豫測方法에 관하여 : 마케팅을 중심으로

金恒錫,盧德煥,梁鍾烈 군산대학교 1987 論文集 Vol.14 No.-

This paper review the emprical research on forecasting in marketing.We offer a framework for discussing forecasts in the area of marketing, and then review the literatare in light of that framework.Particular emphasis is given to pragmatic interpretation of the literature and finding.We hope to (1) summarize the more important empirical research that relates to the choice and application of forecasting methods in marketing, (2) show how the research from this special issue links with the existing research on the forecasting and (3) provide an agenda for furture research. The paper is organized to Provide a framework for forcasting and then to examine research contributions within that framework. Exhibit 1.A Framework for Forecasts in Marketing. This paper is centered around what forecasts are needs.These needs are listed as A Framework for Forecasts in Marketing.(page 4) Significant gains have been made in forecasting for marketing in the past quarter century.Advances have occurred in the development of qualitative methods such as delphi, role playing, intentions and opinion surveys and bootstrapping.They have also occurred for quantitative methods suchas extrapolation and econometrics.The challenge now is to build up experience in applying these methods so generalizations can be made about which methods are most appropriate in the different areas where forecast are needs in marketing.The evidence and research needs discussed in this paper are now summarized.

산란계 사료첨가제로서 크릴분말의 효과

김종덕,장재익,유문일,정흥우,권찬호,오두식,김창현 한국국제농업개발학회 2004 韓國國際農業開發學會誌 Vol.16 No.1

본 시험은 크릴 분말의 사료적 특성을 조사하고, 산란계 사료에 첨가하였을 때 계란의 생산성과 품질을 비교하기 위하여 수해하였다. 크릴 분말을 산란계 사료에 0, 1 및 2% 수준으로 첨가하여 216수에 6주간 사양시험을 실시하였다. 크릴분말의 일반성분은 수분 8.25%, 조단백질 50.52%, 조지방 16.67%, 조회분 15.72%로 단백질과 지방이 높은 동물성 사료원료였다. 그리고 무기질(15.72%), astaxanthin (10ppm) 및 콜레스테롤 함량 (780ppm) 또한 많았다. 산란율, 연파란율, 일일사료섭취량 및 난중은 처리간에 유의적인 차이가 없었다. 황고 및 난황색도는 크릴의 첨가수준이 높을수록 유의적으로 높아 산란계의 난질을 향상시키는 첨가제로서의 가능성을 보였다. 이상의 결과를 볼 때 크릴 분말은 단백질과 지방이 높은 동물성 사료이며, 산란계에서 천연착색제로의 가능성을 보였다. This experiment was conducted to evaluate the chemical composition of Antarctic Krill(Euphausia superba Dana) meal as feed, and to investigate the effect of its supplementation on productivity and egg quality of laying hen. A total of 216 layers at the age 43 weeks in commercial cage were fed for 6 weeks with 3 different diets containing 0, 1, and 2% Krill meal (KM). The chemical composition of KM was consisted of moisture 8.25%, crude protein 50.52%, crude fat 16.67%, curde ash 15.72%, indicating that KM contains large amount of protein and fat. Krill meal also contains large amounts of mineral(15.72%), astaxanthin(10ppm) and cholesterol(780ppm). No differences were found in egg production, broken and soft eggs, and feed intake among treatments. Dietary supplementation of KM resulted in increased egg yolk height(6.1㎜) and yolk color (2) compared with those of control, suggesting that KM can be used as a feed additive for yolk quality improvement. According to the results of this study, Krill meal can be supplemented in laying hen diets as protein and fat sources, and natural coloring pigment.

학업우수 초등학생 자녀를 둔 어머니의 진로지도 경험에 관한 질적 연구

하정,이항심,정혜윤,김은덕,유성경 한국직업능력개발원 2007 직업능력개발연구 Vol.10 No.3

본 연구는 학업우수 초등학생 자녀를 둔 어머니의 진로지도 경험을 한국의 사회·문화적 맥락에서 밝히고자 하였다. 이를 위해 서울지역에 살고 있는 초등학교 6학년인 학업우수아의 어머니 9명을 심층면담하고, 질적 연구 방법으로 분석하였다. 연구 결과, 107개의 개념과 44개의 하위 범주, 그리고 14개의 범주가 도출되었다. 어머니들의 진로지도 경험을 포괄하는 핵심범주로는 '자녀의 성취를 위해 자녀의 특성을 존중하고 자녀의 자율성을 키우면서 자신이 바람직하다고 여기는 방향으로 이끌어감'으로 밝혀졌다. 연구 결과를 바탕으로 학업우수 초등학생 자녀를 둔 어머니의 진로지도 경험의 실체를 논의하였으며, 부모를 대상으로 한 진로교육프로그램의 필요성과 후속 연구에 대한 제언을 하였다. This study examined the experience about career guidance of mother who has a academically talented child in Korea. Nine mothers were interviewed and the interview data were analyzed based on the Qualitative Research Method. Result has107 concepts, 44 subcategories and 14 categories. The core category is "The mothers consider their children's characteristics for the children's accomplishment and foster children's self-control and lead their children to desirable object the mothers view".Implications of the results and suggestions for future research are discussed.

단클론성 IgG 침착을 동반한 증식성 사구체 신염 1예

차정민,정덕은,송주흥,안선호 圓光大學校 醫科學硏究所 2008 圓光醫科學 Vol.23 No.2

Proliferative glomerulonephritis with monoclonal IgG deposits is a novel phenotype of glomerular injury with the diagnostic criteria of (1) the presence of glomerular monoclonal IgG deposits restricted to a single IgG subclass and a single light chain isotype, associated with endocapillary proliferative, membranoproliferative, or membranous features; (2) the presence of granular("immune complex type") deposits by electron microscopy; and (3) the absence of clinical and laboratory evidence of cryoglobulinemia. We report a case of 65-year-old man with generalized edema who was diagnosed as proliferative glomerulonephritis with monoclonal IgG deposits by renal biopsy.

만선신부전 환자에서 관상동맥조영술 소견에 관한 연구

한대희,김성구,박상호,김성한,조원영,방덕원,조윤행,정의룡,은영근,권영구 순천향의학연구소 2003 Journal of Soonchunhyang Medical Science Vol.9 No.1

Background : Patients with chronic renal fialure have a substantially elevated risk of death from cardiovascular diseases than do the general population. the patients with chronic renal failure are at significantly increased freqeuncy of hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes mellitus which are known to the risk factors of the coronary artery diseases, and the prevalence of the coronary artery diseases in chronic renal failure patients is highly associated with the hemodynamic disorder and metabolic abnormalities. therefore we expected that the coronary angiographic findings in patients with chronic renal failure should be different from the general population (control groups) and investigated the risk factors contributing to coronary artery diseases. Method : we have retrospectively compared the coronary angiographic findings of 44 patients with chronic renal failure on hemodialysis with that of 88 patients in the general population and investigated the factors contributing to the development and acceleration of coronary artery diseases in patients with chronic renal failure Result : Hypertension and diabetes mellitus which is risk factors for coronary artery disease is significantly increased in patients with chronic renal failure, in coronary angiographic finding the severity of the lesion is worse. the incidence of PCI or CABG of patients with chronic renal failure is more than that of control group but statistically no difference between patients with chronic renal failure and control group. the sex, the duration of disease, the duration of dialysis, serum creatinine in patients with chronic renal failure have no correlation to the prevalence of coronary artery disease and severity of lesion. hyperglycemic patients with chronic renal failure have high incidence of coronary artery disease and are worse in the severity of lesion Conclusions : There is significantly increased the pevalence and severity of involving multiple coronary artery diseses in hyperglycemic patients with CRF.

A Study on the Structure of the Dust Cloud Around λ-Orionis

Duk-hang Lee,Kwang-Il Seon 한국천문학회 2014 天文學會報 Vol.39 No.1

On Orbit Data Analysis About the Passive Cooling of MIRIS, a Compact Space Infrared Telescope

Duk-Hang Lee,Bongkon Moon,Woong-Seob Jeong,Jeonghyun Pyo,Chol Lee,Son-Goo Kim,Youngsik Park,Dae-Hee Lee,Sung-Joon Park,Il-Joong Kim,Won-Kee Park,Kwang-Il Seon,Uk-Won Nam,Sang-Mok Cha,Kwijong Park,Jang 한국천문학회 2014 天文學會報 Vol.39 No.1

「경제문감(經濟文鑑)」에 나타난 삼봉(三峰) 정도전(鄭道傳)의 정치사상(政治思想)

조항덕 ( Hang Duk Cho ) 한국한문고전학회(구.성신한문학회) 2007 漢文古典硏究 Vol.14 No.-

「經濟文鑑」은 조선 건국의 이론가요 설계자였던 三峰 鄭道傳(1342~1398)이 太祖 4년(1395)에 지은 책이다. 태조 3년에 지은 「朝鮮經國典」이 주로 통치체제에 대한 내용이라면 經國濟世와 經世濟民을 제목으로 삼은 이 책은 관리로서의 태도와 책무를 강조하고 있다. 上卷은 宰相제도의 역사적인 변천과정을 서술하고, 이어 재상의 직책과 進退의 자세를 기술하고 있으며, 下卷에서는 臺諫·衛兵·監司·首領의 직책을 차례로 논하고 있다. 본고는 「經濟文鑑」이 기본적으로 統治體制와 통치행위의 주체에 대한 고민에서 시작하여 중국과 우리나라의 역사를 고찰하고 이를 통하여 이상적인 국가의 형태를 모색하였다는 것에 주목하여 삼봉의 정치사상의 핵심을 다음 세 가지로 정리하였다. 첫째, 유기체적 통치론이란 살아있는 유기체처럼 스스로 작동하는 정치체제를 말함이다. 삼봉은 自識(직접 편찬동기를 밝힌 글)에서 사회 전체를 몸에 비유하고 각각의 직분을 신체의 기능에 대비시켜 그 우위와 통제의 원칙을 밝히고 있다. 둘째, 견제와 균형이란 각급 권력기관이 독주하지 못하도록 제도적으로 견제하는 것이다. 臺諫으로 대표되는 諫官은 그 임무 자체가 잘못을 바로잡는 일에 있었다. 셋째, 재상중심론이란 국가의 정치를 전적으로 재상에게 위임하는 것이다. 삼봉은 성리학에 입각한 이상적인 국가를 설계함에 있어서 朱子가 강조한 ``君主一心論``이나 ``君主修身論``은 약화시킨 채 재상의 중요성과 역할을 강조하였다. 삼봉이 「經濟文鑑」을 쓴 것은 자신의 생각을 당대인들에게 널리 알리고 이를 통하여 체제정비와 민생안정을 추구한 것이라고 볼 수 있다. 그리고 필자는 그러한 삼봉의 의도가 일정부분 실현되었다고 본다. <Kyeongjemungam> is the writing written by Sambong Jeong Dojeon(1342∼1398), who was a theorizer and designer of the national foundation of Chosun Dynasty, in the fourth year of Taejoe(1395). While <Chosungyeonggukjeon> which Sambong wrote in 1394 is mainly about the governing systems of Chosun, with its kyeongsejemin(governing a nation and relieving the subject) topic <Kyeongjemungam> emphasizes honorable attitudes and responsibilities of government officials. Book 1 of this writing explains the history of the premier system, the duties of the premiers, and the attitude about resigning or remaining in the premier responsibility. Book 2 explains the duties of the remonstrators, the guard officers, the provincial governors, and the county chiefs in due order. Noticing the fact that <Kyeongjemungam> begins basically with consideration about governing system, and explores the system of ideal country through studying the history of our country and China, I select three essences of his political ideas in this article. First, government like an organism means a politic system which is alive like an organism and operates for itself. In the preface, Sambong compares the whole society to a body, and each individual duty to a physical function respectively and explains the relative importance of each duty and the principles of social control. Second, check and balance means keeping a certain governmental organization from having exclusive power among lots of organizations with power. Remonstrators which is represented by Taegan have a duty to correct doing wrong. Third, the premier-centered government means entrusting national politics mainly to the premiers. Sambong, to design an ideal country according to Sung Confucianism, emphasized the importance and role of the premiers, weakening Chu-tzu`s Kunjuinshimlon or Kunjusushinlon which emphasizes the role of the kings. Sambong is believed to have written <Kyeongjemungam> to let the contemporaries of his age know his thought pursuing the stabilization of national system and public welfare. I think the intentions of Sambong`s were realized to some extent.

Thermal Analysis of MIRIS Space Observation Camera for Verification of Passive Cooling

Lee, Duk-Hang,Han, Won-Yong,Moon, Bong-Kon,Park, Young-Sik,Jeong, Woong-Seob,Park, Kwi-Jong,Lee, Dae-Hee,Pyo, Jeong-Hyun,Kim, Il-Joong,Kim, Min-Gyu,Matsumoto, Toshio 한국우주과학회 2012 Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences Vol.29 No.3

We conducted thermal analyses and cooling tests of the space observation camera (SOC) of the multi-purpose infrared imaging system (MIRIS) to verify passive cooling. The thermal analyses were conducted with NX 7.0 TMG for two cases of attitude of the MIRIS: for the worst hot case and normal case. Through the thermal analyses of the flight model, it was found that even in the worst case the telescope could be cooled to less than 206ºK. This is similar to the results of the passive cooling test (~200.2ºK). For the normal attitude case of the analysis, on the other hand, the SOC telescope was cooled to about 160ºK in 10 days. Based on the results of these analyses and the test, it was determined that the telescope of the MIRIS SOC could be successfully cooled to below 200ºK with passive cooling. The SOC is, therefore, expected to have optimal performance under cooled conditions in orbit.

삼봉(三峰) 정도전(鄭道傳)의 <심문(心問),천답(天答)>에 대한 고찰

조항덕 ( Hang Duk Cho ) 한국한문고전학회(구.성신한문학회) 2004 漢文古典硏究 Vol.9 No.-