韓國婦人의 姙娠과 出産의 季節的 變化에 關한 分析

李時伯(Sea Baick Lee),李任田(Im Jeon Lee) 한국인구학회 1986 한국인구학 Vol.9 No.2

POPULATION AND REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH PROGRAMMES IN KOREA

Sea Baick LEE(이시백) 서울대학교 보건환경연구소 2000 보건학논집 Vol.37 No.1

한국부인(韓國婦人)의 재생산력(在生産力) 분석(分析)

이시백 ( Sea-baick Lee ) 한국보건사회연구원 1994 保健社會硏究 Vol.14 No.1

合計出?率을 기준으로 할 때 우리나라 부인의 出?力은 선진국가의 低出?力水準에 접근하고 있는 것으로 評價되고 있다. 그리고 이에 따라 그동안 변화되어온 人口政策이 과연 향후 出?力수준 변동에 어떤 영향을 미칠 수 있을 것인지에 대해서도 관심이 집중되고 있다. 따라서 人口政策의 方向을 결정하는 지표로 사용되어온 出?力을 좀더 심층적으로 평가할 수 있는 전반적인 再生?力을 검토함으로써 出?力水準을 보다 정확히 판단할 필요가 있다. 본 분석의 결과로서 최근에 이르러 비록合計出?率은 1987~1990년 사이에 변동없이 1.6수준을 유지하고 있으나 配偶出?率에 있어서는 약 17퍼센트가 상승하고 있다. 그리고 연령별 출산율에 있어 25~39세 女性의 出?率이 상승하고 이는 늦동이 출산이 많아지고 있는 것으로 해석된다. 지난 20여년간 동안 GRR와 NRR의 변동상황을 보면 GRR이 1970년에 2,221에서 1980년에 1,245 그리고 1990년에는 707로 하강하였다. 그리고 NRR은 1970년에 1,885에서 1980년에 1,160, 그리고 1990년에 686으로 각각 하강했다. 그러나 安定自然增加率은 1971년에 0.3에서 1990년에는 0.25로, 세대기간은 같은 기간동안에 24.9년에서 25.8년으로 각각 큰 변동없이 비슷한 수준에 머물고 있다. An analysis of reproductivity is mainly concerned with the measurement of net force of fertility expressed in terms of a generation rather than in a given year. The present study examined current trends of Korean Women`s reproductivity interpreting general reproduction and net reproduction rates, intrinsic rate of natural increase and mean length of generation. The data used for this analysis were drawn from the national fertility surveys from 1970 through 1990 conducted by the Korea Institute for Population and Health. The figures of the present study revealed that the reproduction rates of Korea during the last 20 years decreased from 2.22 in 1970 to 0.71 in 1990 and net reproduction rates also dropped from 1.9 to 0.69 during the same period of time. Furthermore, from this study, it is noticed that the replacement level of fertility had been reached since the early 1980`s. The intrinsic rate of natural increase as measure of population growth under existing conditions of fertility and mortality and free of the influence of the current age distribution, is computed. The level of rate was not much changed and was 0.3 in 1970 compared with 0.25 in 1990, which is still higher than other developed countries. The mean age of mother at the birth of their daughters defined as the length of generation has been slightly changed from 23.9 in 1971 to 25.8 in 1990.

南北韓 人口의 長期展望과 人口學的 比較 分析

李時伯(Sea-Baick Lee) 한국인구학회 1985 한국인구학 Vol.8 No.2

韓國의 人口現況과 政策方向

李時伯(Sea Baick Lee) 한국인구학회 1982 한국인구학 Vol.5 No.1

The Korean Population Control program has been implementing under the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Health and Social Affairs through an existing network of health centers. This arrangement was successful in bringing population growth down to targeted level by the end of the Fourth Five Year Economic Planning, 1981. It is expected, however, that future goal will be harder to reach due to difficulty of reducing traditional family size norms further and to the projected increasing the number of eligible couples as the past Korean war baby boom generation enters the reproductive activity in the next few years. The recognition of the need for modification of population policy is increasing. The 1980 census shows that the total number of population reached approximately 38.5 million with 1. 57 per cent of the growth rate. It was projected that the size of Korean Population will reach around 42 million and 51 million in 1986 and 2000 respectively. Furthermore, there is some argument as to whether decline in the birth rate in Korea is too slow to meet government target. Hence, a new development of population policy and greatly increased amount of effort will be needed in order to achieve Zero Population Growth Rate before the year 2050. The development of future national population policy and its related area are recommended as follow: 1. It is highly recommended that the population planning law governing both vital events of birth and death and population migration should be legislated. 2. The National Population Policy Council, Chaired by Deputy Prime Minister should be activated to implement and coordinate population program within ministries. 3. Responsible organization of population and family planning program should be established as a Bureau unit at central government level. 4. For the improvement of national vital registration, an existing system should be studied and developed.

인구 센서스 연령자료의 검정 · 분석

이시백(Sea Baick Lee) 서울대학교 보건환경연구소 2002 보건학논집 Vol.39 No.1

한국인(韓國人)의 지역(地域) 및 월별(月別) 사망율(死亡率) 수준변동(水準變動)에 관한 연구(硏究)

이시백 ( Sea-baick Lee ),윤봉자 ( Bong Ja Yoon ) 한국보건사회연구원 1991 保健社會硏究 Vol.11 No.1

1975~1988年 사이의 死亡申告資料에 대한 年度 및 月死亡率 변동과 地域別 死亡率의 차이를 분석하였다. 1975年 死亡率 8.6은 계속 하강하여 1988年 현재 6.1수준에 도달하고 있다. 이는 그동안 국민들의 경제사회생활 수준의 향상과 保健醫療事業의 向上으로 死亡力의 하강을 유도한 것으로 해석된다. 地域에 따른 死亡率 水準의 차이는 대단히 심한 특징이 있다. 대도시인 서울과 부산은 他地域에 비하여 월등히 낮다. 1980年 이전에는 4.5~5.0수준이었다. 최근에는 3.8~4.5 수준으로 最低限界線에 도달한 듯 하다. 한편 전반적으로 死亡率이 높은 地域은 全羅南北道와 忠淸北道이다. 그러나 京畿道 제주도는 우리나라 평균 사망률 수준보다 낮은 수준을 나타내고 있다. 地域別 死亡率 水準의 차이는 단순히 保健醫療의 차이만으로 해석할 수 없을 것이며 이는 전반적인 社會經濟開發 水準의 차이와도 밀접한 관계가 있는 것으로 해석된다. 死亡의 시기는 出生의 시기와는 달리 순수한 自然的인 현상으로 본다. 그럼에도 불구하고 月別 또는 季節別 死亡의 頻度를 관찰할 때 특징적인 변화가 있다. 즉, 1980年 이전에는 전반적으로 死亡率이 높은 地域에서 특히 7~9月사이의 여름철의 높은 死亡을 보이고 있다. 그러나 1980年 이후는 대부분의 지역에서 月別 변화가 뚜렷하지 않는 비슷한 현상을 나타내고 있지만, 死亡率이 낮은 地域에서 11~2月사이의 겨울철에 높은 死亡率을 나타내고 있다. 이와같은 현상은 死亡의 원인구조의 변화와 관계되는데, 과거에는 急性내지 傳染病에 의한 사망이 많았으나 오늘날에는 慢性 내지 非傳染性疾患에 의한 死亡이 많은 탓으로 해석된다. Regional and monthly variations in Korean mortality during the period of 1975~ 1988 were investigated using vital registration data of 3.346, 350 death records. The death frequency distribution by place of residence and month of accurance were analysed. A clear regional variation in death rates was found with the loweer rates in the large cities of Seoul and Pusan and two provinces, Kyong- gi-do and Cheju-do. The higher rates were in the three provinces of Chollabuk-do, Cholla- nam-do and Chungchongbuk-do. The regional differences were greater. The lower death rate as of 1988 was found to be in the large cities and ranged from 3.8 to 4.5 per thousand population compared with the higher rates of 8.2 ~ 8. 7 in the provinces. The reasons for these greater differences in the three provinces are assumed to be closely associated with socio-economic and public health development levels. The monthly variation over the years indicated a major peak in summer from July to September in the 1970s, and a relatively higher rate in winter in the late 1980s. The main reason for this variation in death rates is rdated to the current changing pattern of diseases, from a high prevalence of infectious diseases in the 1970s to a predominant incidence of chronic and degenerative diseases in the 1980s.

한국(韓國) 부인(婦人)의 임신소모수준(妊娠消耗水?) 추정(推定)

이시백 ( Sea Baick Lee ),이임전 ( Im Jun Lee ),윤봉자 ( Bong Ja Yun ) 한국보건사회연구원 1986 保健社會硏究 Vol.6 No.1

The data for the present study was derived from a nation wide sample of urban and rural areas with the 5,094 women aged 15~49 years. Pregnancy wastage in this study refers to the incomplete termination of birth by induced abortion, spontaneous abortion and stillbirth. The main purpose of the study was to measure the level of pregnancy wastage in Korea. The mean number of pregnancy wastages was found to be 1.34 with 1.46 for urban and 1.21 for rural. Of the 5,748 pregnancy wastages observed from 1956 through 1985, 279.1 per 1,000 pregnancies were classified as terminated by induced abortion, 63.5 per 1,000 by spontaneous abortion and 9.8 per 1,000 by stillbirth, giving an overall pregnancy wastage of 352.4 per 1,000 pregnancies. Overall, approximately 80 per cent of all pregnancy wastages were resulted by induced abortion. The data also revealed that the level of pregnancy wastage rate of 403.7 for urban area is higher than the level of rural of 301.0 per 1,000 pregnancies. It is also appeared that the pregnancy wastage rates for women using contraception was higher than the those women in the absence of contraception. The reason for this difference might be explained by induced abortion experiences after the unsucessful use of contraception.

출생(出生)코호트별(別) 사망(死亡)에 의한 영아(?兒) 사망솔(死亡率) 측정(測定)

이시백 ( Sea Baick Lee ),윤봉자 ( Bong Ja Yun ),박병태 ( Byung Tae Park ) 한국보건사회연구원 1981 保健社會硏究 Vol.1 No.1

The demographic transition theory explains that mortality has played a key role in accerlating the population growth. According to this theory. rapidely increased popula-tion rates. was a product of decreased death rates. while birth rates remained relatively high level. Under this circumstance it is important to mention that mortality statistics should be well documented and studied. Since the Korean government adopted fertility control program in 1961, much more attention has been given to study on fertility. Rather than study on mortality. Further-more, infant mortality is one of high priority areas in both demographic and health fields as a component affecting the progression of fertility and in its relation to the ma-jor implementation of public health program. The objectives of the present study are: (1) to investigate an appropriate level of in-fant mortality in Korea by an application of adjusted measures, (2) to introduce and discuss the refined methods for infant mortality analysis, and (3) to compare the level of infant mortality rates computed by conventional and adjusted measures. Infant mortality rates in the previous studies were practically always computed only by the conventional method which does not provide an accurate measure of the risk of death during the first year of life. To take account of mortality schedule by allocating the infant deaths to their calendar year of births and the deaths to the number of births in that calendar year, the adjusted measures were employed. In consideration of effect of yearly cohort of births on death. three different types of infant mortality rates. calculated by conventional and an adjusted measures, are shown in Table 5. The level of "crude Infant mortality rates", on the whole, is slightly higher than the level derived from an adjusted measures.

우리나라 성비변동(性比變動)의 시계열적(時系列的) 경향분석(傾向分析)

백관수 ( Kwan Soo Baeg ),이시백 ( Sea Baick Lee ) 한국보건사회연구원 1989 保健社會硏究 Vol.9 No.2

The purpose of this study is to find out the trend of sex ratio variation in Korea. The data used for this study were derived from the government publications including the Population and Housing Census Reports covering the period of 1960-1985 and the Korea Urbanic Year Book. 1985. The major findings of the study are summarized as follows : The average sex ratio in all age group is 100.17 - 101.44 from 1960 through 1980. Sex ratio unbalance was most severe in 1960 due to the Korean War. Kangwon province shows the highest sex ratio while Jeju province shows the lowest. Sex ratio in rural area has been higher than that of urban area which has been kept lower than 100 since 1975. Sex ratio in the area where male population exceeds female population regardless of cities and countries is high. Sex ratio in industrial cities is lower than 100 while that of garden cities is 127 - 184. Sex ratio industrial cities for the age groups of 30 - 39 and 40 - 49 is higher than that of garden cities. But sex ratio in industrial cities for the age group of over 60 is lower than that of garden cities.