수정오차모형을 통한 중앙아시아 체제전환국들의 FDI 결정요인 분석

Narantsetseg,최창환(Chang Hwan Choi) 한국통상정보학회 2016 통상정보연구 Vol.18 No.1

본 연구에서는 몽골, 카자흐스탄, 우즈베키스탄, 키르기스스탄, 타자가스탄, 투르크메니스탄 등 중앙아시아 의 FDI 결정적 요인들에 대해 실증분석을 통해 이를 확인하고자 한다. 1993년∼2013년까지 자료를 사용하여, GDP, 총 자본형성, 임금, 노동인구, 무역개방도, 사회간접자본, 부존자원 등의 변수를 중심으로 실증분석을 실시한 결과 총 자본형성, 무역개방도, 정치안정성 변수들은 FDI 유입에 중요한 결정요인이며, 반면에 GDP, 임금, 노동인구, 사회간접자본, 부존자원 변수가 유의하지 않는 것을 확인하였다. 실증연구를 바탕으로 지속적인 경제성장을 위한 FDI 유입을 촉진하기 위해서는 먼저 정치적 안정성과 투명성을 확보해야 하며, 관련 인프라 구축에 정책의 우선순위를 두며, 기술학교 설립 등을 통한 고급인력 양성에 주력해야 할 것이다. This paper attempts to investigate determinants of foreign direct investment in transition countries of Mongolia and Central Asia five countries of Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan. FDI inflows in this transition economies have been far increasing due to their rapid growth, GDP, gross capital formation, wage, labor force, open trading, infrastructure and natural resources as well as the factors demonstrating the economic variables and political variables of these countries by Vector Error Correction Model. The results of empirical analysis based on data from 1993 to 2013 confirmed that FDI and open trade and gross capital formation and political than GDP, wage, labor force, infrastructure and natural resources had a significant impact on Central Asia and Mongolia. In addition, if Mongolia and Central Asian five countries can maintain the country`s economic growth, reduce unemployment level, achieve certain improvements in domesticating new technologies and improving skills and knowledge sphere as well as promoting stable domestic price increase, attracting and improving the FDI by paying more attention to the indicators focusing on country`s GDP, wage, labor force, infrastructure and natural resources.

Physical property variations related to seismic units in the offshore sediments of the Heuksan Mud Belt, southeastern Yellow Sea, Korea

Narantsetseg, B.,Kim, G.Y.,Kim, J.w.,Chang, T.S.,Lee, G.S.,Choi, H.,Kim, S.P. Pergamon Press 2014 QUATERNARY INTERNATIONAL Vol.344 No.-

Sixteen piston core samples collected from the Heuksan Mud Belt on the southeastern inner shelf of Korea were analyzed to characterize sediment property and distribution in relation to interpreted seismic units. The results from seven of 16 cores are presented in this study using core locations along a seismic track line. Variations in physical properties with depth gradually increased and/or decreased, depending on the characteristics of the specific property. Property patterns are primarily the result of dewatering caused by compaction and/or consolidation. Significant variations in depth are due to differences in sediment texture. In particular, core P03 is largely composed of sandy sediments below 170 cm. All core data come from three specific seismic Units: I, IIa and IIb, in descending order. The seismic patterns that define these units are interpreted as related to the rate of sea-level change during transgressions and depositional processes during the Holocene. Regionally, the variation of physical properties along the seismic profile is likely to reflect the relative characteristics of the seismic units. Unit I is characterized by low shear strength/wet bulk density and high porosity. Unit IIa appears to have higher shear strength than Units I and IIb. Unit IIb shows high wet bulk density and velocity. These observations suggest that the physical properties are mainly controlled by depositional processes related to sea-level change. Clay fabric analysis that uses a scanning electron microscope for two core samples shows the change of particle arrangement due to compaction caused by overburden loading with burial depth. In the upper part of the core, edge-to-edge and edge-to-face contacts dominate. In contrast, face-to-face contact characterized by the well-oriented arrangement of clay particles frequently occurs in the lower parts of the cores, indicating sediment compaction or initial consolidation caused by overburden pressure.

ICT의 발전이 아시아권 국가들의 무역에 미치는 영향 비교·분석

( Narantsetseg Chinzorigt ),고정오 ( Ko Jung O ) 한중사회과학학회 2022 한중사회과학연구 Vol.20 No.1

본 연구는 아시아권 15개국을 고소득·중소득·저소득 국가로 구분하여 ICT 발전이 아시아권 국가들의 무역에 미치는 영향을 VAR 모형을 이용하여 비교·분석 하였다. 1990-2018년까지 데이터를 이용하였으며, 정보통신개발(ICT), 경제성장(GDP), 외국인직접투자(FDI), 수출(Export), 수입(Import) 등의 변수를 이용하여 연구모형을 구축하였다. 실증분석 결과 ICT가 경제성장(GDP), 외국인직접투자(FDI), 수출(Export), 수입(Import)에 긍정적인 영향을 미친 것으로 확인되었으나, 고소득ㆍ중소득ㆍ저소득 국가를 비교ㆍ분석한 결과, 고소득 국가에는 ICT가 경제성장(GDP), 수입(Import)에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났고, 중소득 국가의 경우 ICT가 외국인직접투자(FDI), 수출(Export)에 영향을 미쳤으며, 저소득 국가에서는 경제성장(GDP) 및 수출(Export)에 영향을 미치는 것으로 확인되었다. 특히 ITC가 아시아권 경제권 국가들 중 중소득ㆍ저소득 국가의 수출에 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났으며, 이는 수출주도형 경제성장을 촉진하는데 지대한 영향을 주는 것으로 분석되었다. This study divided 15 Asian countries into high-income, middle-income and low-income countries. The impact of ICT development on Asian countries’ trade using the VAR model. Based on data from 1990 to 2018, research models such as information and communication development (ICT), economic growth (GDP), foreign direct investment (FDI), export and import. The results of empirical analysis, it was confirmed that ICT had a positive effect on economic growth, foreign direct investment, export and import. The comparative analysis of highㆍmediumㆍ low-income countries confirmed that economic growth and import have a greater impact on trade in high-income countries, foreign direct investment, export in low-income countries. Based on the results of these empirical analysis, when it comes to improve for ICT infrastructure facilities of midㆍ low-income countries.

Holocene Lake-Level History of Lake Ugii as Suggested by the Diatom Analysis

Narantsetseg, Ts.,Ariunbileg, S.,Feng., Z.D.,Liu, K.B. Korea Association For Quaternary Research 2008 제사기학회지 Vol.22 No.2

Floodplain Relief Formation in Haraa River Basin

Narantsetseg, P. Korea Association For Quaternary Research 2005 제사기학회지 Vol.19 No.2

Genetic Diversity and Population Structure of Mongolian Wheat Based on SSR Markers: Implications for Conservation and Management

( Narantsetseg Ya ),( Sebastin Raveendar ),( Bayarsukh N ),( Myagmarsuren Ya ),( Jung-ro Lee ),( Kyung-jun Lee ),( Myoung-jae Shin ),( Gyu-taek Cho ),( Kyung-ho Ma ),( Gi-an Lee ) 한국육종학회 2017 Plant Breeding and Biotechnology Vol.5 No.3

Production of spring wheat, the major crop in Mongolia, accounts for 98% of the cultivated area. Understanding genetic variability in existing gene bank accessions is critical for collection, conservation and use of wheat germplasms. To determine genetic diversity and population structure among a representative collection of Mongolian local wheat cultivars and lines, 200 wheat accessions were analyzed with 15 SSR markers distributed throughout the wheat genome. A total of 85 alleles were detected, with three to five alleles per locus and a mean genetic richness of 5.66. Average genetic diversity index was 0.69, with values ranging from 0.37-0.80. The 200 Mongolian wheat accessions were mainly divided into two subgroups based on structure and phylogenetic analyses, and some phenotypes were divergent by the subgroups. Results from this study will provide valuable information for conservation and sustainable use of Mongolian wheat genetic resources.

Livestock grazing and trampling effects on plant functional composition at three wells in the desert steppe of Mongolia

Narantsetseg, Amartuvshin,Kang, Sinkyu,Ko, Dongwook The Ecological Society of Korea 2018 Journal of Ecology and Environment Vol.42 No.9

Backgrounds: In arid grasslands, wells are subject to heavy trampling and grazing pressure, which can increase vulnerability to local land degradation. To investigate trampling and grazing, we surveyed plant communities at three well sites in the desert steppe of Mongolia, using 1600-m line transects from the wells. The sites (Bshrub, Sshrub, and shrubL) differed by concomitant shrub type (big shrub, small shrub, and shrub-limited) and livestock pressure (light, medium, and heavy). A plant classification scheme based on edibility and morphology (rosette or creeping type) was used to separate grazing and trampling effects on plant communities. Results: Edible plants were dominant at all sites but a fraction of grazing- and trampling-tolerant plants increased in the order Bshrub, Sshrub, and shrubL, following livestock pressure. Clear transition zones from inedible to edible plant groups were recognized but at different locations and ranges among the sites. Trampling-tolerant plants explained 90% of inedible plants at Sshrub with camels and horses, but grazing-tolerant plants prevailed (60%) at shrubL with the largest livestock number. Plant coverage increased significantly along the transects at Bshrub and Sshrub but showed no meaningful change at shrubL. Herbaceous plant biomass showed significant positive and negative trends at Bshrub and shrubL, respectively. Conclusions: Both grazing and trampling can produce larger fractions of inedible plants; in this, camel and horses can have considerable effects on desert-steppe plant communities through trampling.

Determinants of <i>Caragana microphylla</i> density distribution in the Mongolian steppe

Narantsetseg, Amartuvshin,Kang, Sinkyu,Lkhamsuren, Bolor‐,Erdene,Ko, Dongwook W. Springer Japan 2014 Ecological research Vol.29 No.5

<P><B>Abstract</B></P><P>Regional differences in <I>Caragana microphylla</I> density in the Mongolian steppes were explained by considering multiple abiotic and biotic factors collectively, including aridity gradients, grazing regimes, fire disturbance, and interspecific interactions. In the central and eastern Mongolian steppes, we collected vegetation data from 127 sites. Along 250‐m line transects, the hit frequencies of <I>C. microphylla</I> and tall‐grass species were recorded. Ancillary data included weather information, livestock populations, fire occurrence maps, and herder camp locations. Based on the steppe types and disturbance regimes, the sites were classified into 12 sub‐groups. The data were statistically analyzed at the site, county, and sub‐group levels. The natural <I>C. microphylla</I> density decreased with climatic aridity from forb‐steppes to semi‐desert steppes, but this pattern was not observed at grazed and burned sites. Livestock grazing decreased <I>C. microphylla</I> density, but this effect was considerably confounded by aridity effects, especially in the central steppes, making the relationship between <I>C. microphylla</I> and livestock densities complex. Although fire appeared to be an important factor in the eastern steppes, the mechanism of its effect on <I>C. microphylla</I> density was unclear, because the fire–shrub interaction is influenced by the tall‐grass recovery process after fire. Based on our results, we propose that two different confounding effects, namely aridity versus grazing and fire versus interspecific interactions, play important roles in determining the spatial distribution of <I>C. microphylla</I> density in the central and eastern Mongolian steppes, respectively.</P>

Comparative Analysis on the Impact of Corruption on Economic Growth and Financial Development -Focusing on Asia Pacific Countries-

CHINZORIGT NARANTSETSEG,고정오 한중사회과학학회 2022 한중사회과학연구 Vol.20 No.3

This study analyzed the correlation between corruption, per capita GDP, and financial development in 31 Asia-Pacific countries through the FMOLS model. The data collection used in the empirical analysis was extracted from the World Bank, and panel data from 2002 to 2020 were used. In the empirical analysis, a cointegration test was performed to prove the relationship between financial development (BM), economic growth (GDP), and corruption (COR), and it was confirmed that there is a long-term mutual influence between variables. As a result of empirical analysis using the FMOLS model, it was found that corruption has a short-term effect on economic growth and financial development. Still, in the long-term, it hurts economic growth and financial development in developed countries, and economic growth in underdeveloped countries. It was found to have a (+) effect on development and financial development in the short term. However, the higher the Corruption Perception Index (CPI), the higher the long-term results could be that it did not promote economic growth. Although the Corruption Perception Index (CPI) affects the overall financial development of advanced and underdeveloped countries in stages, variables also affect economic growth and financial development depending on the level of national development and economic capabilities of Asia-Pacific countries.

체제전환국의 외국인직접투자 결정요인 분석: 카자흐스탄, 우즈베키스탄 및 몽골을 중심으로

CHINZORIGT NARANTSETSEG,김세영 한국무역연구원 2017 무역연구 Vol.13 No.2

This paper attempts to investigate determinants of foreign direct investment in transition countries of Mongolia and Central Asia representative countries of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. FDI inflows in this transition economies have been far increasing due to their rapid growth, GDP, gross capital formation, wage, labor force, open trading, infrastructure and natural resources as well as the factors demonstrating the economic variables and political variables of these countries by using panel data period of 1993-2013. To do this task, important econometric methods are fulfilled to test the model adequately, such as panel unit root and panel co-integration test. In addition, the study incorporated the Vector Error Correction Model methods. The results of empirical analysis confirmed that FDI and infrastructure and labor wage and open trade and political than GDP, gross capital formation, labor force and natural resources had a significant impact on Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Mongolia. In addition, if Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Mongolian countries can maintain the country`s economic growth, reduce unemployment level, achieve certain improvements in domesticating new technologies and improving skills and knowledge sphere as well as promoting stable domestic price increase, attracting and improving the FDI by paying more attention to the indicators focusing on country`s GDP, gross capital formation, labor force and natural resources.