북한 김정은 정권의 국가목표와 군사정책 방향: 새로운 위협 요소의 등장과 한국의 대응전

이영종(Lee, Young-jong) 한국전략문제연구소 2020 전략연구 Vol.27 No.1

지난 2018년 초 대남 유화국면으로 급전환하며 대미협상을 주축으로 한 새로운 생존 전술을 구사하는 모습을 연출한 김정은 북한 국무위원장은 약 2년 만인 2019년 말 노동당 중앙위원회 제7기 5차 전원회의 개최를 계기로 다시 강경 노선 쪽으로 선회하며 “조·미 간의 교착 상태는 불가피하게 장기성을 띠게 되어있다”고 선언했다. 세계적 대유행 양상을 빚고 있는 신종 코로나바이러스(코로나19)는 대북 문제에 대한 관련국들의 집중력을 떨어트리고 있으며, 북한 또한 ‘셀프제재’로까지 불리는 사실상의 교류·교역 전면차단 조치를 취하면서 방역에 전력투구하고 있다. 이런 상황 속에서 북한이 향후 어떤 전술이나 전략을 앞세워 대남, 대미 정책을 펼쳐나갈지는 한반도와 주변 정세에 결정적 영향을 미칠 수 있는 변수가 될 수 있다. 하지만 2012년 김정은 체제 등장 이후에 북한의 핵 실험과 장거리 미사일 도발이 이어졌음에도 불구하고 이에 대한 면밀한 연구나 대응책 마련이 북한의 국가목표나 군사정책 차원에서 깊이 있게 다뤄지지 못한 측면이 있다. 김정은 집권 이후 통치노선이나 스타일에서 드러난 두드러진 특징 가운데 하나는 ‘국가’로서의 북한체제를 공식화하고 부각시키고 있다는 점이다. 김정은 스스로 ‘국무위원회 위원장’이란 직함을 사용하고, ‘조선인민군 최고사령관’이란 호칭 대신 ‘조선민주주의인민공화국 무력 최고사령관’으로 칭해지고 있는 점에서도 이를 확인할 수 있다. 김정은 체제는 대남 및 대미 외교와 경제·사회 등의 분야에서 이전과 다른 전향적 조치들을 취함으로써 변화와 개혁·개방에 대한 기대를 불러일으키기도 했으나 △당 국가 체제의 유지 △핵보유국 지위 굳히기 △경제·핵 병진 노선과 그 변용 △대미접근과 미국에 대한 이중적 인식 등에서 북한 체제의 국가목표 근간이 그대로 유지·고수되고 있음을 드러내고 있다고 볼 수 있다. 김정은 정권의 중요한 국가 목표 중 하나는 핵과 미사일의 완성을 기반으로 하는 한반도 적화통일이며, 군사정책도 이런 대목에 초점이 맞춰진 것이다. 북한의 이런 국가목표나 군사정책에 대한 우리의 정책적 대응은 △북핵 불용에 대한 공감대 형성과 대북압박 △사실상의 ‘핵보유국’ 북한에 대한 현실적 대응 △개혁ㆍ개방 및 국제무대 유인 등이 고려될 수 있다. North Korea"s policy in the midst of rapid changes in the situation on the Korean Peninsula can have a major impact on inter-Korean relations and surrounding circumstances. The need for closer analysis on North Korea"s military policy directions, the nature of its national strategy as well as its nuclear weapon and missile has grown. The purpose of this article is to analyze the ultimate national goal and military policy direction pursued by the Kim Jong-un regime and to diagnose Korea"s counterstrategy. One of the prominent features of Kim Jong-un"s policy line after his inauguration was his emphasis on the North Korean regime as a “state”. The Kim Jong-un regime"s national goals and visions were presented concretely at the Labor Party"s 7th Labor Party Congress held in May 2016, setting a five-year strategic period for national economic development (2016-2020) and building a socialist economic power as a banner. Yet, more national goals and visions still remain undisclosed, considering most of them are often secretly established and promoted. North Korea"s appeasement toward South Korea and the United States since 2018 has changed the impression of the Kim Jong-un regime from an aggressive, provocative regime to open, reconciling and cooperation-oriented regime. However, North Korea showed no more than superficial and tactical gestures, failing to take fundamental actions like denuclearization. As military policy line of Kim Jong-un regime backed by nuclear missile weapon gets more sophisticated and belligerent, importance of South Korea"s countermeasures have grown. Strategic counteractions based on military power should be taken against North Korea’s two-sided strategy such as nuclear and missile provocations and unification frontline tactics. Furthermore, counter strategies that can closely analyze and cope with the United States and China’s policies refer to Korean Peninsula are nessesary.

Hepatic Cirrhosis Occurring in a Young Woodchuck(Marmota monax) Due to Vertical Transmission of Woodchuck Hepatitis Virus(WHV)

Kyu-shik Jeong,정원일,Jae-yong Chung,Mi-young An,Chae-yong Jung,Gyoung-jae Lee,Jong-soo Kang,Byeong-cheol Kang,Young-heun Jee,Bruce H Williams,Young-oh Kwon,Da-hee Jeong 대한수의학회 2003 Journal of Veterinary Science Vol.4 No.2

Cirrhosis Occurring in a Young Woodchuck (Marmota monax) Due to Vertical Transmission of Woodchuck Hepatitis Virus (WHV)Da-hee Jeong, Won-il Jeong, Jae-yong Chung, Mi-young An, Chae-yong Jung, Gyoung-jae Lee1, Jong-soo Kang1, Byeong-cheol Kang2, Young-heun Jee3, Bruce H Williams4, Young-oh Kwon5 and Kyu-shik Jeong*College of Veterinary Medicine, Kyungpook National University, Daegu 702-701, Korea1Shinwon Scientific Co., LTD, Research Institute, Suwon, Korea2Clinical Research Institute, Seoul National University, Seoul 110-744, Korea3College of Veterinary Medicine, Jeju National University, Jeju 690-756, Korea

Comparison of trophic factors changes in the hippocampal CA1 region between the young and adult gerbil induced by transient cerebral ischemia.

Yan, Bing Chun,Park, Joon Ha,Kim, Sung Koo,Choi, Jung Hoon,Lee, Choong Hyun,Yoo, Ki-Yeon,Kwon, Young-Geun,Kim, Young-Myeong,Kim, Jong-Dai,Won, Moo-Ho Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers 2012 Cellular and molecular neurobiology Vol.32 No.8

<P>In the present study, we investigated neuronal death/damage in the gerbil hippocampal CA1 region (CA1) and compared changes in some trophic factors, such as brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF), glial cell line-derived neurotrophic factor (GDNF) and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), in the CA1 between the adult and young gerbils after 5 min of transient cerebral ischemia. Most of pyramidal neurons (89%) were damaged 4 days after ischemia-reperfusion (I-R) in the adult; however, in the young, about 59% of pyramidal neurons were damaged 7 days after I-R. The immunoreactivity and levels of BDNF and VEGF, not GDNF, in the CA1 of the normal young were lower than those in the normal adult. Four days after I-R in the adult group, the immunoreactivity and levels of BDNF and VEGF were distinctively decreased, and the immunoreactivity and level of GDNF were increased. However, in the young group, all of their immunoreactivities and levels were much higher than those in the normal young group. From 7 days after I-R, all the immunoreactivities and levels were apparently decreased compared to those of the normal adult and young. In brief, we confirmed our recent finding: more delayed and less neuronal death occurred in the young following I-R, and we newly found that the immunoreactivities of trophic factors, such as BDNF, GDNF, and VEGF, in the stratum pyramidale of the CA1 in the young gerbil were much higher than those in the adult gerbil 4 days after transient cerebral ischemia.</P>

40세 이하 관상동맥 질환자에서 장기적 임상 관찰

이승욱,정명호,박종철,박형욱,조상희,김원,김계훈,이상현,강경태,조장현,김남호,김건형,안영근,조정관,박종춘,강정채 全南大醫大 2001 전남의대학술지 Vol.37 No.2

족저압력분포 측정장비를 이용한 골프 스윙시 족저압 분석

이동기,이중숙,이범진,이훈식,김용재,박승범,주종필 한국운동역학회 2005 한국운동역학회지 Vol.15 No.1

D. K. LEE, J. S. LEE, B. J. LEE, H. S. LEE, Y. J. KIM, S. B. PARK, J. P. JOO. PIantar foot pressure analysis during golf swing motion using plantar foot pressure measurement system. Korean Journal of Sport Biomechanics, Vol. 15, No. 1, pp. 75-89, 2005. In this study, weight carrying pattern analysis and comparison method of four foot region were suggested. We used three types of club(driver, iron7, pitching wedge). This analysis method can compare between top class golfer and beginner. And the comparison data can be used to correct the swing pose of trainee. If motion analysis system, which can measure the swing speed and instantaneous acceleration at the point of hitting a ball, is combined with this plantar foot force analysis method, new design development of golf shoes to increase comfort and ball flight distance will be available. 1. Address acting, forces concentrated in rare foot regions and lateral foot of right foot. Back swing top acting, relatively high force occurred in medial forefoot region of left foot and forefoot region of right foot. Impact acting, high force value observed in the lateral rarefoot region of left foot and medial forefoot region of right foot. Finish acting, force concentration observed on the lateral region and rarefoot region of left foot. 2. Forces were increased in address of right foot with clubs length increased. All clubs, back swing top acting, high force value observed in the lateral forefoot region of right foot. All clubs, in impact, high force value observed in the lateral rarefoot region of left foot and medial forefoot region of right foot. Finish acting, force concentration observed on the rarefoot region in driver and lateral foot region in iron on left foot. 3. Right foot forces distribution were increased in address, back swing top and left foot force distribution were increased in impact, finnish

정신분열병에 대한 리스페리돈의 효과 및 안정성

이민수,김용구,김영훈,연병길,오병훈,윤도준,윤진상,이철,정희연,강병조,김광수,김동언,김명정,김상훈,김희철,나철,노승호,민경준,박기창,박두병,백기청,백인호,손봉기,손진욱,양병환,양창국,우행원,이정호,이종범,이홍식,임기영,전태연,정영조,정영철,정인과,정인원,지익성,채정호,한상익,한선호,한진희,서광윤 大韓神經精神醫學會 1998 신경정신의학 Vol.37 No.1

연구목적 : 본 시험의 목적은 임상시험 시작전에 연구자들을 대상으로 PANSS Workshop을 통하여 PANSS, ESRS에 대한 국내에서의 표준화 작업을 구축하고 새로운 정신병 치료제인 리스페리돈의 효과와 안정성을 재확인하여 리스페리돈 사용에 대한 적정화를 이루는데 있다. 연구방법 : 1996년 4월부터 1996년 9월까지 국내 39개 대학병원 정신과에 입원중인 혹은 증상이 악화되어 입원하는 정신분열병 환자 377명을 대상으로 다시설 개방 연구를 시행하였다. 1주일간의 약물 배설기간을 가진후, 리스페리돈을 8주간 투여하였고, 기준점, 1주, 2주, 4주, 그리고 8주후에 평가되었다. 용량은 제1일에는 리스페리돈 1mg씩 1일 2회, 제2일에는 2mg씩 1일 2회, 제3∼7일에는 3mg씩 1일 2회 투여하였다. 이후 환자의 임상상태에 따라 임의로 증량할 수 있으며, 최대 일일 16mg을 초과하지 않도록 하였다. 추체외로 증상을 조절하기 위한 투약을 허용하였다. 임상증상 및 부작용의 평가는 PANSS(Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale), CGI(Clinical Global Impression) 그리고 ESRS(Extrapyramidal Symptom Rating Scale)을 사용하였다. 연구결과 : 377명중 343명(91%)이 8주간의 연구를 완결하였다. 치료 종결시점인 8주후 PANSS 총점수가 20% 이상 호전된 경우를 약물 반응군으로 정의할때, 약물반응군은 81.3%였다. 리스페리돈에 반응하는 예측인자로는 발병연령, 이전의 입원 횟수, 유병기간이 관련 있었다. 리스페리돈은 1주후부터 PANSS양성, 음성, 및 일반정신병리 점수상에 유의한 호전을 보여 효과가 빨랐다. CGI의 경우도 기준점에 비해 1주후부터 유의한 감소를 나타내었다. ESRS의 경우, 파킨슨 평가점수는 기준점과 비교해 투여 1주, 2주, 4주후 유의하게 증가되었다가 8주후 기준점과 차이가 없었다. Dystonia 평가점수는 1주후만 유의한 증가를 보였으며, dyskinesia 평가점수는 유의한 차이가 없었다. 혈압, 맥박수의 생명징후 및 일반 혈액학 검사, 생화학적 검사, 심전도 검사에서 유의한 변화는 없었다. 결 론 : 이상의 다시설 개방 임상 연구를 통해 리스페리돈은 정신분열병 환자에서 양성증상뿐만 아니라 음성증상 및 전반적인 증상에도 효과적인 것으로 사료된다. 보다 명확한 평가를 위해서는 다른 항정신병약물과의 이중맹검 연구가 필요할 것으로 생각되며, 또한 장기적 치료에 대한 평가도 함께 이루어져야 하겠다. Objective : The purpose of this study was to investigate the efficacy and safety of risperidone in the treatment of Korean schizophrenic patients. Method : This multicenter open study included 377 schizophrenic patients drawn from 39 university hospitals. After a wash-out period of 1 week, the schizophrenic patients were treated with risperidone for 8 weeks and evaluated at 5 points ; at baseline, and 1, 2, 4 and 8 weeks of treatment. The dose was increased from 2mg/day(1mg twice daily) to 6mg/day(3mg twice daily) during the first week and adjusted to a maximum of 16mg/day over the next 7 weeks according to the patient's clinical response. Medication to control extrapyramidal symptoms was permitted. The psychiatric and neurological status of the patients was assessed by PANSS, CGI, and ESRS scales. Results : 343(91%) of 377 patients completed the 8-week trial period. Clinical improvement, as defined by a 20% or more reduction in total PANSS score at end point, was shown by 81.3% of patients. The predictors of response to risperidone were associated older age, shorter duration of illness, fewer previous hospitalization. Risperidone had rapid onset of action ; a significant decrease of the total PANSS and three PANSS factor(positive, negative, general), and CGI was already noticed at the end of first week. For the ESRS, parkinsonism rating scores were significantly increased until week 4 comparing with baseline. Dystonia rating scores were significantly increased until week 1, and dyskinesia rating scores were not significantly changed during the study. Laboratory parameters including vital sign, EKG, hematological, and biochemical values showed no significant changes during the trial. Conclusions : This study suggests that risperidone is generally safe and effective against both the positive and negative symptoms in our group of patients.

Ropivacaine 을 이용한 경막의 마취시 Clonidine 병용의 효과

김종일,조영훈,이상곤,민병우,이지향,반종석 대한마취과학회 2001 Korean Journal of Anesthesiology Vol.41 No.4

Effects of Clonidine Added to Ropivacaine in Epidural Anesthesia Young-Hoon Cho, M.D., Ji-Hyang Lee, M.D., Sang-Gon Lee, M.D., Jong-Il Kim, M.D.^*, Jong-Suk Ban, M.D., and Byung-Woo Min, M.D. Department of Anesthesiology, Daegu Fatima Hospital, Daegu, Korea ^*Kim Jong Il Pain clinic, Daegu, Korea Background: Clonidine has been regarded as an adequate supplementary anesthetic during epidural anesthesia and has been used with local anesthetics such as bupivacaine or lidocaine to support the effects of these anesthetics. The authors would examine whether clonidine is an adequate supplementary anesthetic when it is used with ropivacaine during epidural ane-sthesia. Methods: Thirty-two healthy patients undergoing a hip or lower limb surgery were diveded into two groups. In group 1, 0.5% ropivacaine 15 ml was administered. In group 2, 0.5% ropivacaine 15 ml combined with clonidine 150 ㎍ was administered. Onset, duration and maximal height of sensory block were assessed. Sedation score, blood pressure and heart rate were measured. Results: Duration of sensory block of group 2 was significantly longer than that of group 1. Sedation score of group 2 was significantly higher than that of group 1. Blood pressure of group 2 was sig-nificantly lower thatn that of group 1 at 50 min, 70 min and 90 min after epidural injection. No significant differences were observed in onset of sensory block and heart rate between the two groups. Conclusions: The addition of clonidine to ropivacaine during epidural anesthesia prolonged duration of sensory block and produced useful sedation. It caused relatively stable hemodynamic changes. These results suggest that clonidine is an adequate supplementary anesthetic when it is used with ropivacaine during epidural anesthesia. (Korean J Anesthesiol 2001; 41: 428~433)

비만한 성인남성의 음주 및 식이습관의 특성연구

이영준 ( Young Jun Lee ),이명종 ( Myeong Jong Lee ) 한방비만학회 2002 한방비만학회지 Vol.2 No.1

The Case Study of Alcohol & Food Habits in Obese Adult Men Young-Jun Lee, O.M.D., Myeong-Jong Lee, O.M.D. Department of Oriental Rehabilitaion Medicine, College of Oriental Medicine, Dongguk University Objective : Obesity is closely related to several factors such as genetic factors, energy intake and energy expenditure. It was said that alcohol & food habits were important to formation of obesity. The purpose of this study are to find out the alcohol & food habitual characteristic of obese adult men and to promote the health of these men. Method: From May, 2000 to November, 2001, We collected 75 cases obese patients, who visited to the Health Examination Center Dept. of Kangnam oriental medicine hospital, Dongguk University who took the health examination, and control group who were matched by age and sex. We investigated the alcohol & food habits by questionnaire. Results and Conclusions: 1. The patients over BMI 25 were in excess of the standard of obesity such as Modified Broca s Index, Percent Body Fat, Abdominal Fat Distribution. But, the patients below BMI 20 were normal range of obesity degree. 2. Abdominal Fat Distribution was increased according to age and physical activity was decreased in obese group. 3. The mean of total calory by alcohol in a month was 4324.6kcal in obese group while control group was 2206.8kcal. 4. In the comparison of food habit, obese group is higher than control group in 7 articles of the 13 articles which influenced obesity.

디지털 영상인식 방법을 통한 자세평가 및 운동가동범위 측정시스템 개발

문영진,이순호,백진호,이종각,이건범 한국운동역학회 2004 한국운동역학회지 Vol.14 No.3

Y. J. MOON, S. H. LEE, J. H. BACK, J. K, LEE, K. B. LEE. The development of posture evaluation and Range of Motion(ROM) system by using digital vision analysis method. Korean Journal of Sport Biomechanics, Vol. 14, No. 3, pp. 49-65, 2004. The purpose of this study is development of posture evaluation and Range of Motion(ROM) system by using digital vision analysis method. The results of this study are as follows. First, Scoliosis evaluation through this research measurement system represent 3mm error in 7 cervical point and deepest lumbar point, 0.7mm error in other point. This mean this research measurement system have a reliability for scoliosis evaluation. Second, for spine line evaluation on high fat subject, we need reconstrection spine line after mesurement for fat thickness in 7 cervical point and deepest lumbar point. Third, In pedioscope error test, it present 0.01848cm in X axis and 0.01757cm in Y axis. This results mean pedioscope have a reliability foot evaluation. Forth, Posture evaluation and Range of Motion measurement system by using digital vision analysis method can fast measure in range of motion and foot evaluation and posture. therefore we can expect this system application in young people posture clinic center and hospital and so on.

플립칩 패키지의 신뢰성 향상에 관한 연구

이선병(Sun Byung Lee),김종민(Jong Min Kim),이성혁(Seong Hyuk Lee),신영의(Young Eui Shin) 한국생산제조학회 2007 한국공작기계학회 춘계학술대회논문집 Vol.2007 No.-

A solder joint fatigue failure of flip chip (FC) package is mainly caused by the thermal stress due to the coefficient of thermal expansion (CTE) mismatch between the silicon die and the substrate. A nonlinear finite element analysis was conducted to investigate solder joint reliability under thermal cycling loading for FC assemblies without and with underfill. The effect of the solder joint height and thermomechanical properties such as CTE and Young's modulus on reliability of FC package. For parametric study, a finite element analysis are performed for seven different CTEs and five different Young's moduli of underfill. The concentrated Von Mises stress of the underfilled FC assembly was approximately 85% comparing that of FC assembly without underfill. Also, the concentrated stresses in the solder joint was decreased with increasing solder joint height. In addition, it is found that the solder joint reliability was improved with increasing Young's Modulus of underfill. Furthermore, the solder joint reliability was improved as the CTE was close to that of solder.