http://chineseinput.net/에서 pinyin(병음)방식으로 중국어를 변환할 수 있습니다.
변환된 중국어를 복사하여 사용하시면 됩니다.
The Future of Force and U.S. National Security Strategy
( Richard K Betts ) 한국국방연구원 2005 The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis Vol.17 No.3
What are the likely trends in the use of force in world politics in the coming 15 years, and how will they relate to U.S. national security policy? Most places in which the United States enters combat will be ones that planners do not now anticipate, because when and where force is used will depend on local crises that the United States cannot control in advance, accumulated lessons from experience, and the particular administration in power in Washington at the time. Limited humanitarian interventions will be frequent, but more often undertaken by other countries than by American forces. Unconventional American counter terror operations will be frequent, since Al Qaeda is unlikely to be neutralized soon. Inter-state conventional wars will be rare, especially since the United States is much more constrained from attacking remaining "rogue" states because of the bad results of the invasion of Iraq and the more complicated political and diplomatic obstacles in regard to Iran and North Korea. Use of weapons of mass destruction poses the biggest uncertainty, since such weapons are spreading, and it is unclear that all countries will handle them in the same restrained way that the United States and Soviet Union did during the Cold War. International institutions and legal norms regarding the use of force will be increasingly prominent, but more in the policies and rhetoric of weak states than of major powers, which will continue to assert interpretations of laws and norms that conform to their preferred security policies. Other countries will react to the use of U.S. power in various ways. by cooperating, carping, cowering, or countering. depending on their particular situations.