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      • KCI등재

        고임금 고용자의 밀도와 업무용 지가 간의 동태적 인과관계에 관한 그랜저 인과 분석

        정솔 ( Sol Chung ), 변서경 ( Seo Kyung Byun ), 강명구 ( Myoung Gu Kang ) 韓國不動産分析學會 2009 不動産學硏究 Vol.15 No.1

        Static correlation between industrial productivity and commercial land price is well known (O`Rourke, Taylor, Williamson 1996). Yet, the dynamic relationship between industrial productivity and commercial land price is controversial. This paper aims to clarify a dynamic causal relationship between the industrial productivity and the land price in Seoul. The major findings of this study are as follows. Seoul shows that the higher the high-salary employment density is, the higher the commercial land price is. At each Gu, there are three types of patterns. Guro, Nowon, Mapo, Seocho, Sungbuk, and Jongro Yeongdeungpo-Gu show that industrial productivity leads land price. On the other hand, Gangnam, Gangdong, Dobong, Dongdaemun, Nowon, Seungdong, Yandcheon and Youngsan-Gu show that the land price rise before high-wage job growth. And Seodaemun and Jung-Gu show bi-lateral Granger causality. This study implies the followings. Overall, high-wage job density (hence commercial land productivity) leads land price. Yet, some local areas where development is expected show that future development expectation makes commercial land price higher first, then the increase of the high-wage job density follows.

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