(The) research of relationships between chinese foreign policy and public opinion : take the territorial disputes of South China and Diaoyu Islands as the center

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

Abstract

With the development of society, rapid economic development, the advocacy of globalization, democratization and information, public opinion has become increasingly significant factors, and must be considered in the national policy, especially in a country's foreign policy. The relationship between the national foreign policy and public opinion has caught the eye of both academic and policy circles and made a hot research subject. so far, most of the academic research at home and abroad, mainly concentrated in the western countries for "public opinion how to influence foreign policy formulation and implementation". however, for the Southeast Asian countries or countries like China, such study on the impact from the public opinion on diplomacy is far from deep and mature. In this paper, by starting with the national territory disputes and its relationship with the public opinion at home, the relationship between the national foreign policy and public opinion within China is defined and explored.

The whole thesis is divided into seven chapters in structure, and four parts in content.
The first part focuses on the interpretation of the concept, and the whole historical evolution of how the public opinion influences on the country's foreign, and a brief summary of the existing literature.
The second part is about the subject of this paper: China. By systematic analysis of how the public opinion influences on the country's foreign, and by a close study of Chinese foreign policy-making, this paper presents a specific interpretation on the relationship between China foreign policy and public opinion. Moreover, through the advance and mutual comparisons of how the public opinion impact the Chines national diplomacy in of the four stages of Rejuvenation of China, this paper hence proves that the public opinion has become indispensable in Chinese foreign-policy-making process.
The third part is the core part of this thesis, where the research model and methods is presented. By applying the advantages of the SWOT analysis model, the detailed influence of "public opinion" on China foreign policy is presented Respectively: advantages, disadvantages, opportunities, and threats. For this part, the analysis does not consider the public opinion as a single concept, but match the three classes of the public opinion with corresponding advantages, disadvantages, opportunities and threats, and then intensive analysis is following. At the same time, the core example of " Chinese national territorial disputes" is also discussed, i.e. based on the SWOT model, and by applying case-analysis method, by comparing the Diaoyu Islands territorial disputes and the South China Sea territorial disputes, the idea that "public opinion have an impact on the Chinese foreign policy” is demonstrated again.
The fourth part is the conclusion, summarizing both the positive and negative influence of both domestic and international public opinion on Chinese diplomacy, respectively. Relative suggestions are also proposed.
During the writing process, plenty of limits exist. For example, as the topic and proposal is, to some degree, politically sensitive, one weakness lies in its Relatively poor operability, and, it is difficult to finish the quantitative data analysis precisely, and to find adequate detailed document to support my idea, moreover, to conduct a solid academic verification. one reason behind the poor operability is usually recognized as the Frequent gyrations in the foreign policy of a country, while the public opinion is just one of the important factors in the foreign-policy-making, where with the development of diplomatic affairs, the impact of public opinion on the national foreign policy is constantly increasing. However, to quantitatively find the connection or relation during the whole interaction process is almost impossible. In details, the difficulty to find precise data and detailed document is in that most of the research and comments, between public opinion and Chinese foreign policy, so far, has been limited and only to a point, but never gone deep enough. So, the relative document to refer or quote is limited, and, data extracted for the comparison from different temporal perspectives. is fuzzy. All the limitations and difficulties mentioned above lead to a single solution: Most of data and document cited in this thesis came from periodicals, networks, and news, etc.

Finally, I’d appreciate the instructions and considerations from my acknowledged advisor, Professor Professor Kwangho SIM I, during the whole process of my research, i.e. from topic-selecting, proposal, drafting and revision. From the first day at KOREA UNIVERSITY till graduation defense, he kindly directed and encouraged me to combine the Journalism (my major during undergraduate education) and International Policy (my major during graduate education) and try to conduct Interdisciplinary Study, especially in the part of the SWOT analysis, he helped me revise and optimize it repeatedly but patiently. Without any doubt, deficiencies and weakness still exist in this paper, but the research results and the experience accumulated in the Interdisciplinary study has laid a solid foundation for my future research.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Contents
• Chapter 1 Introduction 1
• 1. The purpose of research 1
• 2. The scope and method of the research 2
• 2.1 The scope of the research 2
• 2.2 The method of the research 2
• 2.3 Structure of thesis 2
• Chapter 2 The background of theory and pre-research 4
• 1. The influence of public opinion on national foreign policy: related concepts and existing documents 4
• 1.1 Existing concept study 4
• 2 The influence of public opinion on national foreign policy: historical evolution 12
• 3 The Influence of public opinion on national foreign policy: Theoretical Basis 15
• 3.1 Content research theory foundation 15
• 3.2 Framework research theory foundation 16
• Chapter 3 The Current Situation of the Influence of Public Opinion on Chinese Foreign Policy 17
• 1. A Study on Chinese Diplomatic Decision – making 17
• 2. The rise of public diplomacy 19
• Chapter 4 Research model 22
• 1. SWOT standard analysis model 22
• Chapter 5．The Diaoyu Islands territorial dispute case between China and Japan 24
• 1. Event review 24
• 2. SWOT model analysis 26
• 2.1 S(Strengths) 26
• 2.2 W(Weakness) 36
• 2.3 O(Opportunity) 38
• 2.4 T(Threaten) 39
• 3. The results of analysis 40
• Chapter 6．The case of territorial disputes of South China Sea 42
• 1. Event review 42
• 2. SWOT Model Analysis 43
• 2.1 S (Strengths) 43
• 2.2 W (Weaknesses) 46
• 2.3 O (Opportunities) 46
• 2.3 T(Threats) 47
• 3. The results of analysis 49
• Chapter 7．Meta - analysis the results 50
• 1. The SWOT model analysis of two cases of territorial disputes: common ground 50
• 2. The SWOT model analysis of two territorial disputes cases: differences 52
• 3. The exploration of Government decision making 54
• Chapter 8． Conclusion 55
• 1. The revelation of relation between public opinion and Chinese foreign policy 55
• 1.1 The influence of domestic public opinion on China's diplomacy 57
• 1.2 The influence of international public opinion on China's foreign policy 59
• 1.3 The exploration of solutions to the negative effects of public opinion on Chinese foreign policy 62
• 2. The limitation of research 63
• 3. Continue to study direction 64
• Reference 65