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The United States and the North Korean Issue
Robert A., Scalapino 고려대학교-民국제관계연구원 1997 국제관계연구 Vol.2 No.3
Observing North Korea is roughly equivalent to looking at a black bird at midnight. No nation in the contemporary world has employed secrecy and the exclusion of outsiders so effectively. Even those who are permitted to visit generally see what they are supposed to see, hear what they are supposed to hear.
KOREA AND THE CHANGING INTERNATIONAL SCENE
Scalapino,Robert A. The Institute for Far Eastern Studies Kyungnam Uni 1992 ASIAN PERSPECTIVE Vol.16 No.2
We live in a new world, and the struggle to adjust to that fact dominates all else on the international stage. As one graphic example, for the first time in this century, a major power conflict that could encompass the globe is virtually unthinkable. The Soviet Union has disappeared, with its parts now independent entities faced with enormous domestic problems. Civil war or a conflict among the new republics is certainly a possibility, but the projection of Russian military strength beyond the old Soviet borders is inconceivable in the near future. It is the weakness, not the strength, of Russia and the other ex-Soviet republics that must concern the world, and especially their neighbors. China has made significant economic gains in the past decade, notably in regions having easy access to the great market economies of East Asia, but the problems of modernizing a billion people remain awesome. While China is steadily developing a modern military force and gives every indication of desiring to be a major power-possibly the major power-in Asia, it is likely to be preoccupied with its domestic concerns in the years immediately ahead. Japan is Asia's greatest success story in economic terms, and today it stands as one of the two global economic powers. It has served as model for many developing states, and source of financial support. There has been unhappiness, to be sure, about the Japanese reluctance to transfer technology, utilize indigenous managerial personnel in its overseas operations, or open its domestic markets more widely, but Japan's economic influence throughout East Asia at present is greater than that of any other nation.
U.S. Relations with North Korea
( Robert A. Scalapino ) 인하대학교 국제관계연구소 2007 Pacific Focus Vol.22 No.1
Given its reclusive nature, hard facts about North Korea are difficult to discern. However, the recent history of U.S.-DPRK relations reveals periodic advances followed by breakdowns, with disputes over critical details. Yet most recently, both parties have shown greater flexibility due to ongoing domestic conditions. It is premature to predict the outcome of the current dialogues. Many difficult is sues remain to be resolved but some hope is justified.
The United States and Northeast Asia--Present and Future
Robert A. Scalapino 인하대학교 국제관계연구소 2007 Pacific Focus Vol.22 No.2
Two issues have dominated the political-security scene in Northeast Asia in recent times: the North Korean nuclear program and the issue of Taiwan’s sovereignty. In both matters, the U.S. is deeply involved, and while the North Korean problem has shown recent progress, neither issue can be considered close to resolution. Meanwhile, U.S. relations with the major Northeast Asian powers vary. With Japan, the relationship is strongly positive. Relations with China are characterized by complexity, with cooperation and competition coexisting. Relations with Russia have fluctuated, with problems mounting in the recent past. Among other nations, the ROK remains a significant ally despite certain differences both with respect to policies and political atmosphere. Mongolia represents a nation seeking balanced relations with near neighbors and closer relations with Japan and the United States. When the current scene is viewed in its full dimensions, there is reason for cautious optimism.