최빈국 지역정부의 기후변화적응계획 수립을 위한 기술적 가이드라인 개발 연구

장훈 ( Hoon Chang ),송영일 ( Young-il Song ),심창섭,문지원,이명주 한국환경정책평가연구원 2016 기후환경정책연구 Vol.2016 No.-

전 세계적으로 기후변화가 가속화됨에 따라 이로 인한 영향과 피해가 더욱 심각해지고 있다. 선진국보다는 최빈국이 기후변화에 의한 위험에 더욱 취약함에 따라 유엔기후변화협약에서 는 최빈국을 대상으로 기후변화로 인한 피해 저감을 위하여 기후변화적응계획 수립을 권고하였다. 유엔개발계획, 유엔기후변화협약 등의 국제기구 혹은 몇몇 국가에서는 기후변화적응계획 수립 가이드라인을 마련하여 최빈국의 적응계획 수립을 지원하고 있으나 현재까지 적응계획의 수립은 저조한 상황이다. 2010년 COP16에서부터 기후변화적응계획 수립을 권고하였으나 48개 최빈국 중 현재까지 다섯 국가에서만 적응계획 수립을 완료하였다. 한편 유엔자본 개발기금5)에서는 최빈국 지자체의 기후변화적응 능력 향상을 위해 LoCAL 프로젝트를 추진하고 있으며, KEI는 국내에서의 기후변화적응계획 수립 노하우를 토대로 동 프로젝트에 기술적 측면의 지원을 하고 있다. 이러한 KEI 지원의 일환으로 본 연구에서는 최빈국 지역정부의 기후변화적응계획 수립을 위한 가이드라인을 개발하고 이를 최빈국 중 하나인 부탄에 적용하였다. 본 연구에서 제안하는 가이드라인의 세부적인 내용은 다음과 같다. 중앙정부뿐만 아니라 지자체에서도 활용 가능하도록 국내외 기후변화적응계획 수립 관련 가이드라인을 검토하여, 절차별 방법이나 특성을 파악하였다. 그리고 부탄 및 캄보디아와 같은 일부 최빈국을 방문하여 현지 조사를 통해 가이드라인의 개발 방향을 정립하였다. 본 연구에서 제안하고 있는 기후변화적응계획 수립의 절차는 국내 기초지자체의 계획 수립 절차를 참고하였고, 절차별 과학적인 평가 방법은 필요한 자료의 유무나 질을 고려하여 정성적 또는 정량적 측면의 방법을 총 8단계로 나누어 제안하였다. 지역의 일반 현황과 기후변화 현황을 분석하고, RCP 시나리오 기반의 기후변화 전망을 분석하여 향후 기온이나 강수량이 기후변화로 인해 어떻게 변화하는지 예측하는 방법을 제안하였다. 그리고 이해당사자를 대상으로 기후변화적응에 대한 니즈를 파악하여 우선적으로 고려해야 할 사항이 무엇인지 판단하고, 과거 구축된 자료를 바탕으로 기후변화로 인한 재해 및 영향이 무엇인지 분석하는 방안을 제안 하였다. 취약성 평가는 수행 여건에 따라 정량적, 정성적 방법으로 평가될 수 있으며, 리스크는 3회에 걸친 전문가 설문을 통해 정성적인 방법으로 분석하도록 하였다. 이와 같이 분석된 종합적인 평가 결과를 기존의 최빈국 개발사업(investment menu)과 비교하여 적응계획 이행을 위하여 우선적으로 추진해야 할 사업을 선정하고, 체계적인 평가 및 모니터링 전략을 구축하는 등 전반적인 적응계획 수립 및 이행에 걸친 방안을 제안하였다. Due to accelerated climate change, its impacts and devastations are increasing day by day. As developing countries are more vulnerable to climate change compared to developed countries, UNFCCC recommended the development of a climate change adaptation plan in order to reduce their exposure to risks derived by climate change. Since COP 16, 2010, developing countries were encouraged to establish National Adaptation Plans(NAPs). Including UNDP and UNFCCC, many organizations proposed guidelines to assist the development of NAPs. yet only 5 out of 49 countries have officially submitted them. Meanwhile, UNCDF has been supporting the developing countries to foster their climate change adaptation capacities through LoCAL projects, while the Korea Environment Institute(KEI) has been providing technical elements for the projects. In alignment to such activities, this research have employed the guideline for the formation of the adaptation plans for local governments in Bhutan as a pilot program. The guideline is comprised by the study of various climate change adaptation planning guidelines and its attributes of each procedures. As case studies, field missions were carried out in Bhutan and Cambodia to enhance the understanding of the research. In regards of the process on composing the National Adaptation Plans, this research referred to the Korean national adaptation plans of the local governments. In consideration of the availability and quality of statistical information, the scientific procedures has been comprised in eight qualitative and qualitative steps. Through the analysis of the region`s general circumstances, climatic factors and RCP based scenario examinations, this research presents how to estimate the shift of temperature and precipitation altered by climate change. Moreover it raises the necessity of the needs of climate change adaptation to be prioritized through stakeholders and added on to the accumulated data and reviewed in the aspects of climate change disasters. For the vulnerability assessment, depending on the circumstances, both qualitative and quantitative methods may be applied and the risk evaluation will be conducted by three stages of expert surveys. The outcome derived by such methodologies will be assessed with prior LDC investment menus and considered when selecting the priority projects for initiating the adaptation plans.

Correlation between skeletal and dental changes after mandibular setback surgery-first orthodontic treatment

Chang-Hoon Rhee,Youn-Kyung Choi,Yong-Il Kim,Seong-Sik Kim,Soo-Byung Park,Woo-Sung Son 대한치과교정학회 2015 대한치과교정학회지 Vol.45 No.2

Objective: To investigate skeletal and dental changes after application of a mandibular setback surgery-first orthodontic treatment approach in cases of skeletal Class III malocclusion. Methods: A retrospective study of 34 patients (23 men, 11 women; mean age, 26.2 ± 6.6 years) with skeletal Class III deformities, who underwent surgery-first orthodontic treatment, was conducted. Skeletal landmarks in the maxilla and mandible at three time points, pre-treatment (T0), immediate-postoperative (T1), and post-treatment (T2), were analyzed using cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT)-generated half-cephalograms. Results: The significant T0 to T1 mandibular changes occurred ?9.24 ± 3.97 mm horizontally. From T1 to T2, the mandible tended to move forward 1.22 ± 2.02 mm, while the condylar position (Cd to Po-perpendicular plane) shifted backward, and the coronoid process (Cp to FH plane) moved vertically. Between T1 and T2, the vertical dimension changed significantly (p < 0.05). Changes in the vertical dimension were significantly correlated to T1 to T2 changes in the Cd to Po-perpendicular plane (r = ?0.671, p = 0.034), and in the Cp to FH plane (r = 0.733, p = 0.016), as well as to T0 to T1 changes in the Cp to Poperpendicular plane (r = 0.758, p = 0.011). Conclusions: Greater alterations in the vertical dimension caused larger post-treatment (T2) stage skeletal changes. Studying the mandibular position in relation to the post-surgical vertical dimension emphasized the integral importance of vertical dimension control and proximal segment management to the success of surgery-first orthodontic treatment.

중동의 상황 변화와 선교적 적용

장훈태(Chang, Hoon Tae) 한국기독교학회 선교신학회 2011 선교신학 Vol.28 No.-

This article aims to offer the changing and missional response to the Middle East from social, cultural, and religious perspectives. The paper explains causes of Jasmine Revolution; such as lack needs of human being, reject about absolute power, and social network. Consequently, Jasmine Revolution came out democracy in the Middle East countries, and social participation and change of women. In this countries, the role of women in the great upheaval in the Middle East has been woefully under-analysed. Women in Egypt did not just join the protests - they were a leading force behind the cultural evolution that made the protests inevitable. And what is true for Egypt is true, to a greater and lesser extent, throughout the Arab world. When women change, everything changes, and women in the Muslim world are changing radically. I think that Christians mission forms in the Middle East, As an indigenous community their displacement would cause a fundamental change to the identity of the region and its future development. Their contribution to the civilization society, trust and position of Islam women is immense changing. Thus, the Christian mission should be introduce being of Jesus Christ and the spirit of God. I now have a clearer contemporary perspective on Christianity mission in the Middle East. While many Christian mission can do appreciate the consideration of the Middle East, in the place where Christianity originated, it is tried to Muslim people.

‘뉴노멀(New ’시대의 도래, 무엇을 그리고 어떻게 설교할 것인가?

김창훈(Chang Hoon Kim) 신학지남사 2021 신학지남 Vol.88 No.4

주지하는 것처럼, 오늘날 한국 교회는 여러 면에서 심각한 위기 가운데 있다. 설상가상으로 우리 사회는 문화적으로, 환경적으로 그리고 기술적으로 이전에 거의 예상치 못한 엄청난 변화를 경험하고 있다. 그러한 변화의 상황을 흔히 ‘뉴노멀(New Normal)’이라고 부른다. 쉽게 이야기하면, 이전과는 많이 다른 새로운 시대가 도래했으며 우리는 그 변화된 상황에 적응해야 한다는 것이다. 그런데 우리 사회가 경험하고 있는 변화의 내용과 성격을 잘 규정지어 주는 용어들이 있는데, 그것은 ‘포스트모더니즘(Postmodernism),’ ‘포스트(또는 위드) 코로나(Post or With Corona),’ 그리고 ‘4차 산업혁명(The Fourth Industrial Revolution)’이다. 최근 여러 신학자들이 사회적 측면에서, 신학적 측면에서, 목회적 측면에서 그리고 설교학적 측면에서 오늘날 한국 교회의 위기와 뉴노멀 시대의 여러 현상들을 분석, 평가하며 한국 교회가 나아가야 할 방안들을 제시하고 있다. 그런데 필자는 오늘날의 위기와 사회적 변화들을 좀 더 종합적으로 분석하고 평가할 필요가 있다고 생각한다. 왜냐하면 이러한 현상들과 변화들이 우리에게 따로 따로 분리되어서 다가오는 것이 아니라 종합적으로, 동시에 그리고 상호영향을 미치면서 다가오기 때문이다. 본고에서 필자는 복잡하게 급변하는 오늘날의 현상들을 정리 분석하고, 청중분석의 관점에서 그러한 현상들로 인해 교회와 성도들에게 어떤 변화가 있었는지 살펴본 후에, 이 시대에 적실하고 효과적이며 능력 있는 설교를 위해 설교학적으로 중요한 부분이 무엇인지 제안하였다. As is well known, todays Korean churches are in a serious crisis in many ways. To make matters worse, our society is experiencing enormous changes that were almost unexpected before culturally, environmentally, and technologically. Such a situation of change is often referred to as ‘New Normal’. In other words, a new era has arrived that is much different from before and we have to adapt to the changed situation. However, there are terms that define the content and nature of the changes that our society is experiencing, which are ‘Postmodernism,’ ‘Post or With Corona,’ and ‘The Fourth Industrial Revolution.’ Recently, several theologians have analyzed and evaluated the crisis of the Korean church and various phenomena of the New Normal era in terms of social, theological, pastoral, and preaching, suggesting ways for the Korean church to move forward. However, I think it is necessary to more comprehensively analyze and evaluate todays crises and social changes. This is because these phenomena and changes do not approach us separately, but come comprehensively, simultaneously, and mutually. In this paper, I summarized and analyzed todays complexly and rapidly changing phenomena, examined what changes have been made to churches and believers from the perspective of audience analysis, and suggested what is important for proper, effective, and competent preaching in this era.

Image Contrast Enhancement by Illumination Change Detection

Bayanmunkh Odgerel(바잉뭉흐 어드게렐),Chang Hoon Lee(이창훈) 한국지능시스템학회 2014 한국지능시스템학회논문지 Vol.24 No.2

영상처리를 통한 이동 물체 인식과 화질 개선 등의 연구에서 조명 변화가 성능에 큰 영향을 미치기 때문에 조명 변환에 대한 대응은 컴퓨터 비전 응용 분야에서의 중요한 관심사 중 하나이다. 조명 변화를 감지할 수 있게 되면 변화가 있는 시점에서부터 적절한 개선 알고리즘을 적용함으로써 인식률 향상 및 화질 개선 효과를 증대시킬 수 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 급격한 조명 변화를 감지함에 있어 실시간성을 얻기 위하여 지역 정보를 이요하고 퍼지 논리를 도입하여 이를 효과적으로 감지하는 방법을 제안한다. 급격한 조명 변화를 감지하는 효과적인 방법으로 모서리 영역과 가운데 영역에 대한 각각의 히스토그램의 평균과 편차, 그리고 변화 추이를 반영하기 위하여 이전 프레임의 각 영역에 대한 히스토그램의 평균과 편차와의 변화량을 입력으로 급격한 조명 변화가 있을 때 입력 값의 변화 패턴을 퍼지 규칙으로 만들어 조명 변화를 감지 하도록 하였다. 또한 움직이는 물체에 가려 발생하는 변화와 구별하기 위하여 전체 영역에 대한 평균과 편차 변화량을 도입하여 논리적으로 추론하여 차이를 구별할 수 있도록 하였고 점진적으로 조명이 변화하는 것을 감지할 수 있도록 하였다. 다양한 테스트 데이터에 대해 객관적인 정확도 측정 기법을 이용하여 민감도와 특이도를 계산하여 제안한 방법의 효용성을 보였다. 적응형 뉴로-퍼지 추론시스템을 도입하여 대비제한 적응 히스토그램 평활화 (CLAHE)의 매개 변수를 자동으로 선택할 수 있는 방법을 제안하여 급격한 조명의 변화를 감지한 결과를 바탕으로 화질을 개선할 수 있음을 보였다. There are many image processing based algorithms and applications that fail when illumination change occurs. Therefore, the illumination change has to be detected then the illumination change occurred images need to be enhanced in order to keep the appropriate algorithm processing in a reality. In this paper, a new method for detecting illumination changes efficiently in a real time by using local region information and fuzzy logic is introduced. The effective way for detecting illumination changes in lighting area and the edge of the area was selected to analyze the mean and variance of the histogram of each area and to reflect the changing trends on previous frame’s mean and variance for each area of the histogram. The ways are used as an input. The changes of mean and variance make different patterns when illumination change occurs. Fuzzy rules were defined based on the patterns of the input for detecting illumination changes. Proposed method was tested with different dataset through the evaluation metrics; in particular, the specificity, recall and precision showed high rates. An automatic parameter selection method was proposed for contrast limited adaptive histogram equalization method by using entropy of image through adaptive neural fuzzy inference system. The results showed that the contrast of images could be enhanced. The proposed algorithm is robust to detect global illumination change ,and it is also computationally efficient in real applications.

Long second toe: its nail and skin changes

( Geun-hwi Park ),( Woo-il Kim ),( Min-young Yang ),( Won-ku Lee ),( Tae-wook Kim ),( Sung-min Park ),( Hyun-joo Lee ),( Gun-wook Kim ),( Hoon-soo Kim ),( Hyun-chang Ko ),( Byung-soo Kim ),( Moon-bum 대한피부과학회 2018 대한피부과학회 학술발표대회집 Vol.70 No.2

Background: Nail can be affected by trauma, infection, and systematic disorders. In particular, the toe nails are exposed to the repeated and cumulative minor traumas, which usually result in thickened, splitted, and discolorated nails. Considering these, it can be inferred that the long second toe can be related to various nail and skin changes by repeated minor traumas such as friction in shoes, but the study or report on this topic hasn’t been done yet. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to introduce various nail and skin changes on long second toe. Methods: We analyzed the kinds of nail/skin changes of 50 patients with long second toe, enrolled at Pusan National University Hospitals (Busan and Yangsan) from 2013 to 2018. Results: There was no significant difference in the incidence of left and right toe and toenail, and 7 (14%) patients presented bilateral distribution. The most common nail change on long second toe was melanonychia (23, 46%), followed by subungual hematoma (15, 30%), onycholysis (2, 4%), subungual hyperkeratosis (2, 4%), onychomadesis (1, 2%), and retronychia (1, 2%). The most common skin change was corn (9, 18%), followed by paronychia (2, 4%). Twenty (20/50, 40%) patients also had other toe or toenail changes. Among them, the most common site was big toe/nail (13, 62%), and the most common change was subungual hematoma (8, 42%). Conclusion: Through this study, the dermatologists can recognize and diagnose the nail and skin changes of long second toe.

노인의 운동실천 제약요인 및 운동행동변화단계별 차이

성창훈 ( Chang Hoon Seong ),유루경 ( Lu Kyung Yoo ),장채욱 ( Chae Ouk Jang ) 한국스포츠심리학회 2008 한국스포츠심리학회지 Vol.19 No.2

이 연구는 노인의 운동실천 제약요인을 탐색하고 범이론적 모형(TTM)에 기초하여 운동행동변화단계에 따른 제약요인의 차이를 알아보고자 하였다. 이를 위해 운동을 실천하고 있거나 실천하지 않는 60제 이 상 103명의 노인을 대상으로 개방형 설문을 실시하였으며, 이 결과를 토대로 개발된 운동실천 제약요인 척도를 활용하여 309명의 자료를 수집하고 제약요인의 구조 및 운동행동변화단계에 따른 차이를 검증하였다. 연구결과, 노인들의 운동실천을 제약하는 6개요인(부상우려, 운동지식 부족, 건강상실과 질병, 운동동기 부족, 시간기회 부족, 경제여건)이 발견되었으며, 운동행동변화단계에 따른 제약요인의 차이를 분석한 결과에서는 성과 연령 및 운동행동변화단계에 따른 상호작용효과 및 주 효과가 동시에 나타나 복잡한 양상을 보여주었다. 성과 연령을 함께 고려할 때, 운동행동변화단계를 가장 잘 판별하는 제약요인은 건강상실과 질병요인이었다. 이러한 결과는 노인의 운동실천 제약요인의 타당성과 중재전략 개발 의 방향성 및 후속연구의 과제와 관련하여 논의하였다. This study, based on hierarchial model of leisure constraints and trans-theoretical model(TTM), aimed to investigate the conceptual structure of exercise constraints in the aged and the difference according to the stages of change of exercise. The data were collected via a open-ended questionnaire(103 age of over 60) and self-administrated residents questionnaire survey(309 aged people) in incheon city in Korea. content analysis, descriptive and inferential analyses including factor analysis, three-way MANOVA through the stepdown F-test were used to analyze the data. The results of the study showed that the constraint dimension of exercise in the aged were 6 multi-dimensional factors, which were lack of knowledge and information to exercise, bed health and illness, motivation loss, lack of time and chance, low economic condition. Furthermore, as the results of analysis on the differences according to the stages of change of exercise, 6 constraints of exercise offered a significant contribution towards the prediction of the stages of change. The bed health and illness dimension was the best predictor for distinguishing among the stages of change considered the gender x age x stages of change effects. These results were discussed relate to cross validity of constraints and strategy of intervention for regular exercise participation.

Factors associated with inflammatory change of epidermal cyst

( Jisang Yun ),( Kyung-nam Bae ),( Jin-hwa Son ),( Hoon-soo Kim ),( Hyun-chang Ko ),( Byungsoo Kim ),( Moon-bum Kim ),( Kihyuk Shin ) 대한피부과학회 2021 대한피부과학회 학술발표대회집 Vol.73 No.1

Background: Epidermal cysts (EC) are the most common tumors found on the skin and accompanying inflammation is also frequent. However, the predictors for inflammatory change have not been investigated yet. Objectives: This study was performed to investigate the difference between inflamed and uninflamed epidermal cysts, and to assess associated factors for inflammatory change. Methods: We analyzed the biopsy-proven 1723 epidermal cysts (515 inflamed and 1208 uninflamed) at two tertiary hospitals from 2011 to 2021. Results: The proportion of inflamed epidermal cysts (IEC) and uninflamed epidermal cyst (UIEC) were 29.9 % and 70.1 %, respectively. Inflammatory change was less frequently observed on the face (25.5 %) than the other sites (32.1 %) (p=0.0046). The anatomic location with the highest rate of inflammatory change was back (40.8 %, p=0.0004). Mean duration of inflammatory change from UIEC to IEC on the face was shorter than the other sites (12.5 months vs 17.9 months, respectively, p= 0.0473). On ultrasonography, long axis of IEC (20.7mm) was generally longer than that of UIEC (15.7mm) (p=0.0218). Moreover, Inflammatory change was more frequent on the EC with punctum compared to those without punctum (35.3 % vs 30.3 %, P=0.0471). Conclusion: Based on the location, size and presence of punctum, decision on the optimal treatment strategies can be established when encountering patients with EC.

FC 2-8 : Factors associated with inflammatory change of epidermal cyst

( Jisang Yun ),( Kyung-nam Bae ),( Jin-hwa Son ),( Hoon-soo Kim ),( Hyun-chang Ko ),( Byungsoo Kim ),( Moon-bum Kim ),( Kihyuk Shin ) 대한피부과학회 2021 대한피부과학회 학술발표대회집 Vol.73 No.-

Background: Epidermal cysts (EC) are the most common tumors found on the skin and accompanying inflammation is also frequent. However, the predictors for inflammatory change have not been investigated yet. Objectives: This study was performed to investigate the difference between inflamed and uninflamed epidermal cysts, and to assess associated factors for inflammatory change. Methods: We analyzed the biopsy-proven 1723 epidermal cysts (515 inflamed and 1208 uninflamed) at two tertiary hospitals from 2011 to 2021. Results: The proportion of inflamed epidermal cysts (IEC) and uninflamed epidermal cyst (UIEC) were 29.9 % and 70.1 %, respectively. Inflammatory change was less frequently observed on the face (25.5 %) than the other sites (32.1 %) (p=0.0046). The anatomic location with the highest rate of inflammatory change was back (40.8 %, p=0.0004). Mean duration of inflammatory change from UIEC to IEC on the face was shorter than the other sites (12.5 months vs 17.9 months, respectively, p= 0.0473). On ultrasonography, long axis of IEC (20.7mm) was generally longer than that of UIEC (15.7mm) (p=0.0218). Moreover, Inflammatory change was more frequent on the EC with punctum compared to those without punctum (35.3 % vs 30.3 %, P=0.0471). Conclusion: Based on the location, size and presence of punctum, decision on the optimal treatment strategies can be established when encountering patients with EC.

Which Environmental Factors Caused Lammas Shoot Growth of Korean Red Pine?

Lee, Chang-Seok,Song, Hye-Gyung,Kim, Hye-Soo,Lee, Bit-Na-Ra,Pi, Jeong-Hoon,Cho, Yong-Chan,Seol, Eun-Sil,Oh, Woo-Seok,Park, Sung-Ae,Lee, Seon-Mi The Ecological Society of Korea 2007 Journal of Ecology and Environment Vol.30 No.1

Lammas growth, a rare phenomenon for Korean red pine (Pinus densiflora), occurred in 2006. Lammas shoots showed higher frequency and longer length in Seoul's hotter urban center than in urban boundary or suburban forest sites. Frequency and length showed a close correlation with urbanization density and vegetation cover expressed in NDVI. Air temperature in the late summer of 2006 was more than $1^{\circ}C$ higher than an average year. Of the predominant environmental signals that modulate bud flush, only temperature changed significantly during the year. Differences in temperature between the urban centers, urban boundaries and suburban forests correlated with varying land-use density. The rise in temperature likely spurred lammas growth of the Korean red pine. Symptoms of climate change are being detected throughout the world, and its consequences will be clearer in the future. Considerate interest in the responses of ecological systems to the variable changes is required to prepare for unforeseeable crises. Monitoring of diverse ecological phenomena at Long Term Ecological Research sites could offer harbingers of change.