원예부문의 수출 결정요인 분석

임정빈 ( Jeongbin Im ),안동환 ( Donghwan An ),성재훈 ( Jae-hoon Sung ) 한국농업정책학회 2011 농업경영정책연구 Vol.38 No.1

In this study, we investigated the factors influencing the exports of horticultural sector in Korea. In particular, we estimated the gravity-type export equations for three horticultural products. The findings of this study are as follows. First, the effects of distance on the export of horticultural products except fruit are significant. Second, complementation in trade has positively related with export of horticultural product, except fresh vegetable. Trade of fresh vegetable are more likely to be intra-industry trade rather than inter-industry trade due to the difference of cropping period. Third, foreign direct investment does have a significant positive effects on the export of fresh vegetable and flower. Fourth, tariff is positively related with export of fresh vegetables, and the entry into WTO has significant positive effects on the export of fresh fruit. The results implies that neighborhoods including China, Japan, and emerging Asian countries become more important exporting market of horticultural sector. And foreign direct investment and trade specialization is also important to increase the export of horticultural product.

글로벌 통상환경의 변화와 농업통상 관련 주요 이슈

임정빈 ( Jeongbin Im ) 산업통상자원부 2023 통상법무정책 Vol.- No.5

글로벌 통상환경의 불확실성이 증가하고 있다. 우선 1995년 WTO 출범 이래 진전되어 온 무역자유화가 퇴보하는 대신 자국 산업보호와 일자리를 중시하는 신보호주의가 확산되고 있다. 또한 WTO DDA 협상이 개도국과 선진국간의 첨예한 대립으로 성과없이 20년 이상 진행되며 WTO 체제의 위기감이 높아지고 있다. 그리고 세계 최대의 경제대국인 미·중간의 무역분쟁이 국가안보와 연계되어 복잡한 양상을 띠며, 패권경쟁으로 치닫고 있다. 신보호주의의 출현, WTO 체제의 위기, 미·중간 대립과 갈등 속에서 뜻을 같이하는 여러 국가가 FTA를 체결하는 메가 FTA 협상과 특정의제에 대해 관심있는 국가들만 참여하는 복수국간 협정체결 움직임은 가속화되고 있다. 특히 최근 메가 FTA 협정의 특징은 전통적인 국경장벽인 관세철폐를 통한 시장접근개선보다는 농업, 서비스, 노동과 환경 등과 연관된 비관세조치의 해소를 통한 질적인 시장접근 개선을 강조하고 있다는 것이다. 위와 같이 불확실한 통상환경 속에서 우리나라는 세계 10위권의 대규모 농산물 수입국으로 미국 등 주요 수출국으로부터 구매력 있는 시장으로 주목을 받고 있다. 이런 측면에서 향후 농업통상 분야는 농축산물 무역과 관련된 제도와 규제의 투명성, 과학적 합리성, 국제규범과의 합치성, 국가전체 무역수지 흑자와 연계된 시장개방 요구 등 다양한 형태의 도전에 직면할 가능성이 크다. 따라서 본 고는 급변하는 글로벌 통상환경 변화 속에서 나타날 농업통상 관련 주요 이슈를 도출한 후, 이슈별 대응 방향과 전략을 제시하였다. Uncertainty in the global trade environment is increasing. First of all, the trend toward trade liberalization which has progressed since the launch of the WTO in 1995, is regressing, but neoprotectionism for protecting domestic industries and jobs is widely spreading. In addition, the crisis of the WTO system is becoming a reality with the WTO DDA multilateral trade negotiations lasting more than 20 years without tangible outcomes due to conflict and confrontations between developing and developed countries. Moreover, the U.S.-China trade dispute, the world's two largest economies, is heading toward hegemony competition. Amid the emergence of neo-protectionism, the crisis of the WTO system, and the US-China confrontation, the movement to negotiate mega or plurilateral free trade agreements (FTAs) between multiple countries with the similar economic system and the same interest in negotiating agendas is accelerating. In particular, the characteristics of the recent mega or plurilateral FTAs emphasize improving qualitative market access through transparent application of non-tariff measures related to agriculture, services, labor and the environment standards, rather than the improving quantitative market access through traditional tariff elimination. Under the above uncertain trade environment, Korea is the world's 10th largest importer of agricultural products and is attracting attention from major exporters such as the United States as a promising market with purchasing power. In this regard, the agricultural trade is likely to face various types of challenges in the near future, including transparency of regulations related to agricultural and livestock trade, scientific rationality, consistency with international norms, and demand for market opening linked to the nation's overall trade surplus. This paper examines major issues and challenges related to agriculture trade that will emerge in changing global trade environment and discusses the policy directions and strategies for each issue.

스위스와 한국 농업직불제의 비교 분석

임정빈 ( Jeongbin Im ),이수연 ( Suyoun Lee ) 한국농업정책학회 2011 농업경영정책연구 Vol.38 No.4

Before and after the launch of WTO system in 1995, a series of agricultural policy reforms have been conducted in Korea and Switzerland. Particularly two nations has introduced the various kinds of direct payment programs to cope with the agricultural market liberalization. The purpose of this paper is to find policy implications by conducting comparative analysis between Korean and Swiss direct payment programs. The main results show the differences in cross compliance schemes and achievements of Korean and Swiss direct payment programs. Particularly, Switzerland has successfully achieved the policy goals of farm direct payment in terms of farm income, environment and landscape, food production etc. The Swiss direct payment program might be a benchmark for improving the Korean direct payment program which is currently being discussed.

자동차 등화장치 베젤 색상변경에 따른 성능변화 연구

임정빈(Jeongbin Yim),남궁석완(Seokwan Namgoong),강병도(Byungdo Kang),임성균(Sungkyun Im),이호상(Hosang Lee),조정일(Jeongil Cho) 한국자동차공학회 2015 한국자동차공학회 학술대회 및 전시회 Vol.2015 No.11

농업발전과 경제성장 간 인과관계 분석

장도환 ( Dohwan Jang ),임정빈 ( Jeongbin Im ) 한국농업경제학회 2021 農業經濟硏究 Vol.62 No.4

Agriculture contributes to economic growth by supplying raw materials, capital, and labor to other industries as well as the fundamental function of food production. This study empirically analyzed the relationship between agricultural development and economic growth. As a result of analyzing countries grouped by income level and agricultural conditions, the analysis detected apparent differences in directions of causality between agricultural development and economic growth. For sustainable agriculture, policies according to national characteristics should be sought to strengthen interconnection between agricultural and non-agricultural sectors, activating agriculture-related industries, expanding the scope of agriculture, creation high value-added in agriculture.

The Impact of FMD Outbreak on the Demand for Meat in Korea

김영준(Youngjune Kim),임정빈(Jeongbin Im) 한국농식품정책학회 2020 농업경영정책연구 Vol.47 No.1

The 2010/2011 Food-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreak in Korea was considered as the worst FMD outbreaks in Korean history. However, little is known about the nature of structural change in Korea s meat demand due to the outbreak of FMD. We assess how long it takes to recover the general consumption level and quantify the impact of FMD on major meat demand. The results imply it took 8 and 14 months to restore the original level of own-price elasticity for beef and pork, respectively. Also, it took 2 and 5 months for expenditure elasticity to restore for beef and pork, separately.

2012년 미국 농업법(Farm Bill) 제정 동향과 시사점

송주호(JooHo Song),임정빈(JeongBin Im),이현옥(HyunOk Lee),다니엘 썸너(Daniel Sumner),박한울(Hanul Park) 한국농촌경제연구원 2012 한국농촌경제연구원 정책연구보고서 Vol.- No.-

Since 1949 many provisions of U.S. agricultural policy have been reauthorized every few years as primarily as temporary amendments of Agriculture Adjustment Act of 1938 and the Agricultural Act of 1949. Many provisions of the 2008 Farm Bill expired on September 30, 2012 (the end of the fiscal years for the U.S. federal government). Others will expire on December 31, 2012. The House of Representatives Committee on Agriculture passed a bill out of their committee in the middle of the summer, 2012 that was much like the Bill that passed the full U.S. Senate in the early summer. However, the leadership of the House refused to schedule the bill for consideration. This delay was in part because many members of the House objected to high spending on food programs and some objected to farm subsidy provisions as well. The two bills continued food subsidy programs with little change and authorized continuing environmental and conservation programs. The commodity programs would be modified by eliminating $5 billion per year in direct payments to those with a product history in grains, oilseeds and cotton and replacing that (and ineffective prices supports and price-based income supplements) with “shallow loss” payments that apply when revenue (or price) fall below recent high levels. The new programs could be excessively expensive or have no budget cost depending on yields and prices for major covered commodities. These “shallow loss” subsidies are designed to supplement on top of heavily subsidized crop insurance programs that cover deeper revenue and yield losses. A special provision for the dairy industry would add a supply management quota program requiring periodic cuts in milk producers. Many policy advocates who favor the provisions of the farm bills under consideration argued for passage of the new legislation as soon as possible. They are concerned that in a lame duck session and especially in a new 2013 congressional session, budget pressures will dominate and the budget for farm and food subsidies will be cut substantially. There is a chance that with more time and less election pressure, the farm subsidies will be cut rather than readjusted to spend less on direct payments and more of revenue-based insurance-like support. More pressure to cut crop insurance subsidy rates may also develop as the budget exposure of these program becomes more apparent. Farm Bills are commonly delayed. The 1985 farm bill became law on December 23, 1985, the “1995 Farm Bill” actually became law in the spring of 1996, and the 2007 farm bill did not actually take effect until June of 2008. So, the current impasse was more like business as usual than an aberration. Nonetheless, there is much policy and political concern on the part of advocates of specific policy provisions. Generally those who favor the policies included in the Bill that passed the U.S. Senate and the similar bill that passed the House Agriculture committee express the most concern about the farm bill delay. Others such as Washington Post and other farm subsidy skeptics are pleased that more time has been allotted to debate the course of farm and food subsidies and regulations.

생물다양성을 고려한 기업 공유가치창출전략의 소비자가치 측정

박수정 ( Sujeong Park ),민선형 ( Sun Hyung Min ),임정빈 ( Jeongbin Im ),김홍석 ( Hong Sok Kim ) 한국환경경제학회·한국자원경제학회(구 한국환경경제학회) 2015 자원·환경경제연구 Vol.24 No.2

본 논문은 한국 기업들이 나고야 협정을 준수하게 하고 생물다양성을 고려한 경영을 하도록 유도하고자 생물다양성 표시제품에 대한 가상가치법을 사용하여 생물다양성에 대한 소비자 가치를 추정하였다. 본 논문의 연구 가설은 생물다양성 표시제의 사용가치와 존재가치가 소비자 가치의 감정 가치, 조건 가치, 그리고 지식 가치를 통해 소비자의 지불의사액에 긍정적인 영향을 미친다는 것이다. 분석대상 제품은 우유(실용재)와 화장품(선호재)이다. 분석 결과, 생물다양성표시가 있을 경우, 우유는 35.7% 화장품은 6.3%의 추가금액을 지불할 의사가 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 특히, 생물다양성 표시제를 실시한 기업에 대한 영향도를 높게 평가한 사람 일수록, 생물다양성 표시에 대한 이해도가 높을수록 추가 지불의사액이 높아짐을 알 수 있었다. 이는 기업이 생물다양성을 고려한 공유가치전략을 실시할 경우, 소비자는 기업의 상품에 더 큰 지불을 할 의향이 있으며 이는 기업이 나고야 협정을 준수하게 하는 유인이 될 수 있음을 암시한다. 또한 생물다양성을 고려한 기업경영이 자리 잡기 위해서는 국가차원에서의 제도에 대한 지속적인 교육과 홍보도 필요함을 시사한다. Nagoya Protocol came into effect October of 2014. For Korean companies to follow Nagoya Protocol with ease, this research conducts the survey to figure out consumers’ additional willingness to pay for bio-diversity. The hypothesis that the bio-diversity label will make an impact on willingness to pay through emotional value, conditional value, and epistemic value is based on consumption value theory. The survey is conducted for two product categories; first one is utilitarian product (milk) and the other one is hedonic product (cosmetics). The analysis result shows the bio-diversity label on both product categories incur additional willingness to pay. Especially, expectation on effectiveness of bio-diversity label increases the additional willingness to pay on biodiversity label. This implies for easy following on Nagoya Protocol, the education and promotion of bio-diversity is need to increase consumers’ additional willingness to pay, which can be the attraction for companies to obey the Nagoya Protocol.

산지축산으로 생산된 축산물 속성별 지불의사금액 추정 : 쇠고기를 중심으로

이혜민(Hyemin Lee),이승훈(Seunghun Lee),임정빈(Jeongbin Im) 한국농식품정책학회 2021 농업경영정책연구 Vol.48 No.3

As the importance of animal welfare livestock grows in Korea, various kinds of government support programs for revitalizing ecological livestock industry are in effect. In particular, the promotion of livestock industry using mountainous pasture has been one of them. However, the biggest question is whether mountainous livestock is profitable, which is an important research topic that needs to be analyzed empirically. In this regard, we attempt to measure the value of livestock products produced at mountainous pasture, by estimating willingness to pay (WTP) for attributes of the beef sirloin using choice experiment (CE) method. The analysis result shows that consumers have greater WTP for the product when the grade of beef is higher, produced using mountainous pasture, and when it is from Hanwoo. What’s worth noticing is that WTP for the produced-using-mountainous-pasture attribute is estimated to be even larger than WTP for the grade and Hanwoo attribute. Such results serves as one of the evidences that producing beef at mountainous pasture might be a profitable business model if continuous efforts by both the private sector and the government to secure the economic viability of mountainous livestock are pursued.

산지축산의 경제성 분석

남경수 ( Kyungsoo Nam ),임희선 ( Heesun Lim ),임정빈 ( Jeongbin Im ),안병일 ( Byeong-il Ahn ) 한국농업정책학회 2019 농업경영정책연구 Vol.46 No.2

As consumer demand for well-being livestock products increases, the regulation of government on livestock products has been tightened. In this context, as an alternative to meet both internal and external needs of the industry, livestock farming in mountain areas was proposed. However, despite the aforementioned advantages and support, livestock farming in the mountain area has not been actively pursued. In this study, simulation analysis is conducted to find out why livestock farming in mountain areas is not widely adopted. The analytical results indicate that land cost is the most important factor for livestock farmer in making the decision of adopting livestock farming in mountain areas since it requires a large land area. The best livestock species for the mountainous area is identified to be Hanwoo.