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박좀범 ( Jong-bum Park ) 한국군사학회 2016 군사논단 Vol.86 No.-
This paper deals with the problems that Kim Jong Un``s regime faces after Kim Jong-il``s sudden death on december 2011. In other words, this study proceeds regarding the direction of solution to the North Korea Nuclear problem, security of internal power, and an economic development which indicates the stability of Kim Jong Un``s regime. Small-scale society such as North Korea is greatly influenced by the external environmental factors. Since the stability problems of Kim Jong Un``s regime progresses along with the conflict and its reaction to the pressure & sanction by the international society, the ``Functional theory of conflict`` is quoted to progress the discussion and considered our strategic responsiveness accordingly. The master plan of Kim Jong Un``s regime has been evaluated that it is to focus on sole leadership system while utterly excluding the forces with vested rights which may become an obstacle, strengthen the system by vitalizing the society through economic development, and swiftly miniaturize and lighten the nuclear weapons`` weight for better utilization so as to set up a complete stabilization of the regime. Thus, the stability of Kim Jong Un``s regime will be strengthened in a short-term, however in a medium-and long-term, its internal cohesiveness will greatly weaken and will face a collapse on account of the lack of resources and economic downfall due to international society``s economic sanction against North Korea. As for us, since Kim Jung Un is satisfied with his regime stability in short-term which may cause a possible skirmish as a unification strategy towards South Korea, and to eliminate the possibility of foreign(ex: Chinese) army``s advancement to the North Korea region due to the power imbalance in the Korean Peninsula after the collapse of North Korea in medium-and long-term, there it needs to be a sufficient prior preparation. It is imperative to maintain a close cooperation system with our allied country-U.S while preparing measures for the China``s movement, and ultimately look for a strategic policy plan by strengthening the relationship with the U.S in order to draw North Korea to the negotiation table.
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