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A Taiwan Strait Conflict Simulation Model
Wojtek M. Wolfe 서울대학교 국제학연구소 2010 Journal of International and Area Studies Vol.17 No.1
This paper proposes a simulation model to better understand the likelihood of conflict. It applies cognitive bias to an expected utility model to provide more specific option outcomes. The Taiwan Strait provides the case study, however, any possible conflict scenario can be used. The results show a diminished probability of conflict in the Taiwan Strait