체적으로 살펴보면 일반적인 재보궐 선거와는 다른 모습이 확인된다. 과거 재보궐 선거에서 정권심판은 정치적 비중이 낮은 선거에서 여당 성향 유권자의 소극적인 참여나 정치적 부담이 덜한 상황에서 더욱 극대화되어 나타나는 적극적인 심판 심리에 기인했다. 그러나 이번 재보궐 선거에서는 이와는 반대로 정치적 비중이 높은 선거에서 더불어민주당 성향 유권자와 무당파 유권자의 적극적인 심판 심리가 선거의 중간평가적 성격을 강화하는 쪽으로 영향을 미쳤다. 아울러 야당을 지지하는 보수 성향 유권자의 결집 역시 선거의 중간평가적 성격 강화에 강한 영향을 미쳤음을 알 수 있다. In the 4.7 by-election in 2021, the ruling Democratic Party suffered a record devastating defeat, breaking the trend of a post-intermediate evaluation confirmed in the recent election. Why did the Democratic Party lose by a large margin unlike the recent election trend? In order to find answers to these questions, this study analyzes the voting behavior of individual voters based on the voter consciousness survey data conducted after the 4.7 by-election, while examining the background and causes of such voter choices. As a result of the study, in the 4.7 by-election, as confirmed in previous studies, public opinion against the ruling government was strong, and negative elections were held. However, if we look at the process and results of this by-election in more detail, we can see that it is different from the general by-election. In the past by-elections, the government judgement was due to the passive participation of the ruling party-oriented voters in elections with low political weight, or the active judgement psychology that was maximized in situations where the political burden was less. However, in this by-election, on the contrary, in an election with a high political weight, the active judgement psychology of the Democratic Party and non-partisan voters had an effect on strengthening the midterm evaluation character of the election. In addition, it can be seen that the gathering of conservative voters who support the opposition also had a strong influence on the reinforcement of the midterm evaluation character of the election.

Studies on Mechanisms of Copper Metabolism Using Comparative Models

Jaekwon Lee 한국환경성돌연변이발암원학회 2003 한국환경성돌연변이·발암원학회지 Vol.23 No.3

A Study on Estimation of Liquid Leakage Using Wide Angle Camera Based Angled of Arrival Algorithm in Bio Plant

Jaekwon Shin,Vinayagam Mariappan,Deokgun Woo,Junghoon Lee,Jisung Lee,Minsoo Kim,Jintae Kim 한국인터넷방송통신학회 2018 Journal of Advanced Smart Convergence Vol.7 No.1

In addition to the instability of energy import costs caused by the depletion of petroleum resources, which is a representative energy resource, and the strengthening of various regulations such as the convention on climate change, the plant for bio energy production, which is being watched as the next generation energy, and became subject of various complaints. In order to solve this problem, the bio-plant is underground and the ground is parked, making the convenience and accessibility of citizens more and more accessible. In this situation, the development of bioenergy production technology also increases the risk factor in bioenergy production process. Accordingly this paper explains method about apply the wide angle camera based AOA algorithm to the bio plant to prevent the accidents from spreading due to the lack of facilities and safety devices and the aging of the facilities and suggests a technique that can quickly identify the location and direction when it occurs.

Protest-State Interaction : A VAR Analysis of the French Labor Movement

Jaekwon Cha 한국국제정치학회 2009 國際政治論叢 Vol.49 No.6

Phase Control Using Open-Stubs for Programmable SAW-based RFIDs

Jaekwon Kim,Dohyung Kim,범진욱,장기훈,윤영중 한국물리학회 2008 THE JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN PHYSICAL SOCIETY Vol.53 No.2

SAW (surface acoustic wave) tags are for passive RFID (radio frequency identication) systems. To overcome the drawbacks of current SAW RFIDs, which cannot be programmed after fabrication, we propose a technique to make the SAW ID tag programmable even after manufacturing. Control of the re ector bus-bar stub was used to change the phase of the reflected signals. The length of the bus-bar stub can be modied by line cutting using lasers and/or by connecting two lines by using conductive ink. The proposed SAW ID tag programs data and increases data capability.

Globalization, Democracy and State Autonomy

Jaekwon Suh 한국국제정치학회 2014 The Korean Journal of International Studies Vol.12 No.1

XAS Studies of Ion Irradaited MgO Thin Films

Jaekwon Suk,Sanjeev Gautam,Jinho Song,Jaeyong Lee,Jaeyeoul Kim,Joonkon Kim,Jonghan Song,Keun Hwa Chae 한국진공학회 2012 한국진공학회 학술발표회초록집 Vol.2012 No.2

A Pre-Correction Algorithm for Broadcasting Transmitter

Jaekwon Lee,Sungho Jeon,Dong Ku Kim IEEE 2016 IEEE transactions on broadcasting Vol.62 No.2

<P>In a terrestrial broadcasting system, a power amplifier (PA) and mask filter (MF) are utilized to extend the service area of the broadcasting network, while suppressing unwanted out-of-band emissions. However, due to analog circuit imperfection, these devices inevitably cause significant linear and nonlinear distortions which may lead to spectral re-growth and the degradation of signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) performance. In order to compensate for these distortions, an adaptive pre-correction algorithm is proposed in this paper. Unlike conventional techniques, the proposed algorithm iteratively estimates the linear and nonlinear distortions using selective feedback loops. Computer simulations and laboratory prototype test results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm provides nearly an spectral gain of 8 dB near the edge of the channel bandwidth and an SNR improvement of 20 dB. Thus, it efficiently improves the dynamic range of the PA and MF.</P>

A Study on CNN based Production Yield Prediction Algorithm for Increasing Process Efficiency of Biogas Plant

Jaekwon Shin,Jintae Kim,Beomhee Lee,Junghoon Lee,Jisung Lee,Seongyeob Jeong,Soonwoong Chang 한국인터넷방송통신학회 2018 Journal of Advanced Smart Convergence Vol.7 No.1

Recently, as the demand for limited resources continues to rise and problems of resource depletion rise worldwide, the importance of renewable energy is gradually increasing. In order to solve these problems, various methods such as energy conservation and alternative energy development have been suggested, and biogas, which can utilize the gas produced from biomass as fuel, is also receiving attention as the next generation of innovative renewable energy. New and renewable energy using biogas is an energy production method that is expected to be possible in large scale because it can supply energy with high efficiency in compliance with energy supply method of recycling conventional resources. In order to more efficiently produce and manage these biogas, a biogas plant has emerged. In recent years, a large number of biogas plants have been installed and operated in various locations. Organic wastes corresponding to biogas production resources in a biogas plant exist in a wide variety of types, and each of the incoming raw materials is processed in different processes. Because such a process is required, the case where the biogas plant process is inefficiently operated is continuously occurring, and the economic cost consumed for the operation of the biogas production relative to the generated biogas production is further increased. In order to solve such problems, various attempts such as process analysis and feedback based on the feedstock have been continued but it is a passive method and very limited to operate a medium/large scale biogas plant. In this paper, we propose "CNN-based production yield prediction algorithm for increasing process efficiency of biogas plant" for efficient operation of biogas plant process. Based on CNN-based production yield forecasting, which is one of the deep-leaning technologies, it enables mechanical analysis of the process operation process and provides a solution for optimal process operation due to process-related accumulated data analyzed by the automated process.

A Study on Consumer Attitude to Pricing Strategies for Perishable Foods

Jaekwon Chung(정재권),Hwanho Choi(최환호),Dong-Myung Lee(이동명) 한국유통학회 2016 流通硏究 Vol.21 No.2

신선식품(perishable food) 의 가격관리는 식품 소매업자의 경영성과에 중요한 영향을 미치는 전략적 요인이다. 식품 소매업자들은 소비자들에게 매력적인 가격을 제시하여 소비자들을 끌어들임으로서 자사의 시장점유율을 높이려 노력하고 있다. 신선식품의 가격관리와 관련된 많은 선행연구들이 진행되었지만, 대부분은 수익을 극대화하는 동태적 가격모형 개발에 초점을 맞추고 있다. 또한, 신선식품의 동태적 가격모형들은 판매자 중심으로 연구되었고 가격모형에 대한 소비자들의 반응에 관한 논문은 거의 없다. 따라서, 본 연구는 표적집단면접법(focus group interview)을 통해 동태적 가격모형들이 소비자들의 구매행동과 감정상태에 어떤 영향을 미치는지 연구하였다. 분석결과, 유통기한에 임박하여 신선식품의 가격을 할인하는 현정책은 소비자들의 불필요한 소비를 부추김으로서 사회적 문제인 식품 폐기량에도 부정적인 영향을 미칠 수 있음을 보여준다. 대안으로 가격인하 시점을 앞당기고 유통기한이 임박할수록 순차적으로 가격을 인하하는 정책은, 소비자가 가격과 신선도를 절충할 수 있는 기회를 제공함으로서 자신의 소비계획에 맞추어 이성적인 소비를 할 수 있는 기회를 제공할 것으로 보인다. The pricing of perishable foods has been a key strategic factor in the success of food retailers in a fiercely competitive market. In practice, food retailers offer competitive prices to attract potential buyers and to expand their market share. In accordance with such efforts, prior studies on pricing have focused mainly on optimizing prices in order to develop effective pricing structures. This approach takes the view that consumers will be tempted by optimal price propositions and will try to maximize the financial benefits. The problem with the approach is that it is producer- and economic-centric, limiting consumers to having economic interests only. However, we argue that this approach is not as effective as originally assumed, and that we need a change in the current pricing strategy. Based on this understanding, we collect data from actual food consumers using a focus group interview. Our findings suggest that everyday food consumers’ buying decisions are affected by factors other than just price. In particular, we find that everyday food buyers seek a balance between economic interests and ethical concerns. Thus, we define consumers as “everyday ethical consumers.” These consumers question the legitimacy of a retailer’s pricing strategy, because it encourage unnecessary purchasing and generation of food waste, which are critical social concerns. To satisfy consumers and to contribute to society, we suggest that more dynamic pricing can be a viable option. Therefore, food retailers need to consider changing their pricing strategy to meet the needs of contemporary food buyers, and a more dynamic pricing strategy is one possible approach