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      • KCI등재

        외국인직접투자의 경제적 효과

        김미아(Mi Ah Kim) 한국유럽학회 2006 유럽연구 Vol.23 No.-

        본 연구에서는 외국인 직접투자(FDI)가 투자유치국 경제에 어떠한 영향을 미치고 있는가를 파악하기 위하여 중부유럽 국가를 대상으로 실증분석을 시도하였다. 중부유럽 제국 10개국에 대한 횡단면 자료와 1994년부터 2004년까지 11개년도의 시계열 자료로 구성된 패널자료를 사용하여 FDI가 무역과 경제성장에 미치는 효과를 분석한 결과 중부유럽에 대한 FDI 유입은 수출과 수입을 모두 증대시킴으로써 무역지향적인 것으로 나타났으며 수출증대 효과보다는 수입증대 효과가 더 큰 것으로 나타났다. 또한 FDI 유입은 이 지역의 경제성장에 긍정적인 기여를 하고 있는 것으로 나타났는데, 경제성장에 가장 큰 기여를 한 것은 국내투자로서 국내투자의 경제성장에 대한 영향력이 매우 높게 나타났으며 노동투입과 수출도 이 지역의 경제성장에 있어서 중요한 요인으로 나타났다. The relationship between Foreign Direct Investment(FDI) and economic growth has been fully analysed in many empirical papers. Primary attention has been given to the beneficial effects of FDI on exports and economic performance. Nevertheless, the results of empirical studies on relation between FDI and economic growth are rather mixed. Although some studies reveal a positive impact of inward FDI on economic growth, others have seriously questioned the significance of this result. The present paper explores the impact of inward FDI on trade and economic growth in Central europe. We use a panel of 11 annual observations(1994-2004) over 10 Central European Countries. The main empirical findings are as follows. First, our results support the hypothesis of the positive relationship between inward FDI and trade performance. However, due to the concentration of FDI in trade and finance, FDI contributed more to imports than to exports of Central European countries. Second, inward FDI appears to have a positive impact on economic growth of Central European countries, even after the impact of domestic investment and employment. Our results highlight the importance of the host country`s export orientation for the specific effect of FDI on economic growth. To sum up, FDI has a important role on growth in host countries when FDI is interacted with export orientation.

      • KCI등재
      • KCI등재

        한국의 대 아시아 투자가 무역에 미친 효과

        김미아(Mi-Ah Kim) 한국무역연구원 2018 무역연구 Vol.14 No.4

        This paper focuses on the effect of Korea’s outward FDI on trade flows in Asian countries. Using cross-country time series data for the period 1992-2016, we analyze by panel estimation the trade effects of Korea’s outward FDI. Particularly, we investigate whether outward FDI and trade flows are complements or substitutes. Major empirical findings are as follows. First, outward FDI to Asian countries plays a positive role in increasing Korea’s trade flows, supporting the hypothesis that outward FDI and home country trade are complements. Our finding indicates that outward FDI to Asian countries may help promote Korea’s export and import flows. This results are consistent to the vertical FDI model in which home country exports intermediate goods to host country and imports finished goods from host country. Second, upon estimating the influence of GDP on trade flows, we find that there is a positive relationship between GDP and trade flows, implying that Korea’s trade flows with Asian countries increase as market size get larger. Finally, our study offers some policy implications: 1) The governments should continue to support outward FDI to Asian countries. 2) It would be pertinent to build virtuous relationship of outward FDI and exports for sustainable growth of korea’s exports.

      • KCI등재
      • KCI등재

        연구논문 : 베이지안 추정을 이용한 팔당호 유역의 계절별 클로로필a 예측 및 오염특성 연구

        김미아 ( Mi Ah Kim ),신유나 ( Yuna Shin ),김경현 ( Kyung Hun Kim ),허태영 ( Tae Young Heo ),유문규 ( Moon Kyu Yoo ),이수웅 ( Su Woong Lee ) 한국물환경학회(구 한국수질보전학회) 2013 한국물환경학회지 Vol.29 No.6

        In recent years, eutrophication in the Paldang Lake has become one of the major environmental problems in Korea as it may threaten drinking water safety and human health. Thus it is important to understand the phenomena and predict the time and magnitude of algal blooms for applying adequate algal reduction measures. This study performed seasonal water quality assessment and chlorophyll-a prediction using Bayseian simple/multiple linear regression analysis. Bayseian regression analysis could be a useful tool to overcome limitations of conventional regression analysis. Also it can consider uncertainty inprediction by using posterior distribution. Generally, chlorophyll-a of a P2(Paldang Dam 2) site showed high concentration in spring and it was similar to that of P4(Paldang Dam 4) site. For the development of Bayseian model, we performed seasonal correlation. As a result, chlorophyll-a of a P2 site had a high correlation with P5(Paldang Dam 5) site in spring (r =0.786, p<0.05) and with P4 in winter (r =0.843, p<0.05). Based on the DIC (Deviance Information Criterion) value, critical explanatory variables of the best fitting Bayesian linear regression model were selected as a PO4-P (P2), Chlorophyll-a (P5) in spring, NH3-N (P2), Chlorophyll-a (P4), NH3-N (P4) in summer, DTP (P2), outflow (P2), TP (P3), TP (P4) fall, COD (P2), Chl-a (P4) and COD (P4) in winter. The results of chlorophyll-a prediction showed relatively hagh R2 and low RMSE values in summer and winter.

      • KCI우수등재
      • KCI우수등재
      • KCI우수등재
      • KCI등재후보

        중국의 섬유산업의 경쟁력 분석

        김미아(Mi-Ah Kim),염미림(Meilin Yan) 한국무역연구원 2009 무역연구 Vol.5 No.2

        Currently, China is the number one country of producing and exporting textile in the world in terms of productivity and the market scale. As the result of analyzing technology, price competitiveness of the Chinese textile industry, China has marked dramatic increase in the field of technology competitiveness such as the quality level as well as the growth in terms of manufacturing scale. Regarding the price competitiveness, its price competitiveness is higher than those of developed countries such as the United States, Korea, Japan and Italy. However, Textile industry of late developers such as India, Indonesia and Vietnam rapidly grow and price competitiveness of China decreases due to rise of the value of the Chinese currency, the yuan. Main tasks of the Chinese textile industry in the future will be; effort for technology innovation, enforcement of brand strategies and opening of the domestic markets.

      • KCI등재

        한-ASEAN FTA의 무역확대 효과

        김미아(Mi-Ah Kim) 한국무역연구원 2017 무역연구 Vol.13 No.4

        This paper estimates the impact of the Korea-ASEAN FTA on trade flows between Korea and ASEAN countries. Using cross-country time series data for the period 2000-2015, we analyze by panel estimation the trade effects of FTA, Major empirical findings are as follows.: First, our results indicate that Korea-ASEAN FTA plays an positive role in increasing Korea’s exports and imports, supporting the hypothesis that FTA will increase trade flows between member countries. Second, estimating the influence of other variables on trade flows, the results indicate that GDP and per capita GDP have large significant effects on trade flows, while the change of exchange rate doesn’t have significant effects on trade. This indicates that an increase in foreign demand leads to an increase in export flows, but the exchange rate is not a significant determinant of Korea’s export and import flows among Korea-ASEAN countries.

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